Wednesday, October 7, 2026

What I’ve Been Up To

Cogent Communications and AI data-center bottlenecks feature in a newsletter update on recruiting, financial media and conference takeaways.

CCOI $430M

Stock Thoughts Oct 7 2 clicks

Oct 7 LSAK $405M

Lesaka: Why He's Betting Big | Ali Mazanderani | Ep. 5

Mispriced Assets 2 clicks

Oct 7 BTI $120B

A Qualitative Primer on the Nicotine Pouch Space

Sylence Capital 4 clicks

From X

@leevalueroach Oct 7 2 clicks

Lee Roach on X

Point72 is buying E.W. Scripps $SSP https://t.co/8lbK8IuI2y

@ACapitalLP Oct 7 1 click

A Capital on X

Is the $NN trade completely over? https://t.co/wwSNNhdxl7

@stockgutter Oct 7 1 click

SG on X

don't listen to the clowns saying this should be ignored because its part of a long-standing diversification plan. If they bothered to read the Form 144 they would know that he put in a brand new sales plan in June 2026. Why? Q2 was when $DUOL posted declining y-o-y earnings.

@convequity Oct 7

Convequity on X

$NTSK began as a CASB vendor, governing how employees use SaaS applications at the point of use. Years of that work gave it application-specific knowledge of user behavior, data movement, and risk inside cloud apps. That knowledge carries over to AI. Netskope inspects prompts, responses, and file transfers inline and in real time, and it can respond with something more precise than a block: preventing a risky copy-and-paste, stepping up authentication for a sensitive interaction, or coaching the user as they work. The part that matters more comes after the prompt. AI adds autonomy and chaining, so a single human interaction can trigger many machine-executed actions across tools, data stores, and services, often outside one user session. If data is over-permissioned and tools are loosely scoped, an agent can stay inside its allowed permissions and still cause harm faster than a person can intervene. The context Netskope gathers at the interaction can be carried forward to constrain that downstream execution: who the user is, what data is involved, which action was taken, and how risky it looks. So Netskope's edge is that it already knows the user, the data and the action at the moment of the prompt, and it can use that context to limit what an agent does next. It is now building the agent side directly. Its Agentic Broker rates agent actions by risk before they run, and its AI posture management for agents built on AWS, Azure and GCP is still in preview. That is the part to watch.

@KEDM_COM Oct 7

KEDM.com on X

Both Up Fintech $TIGR and Futu $FUTU benefited from Asians YOLO-ing into 3x levered long MU and SPCX ETFs, with FUTU now up significantly since the regulatory crackdown in May. They only started throttling Mainland accounts in mid-June so the real impact won't be visible until next quarter. ~12x P/E ex-Mainland if you annualize Q2, although Q3 is bound to be a little weaker.

@stockgutter Oct 7

SG on X

Form 144 indicates that $DUOL CEO is dumping $16.3m worth of stock. that's a shit-ton in any language https://t.co/57BBYQsRo2

@partners_road Oct 7 1 click

RiverRoadPartners on X

Another lousy quarter at $LEVI. And what are they blaming on the call? Weather. The lamest excuse you can use in retail.

@orrdavid Oct 7

David Orr on X

$LULU just now https://t.co/CMBjD201I0

ezCater and the Other Half of Uber's FCF

Uber’s $2.3 billion cash purchase of ezCater extends its buy-versus-build strategy and raises questions about the price and capital…

UBER $140BDASH $84B

MBI Deep Dives Oct 7 1 click

L3Harris Technologies (NYSE: LHX) Upgraded Rating: Accumulate

L3Harris upgraded to Accumulate after a 38% stock decline, backed by 8% Q2 revenue growth, a $42 billion backlog and planned Missile…

LHX $44B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 7 1 click

Cerebras: OpenAI's Nvidia Move Doesn't Break The 750 MW Deal

Cerebras retains its 750 MW commitment despite OpenAI's Nvidia move, but TSMC supply, owned capacity and gross-margin recovery remain the…

CBRS $39BNVDA $5.5T

Deep Value Investing Oct 7

💥New Chapter 11 Bankruptcy Filing - And Go Concepts, LLC (Salad and Go)💥

Salad and Go filed Chapter 11 after its Texas and Oklahoma expansion failed, seeking to sell 65 leases to Dutch Bros for $105 million as 7…

BROS $5.5B

PETITION Oct 7 3 clicks

Research Roundup Vol. LV

OpenAI’s enterprise privacy push and Synopsys’s Factory 2 royalty model anchor a technology roundup, alongside oil above $100 and Bitcoin’s…

SNPS $97B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 7

Adobe (NASDAQ: ADBE) Stock Rating: Accumulate After Q3 FY11/26 Earnings

Adobe rates Accumulate at $189-$266 after Q3 FY26 revenue grew 12.9%, while management guided slower growth and RPO growth decelerated.

