Wednesday, October 7, 2026

What I’ve Been Up To

Cogent Communications and AI data-center bottlenecks feature in a newsletter update on recruiting, financial media and conference takeaways.

CCOI $428M

Stock Thoughts Oct 7 4 clicks

Oct 7 LSAK $374M

Lesaka: Why He's Betting Big | Ali Mazanderani | Ep. 5

Mispriced Assets 2 clicks

Oct 7 BTI $130B

A Qualitative Primer on the Nicotine Pouch Space

Sylence Capital 4 clicks

From X

@catechwilliams Aug 28

catechwilliams on X

$NX Just acquired peer Tyman. >3x leverage, never done a deal before, commodity business, customers all cutting numbers w deteriorating resi remodel activity ($AMWD yesterday, $MBC, $OC, $JELD). Stock is trading at close to 14x EPS. Seen this movie before. Earnings next week.

@catechwilliams Jul 12 1 click

catechwilliams on X

$CVGW USDA crackdown on Mexican avocado corruption significantly erroding import vols (region where $CVGW sources all product). S. America taking share at accelerating rate as customers (ie. $CMG, grocers) shift suppliers. $CVGW sales vol -13% MRQ. Current Q could be a disaster. https://t.co/KJgK8fXbM4

@catechwilliams Jul 12 1 click

catechwilliams on X

$PLUS Earnings on 8/5, expectations & stock disconnected from reality. Suppliers ($CSCO – 50% of product sales), competitors & customers all reporting sharp sales declines. Non-event PR today re a service they’ve been offering for 3 yrs is pumping stock; suggests mgmt is grasping

@catechwilliams Jun 19 1 click

catechwilliams on X

@Mike10947310 $CVGW Sources >90% of its avocados from Michoacan, MX. $CMG purchases ~10% of tot US avocados. Its latest ESG report noted “diversifying away from Mexican suppliers.” This latest drama down there will almost certainly accelerate sourcing away from $CVGW, etc.

@CapitalVoss May 25

Voss Capital on X

Here is a link to our Q1 2024 letter. https://t.co/mVYPJrgCr1 $SWI $IMXI $ALTG $GENI $RTO $RCM $SLCA @jonrice80 @taylor_hndrson

@catechwilliams May 23 2 clicks

catechwilliams on X

Meanwhile disintermediation by OEMs going direct is accelerating. See recent commentary from partners $CSCO, $PANW $DELL, etc. $PLUS has zero discernable benefit from $NVDA and AI.

@catechwilliams May 23 2 clicks

catechwilliams on X

Answer: aggressive revenue booking, financing sales, selling products at/ below cost to boost revenue and hoping to “then try to build it back up over time” per CEO. Contrast $PLUS performance w competitor and industry leader $CDW.

@catechwilliams May 23 1 click

catechwilliams on X

$PLUS Numbers don’t add up. 50% sales $CSCO product (sales -13% MRQ, guided -11%). MRQ $PLUS sales +13% (reported yesterday). Earnings call question: “OEM Cisco have talked about bottlenecks, weak orders. You’ve been unscathed…how are you outperforming the market significantly?”

ezCater and the Other Half of Uber's FCF

Uber’s $2.3 billion cash purchase of ezCater extends its buy-versus-build strategy and raises questions about the price and capital…

UBER $145BDASH $84B

MBI Deep Dives Oct 7 1 click

L3Harris Technologies (NYSE: LHX) Upgraded Rating: Accumulate

L3Harris upgraded to Accumulate after a 38% stock decline, backed by 8% Q2 revenue growth, a $42 billion backlog and planned Missile…

LHX $45B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 7 1 click

Cerebras: OpenAI's Nvidia Move Doesn't Break The 750 MW Deal

Cerebras retains its 750 MW commitment despite OpenAI's Nvidia move, but TSMC supply, owned capacity and gross-margin recovery remain the…

CBRS $28BNVDA $5.2T

Deep Value Investing Oct 7

💥New Chapter 11 Bankruptcy Filing - And Go Concepts, LLC (Salad and Go)💥

Salad and Go filed Chapter 11 after its Texas and Oklahoma expansion failed, seeking to sell 65 leases to Dutch Bros for $105 million as 7…

BROS $5.7B

PETITION Oct 7 3 clicks

Research Roundup Vol. LV

OpenAI’s enterprise privacy push and Synopsys’s Factory 2 royalty model anchor a technology roundup, alongside oil above $100 and Bitcoin’s…

SNPS $90B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 7

Adobe (NASDAQ: ADBE) Stock Rating: Accumulate After Q3 FY11/26 Earnings

Adobe rates Accumulate at $189-$266 after Q3 FY26 revenue grew 12.9%, while management guided slower growth and RPO growth decelerated.

ADBE $98B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 7 2 clicks

BP p.l.c.: An Oil And Gas Play Primed For Outperformance

BP is investing $10 billion annually in oil and gas through 2027 as higher crude prices, LNG expansion and debt reduction support earnings,…

BP $129B

The Asian Investor Oct 7 6 clicks

Marvell 2026 Investor Day: Irrational Recap

Marvell’s 2026 investor day draws a skeptical review of its optical connectivity, DSP and AI infrastructure claims, while crediting its…

MRVL $212B

Irrational Analysis Oct 7 2 clicks

New Position (ONON): Game is On

On Holding (ONON) is gaining sportswear share, expanding store space and launching soccer with Kylian Mbappé as investors debate U.S.

ONON $12B

Aurelion Research Oct 6 4 clicks

Astronics: Marked Down After A Record Quarter - Buy

Astronics targets $1.02 to $1.04 billion in 2026 revenue after adjusted operating margin reached 20.3%, with Boeing representing 12% of…

ATRO $2.6B

Jordan Aquilina Oct 6

VEEV · long

Veeva Systems INC

Veeva Systems is a vertical software company valued as if its best growth years are behind it.

VEEV $52B

Value Investors Club Jul 9

When the Ads Come to the Data

Meta’s Muse could place ads inside its AI agent by letting a private VM select offers from advertisers without sharing user data with…

META $1.8T

MBI Deep Dives Oct 6 7 clicks

Rollins (ROL), Verisure (VSURE), and the cost of standing still (Part 1)

Rollins’ recurring pest-control base requires ongoing spending to replace departing customers, a concern tied to its nearly 50%…

ROL $16B

Best Anchor Stocks Oct 6 1 click

Deep Dive: Intuit ($INTU)

Intuit’s $21.4 billion software franchise faces AI-driven pricing pressure in tax and accounting, even as QuickBooks and TurboTax retain…

INTU $88B

Rebound Capital Oct 6 4 clicks

Capitol Federal Financial: Margin Expansion Supports The Bull Case

Capitol Federal Financial's 2.31% net interest margin and $23.6 million Q3 profit support its shift toward higher-yield commercial lending,…

CFFN $1B

Growth Stock Hunter Oct 6

Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXX

Golar LNG’s fourth FLNG vessel targets 3.5MTPA capacity and a 2029 delivery, supporting projected adjusted EBITDA above $1 billion in…

GLNG $4.6B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 6 1 click

Uber: Mispriced Growth Hiding In Plain Sight

Uber’s valuation is framed as undervaluing ride-hailing and robotaxi growth, while record institutional ownership offsets concerns over…

UBER $145B

The J Thesis Oct 6 3 clicks

Group 1 Automotive (GPI): The CEO Takes a Driving Test

Group 1 Automotive CEO Daryl Kenningham’s Toyota ties, capital-allocation decisions, compensation and stock sales face scrutiny after the…

GPI $2.9B

Cannibal Stocks Oct 6 3 clicks

Dynatrace, Inc. (NYSE: DT) Stock Rating: DISTRIBUTE To Bank Rangebound Gains.

Dynatrace is rated Distribute after a 90% rally to $60.21 nears $62 resistance, while revenue and RPO growth decelerate ahead of November…

DT $18B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 6 3 clicks

Why Nebius Is Getting The Better End Of The Deal From Palantir

Nebius gains preferred sovereign infrastructure status for Palantir’s enterprise AI stack, using its customer base to accelerate modular…

NBIS $46BPLTR $482B

Petri Dish Reports Oct 6 3 clicks

Wednesday, October 7, 2026

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catechwilliams on X

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Voss Capital on X

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