ADBE $93B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 7 2 clicks

BP p.l.c.: An Oil And Gas Play Primed For Outperformance

BP is investing $10 billion annually in oil and gas through 2027 as higher crude prices, LNG expansion and debt reduction support earnings,…

BP $123B

The Asian Investor Oct 7 6 clicks

Marvell 2026 Investor Day: Irrational Recap

Marvell’s 2026 investor day draws a skeptical review of its optical connectivity, DSP and AI infrastructure claims, while crediting its…

MRVL $241B

Irrational Analysis Oct 7 2 clicks

New Position (ONON): Game is On

On Holding (ONON) is gaining sportswear share, expanding store space and launching soccer with Kylian Mbappé as investors debate U.S.

ONON $12B

Aurelion Research Oct 6 3 clicks

Astronics: Marked Down After A Record Quarter - Buy

Astronics targets $1.02 to $1.04 billion in 2026 revenue after adjusted operating margin reached 20.3%, with Boeing representing 12% of…

ATRO $2.8B

Jordan Aquilina Oct 6

WDAY · long

Workday INC

Workday shares have declined since February 2024 as the market has turned against SaaS stocks.

WDAY $46B

Value Investors Club Jun 10 1 click

If Everybody Knows It's a Bargain, Where's the Alpha?; Company Updates

Large active managers cluster in Visa, Mastercard, S&P Global, FICO, Alphabet, Meta and Berkshire, challenging alpha in widely owned…

FERG $42BGRMN $52B

Flyover Stocks Aug 15 1 click

ZhongAn Online (6060.HK): The Insurtech Everyone Gave Up On

ZhongAn Online trades at 0.57 times book after five profitable underwriting years, with a 95.8% combined ratio and ZA Bank’s first…

ZZHGF $2.1B

Substack von Philipp Aug 15

AI’s Achilles’ Heel: Why Everything Hinges on Anthropic & OpenAI | The Weekly Wrap

Steve Eisman argues the AI boom hinges on Anthropic and OpenAI’s importance to hyperscalers, while weighing software, CoreWeave and Cisco…

MSFT $3.9TAMZN $2.7T

Steve Eisman Aug 14 10 clicks

$DNOW: the boring distributor that could double on 2029 numbers | Firebird Management

DNOW’s MRC Global merger targets $75 million of synergies, with a 2029 bull case of $30 to $32 per share driven by cash flow and rerating.

DNOW $2.7B

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 14 9 clicks

Financing the AI Boom 3

Nvidia GPU rental prices are rising across generations, supporting a $500 billion push to finance AI compute as a durable, rentable asset…

NVDA $5.5T

Net Interest Aug 14

The AI Compute Squeeze

CoreWeave and Nebius cite AI compute shortages and higher-priced GPU renewals, but older-chip utilization and depreciation vary across…

CRWV $43BNBIS $60B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 14 8 clicks

Cellebrite (CLBT) Q2'26 - Execution wobble, Forecast question mark

Cellebrite cut 2026 ARR guidance by $15 million, replaced its CEO and saw shares fall 30% as elongated sales cycles raise execution…

CLBT $2.9B

Sleep Well Investments Aug 14

Update on NRP, Variable Dividends, Buybacks and Soda Ash

NRP has retired debt and preferred stock, leaving 13 million acres of mineral rights to fund higher cash distributions, buybacks and soda…

NRP $1.5B

Base Hit Investing Aug 14

Nintendo: Churning Recovery (Ticker: NTDOY)

Nintendo’s Switch 2 sold 23 million units in its first year, but software delays, memory-chip costs and yen weakness drove NTDOY from $25…

NTDOY $59B

Emerging Moats Research Aug 14

Wednesday, October 7, 2026

Lee Roach on X

A Capital on X

SG on X

Convequity on X

KEDM.com on X

SG on X

RiverRoadPartners on X

David Orr on X

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