What I’ve Been Up To
Cogent Communications and AI data-center bottlenecks feature in a newsletter update on recruiting, financial media and conference takeaways.
Cogent Communications and AI data-center bottlenecks feature in a newsletter update on recruiting, financial media and conference takeaways.
$AVO $CVGW 1) Retailers $CMG, etc sourcing elsewhere given MX tariff risk. 2) Avocado price spike during last year’s peak harvest season enabled distributors to realize outsized margins. 1-time benefit has reversed, significant earnings misses ahead for these commodity businesses
$NX Outlandishly guiding to flat 2025 sales, customers and channel -DD. Commodity window and door components facing pricing pressure from larger customers ($JELD, $OC). Now levered 4x, trading at a premium to higher value-add building products peers. Guide cut inevitable.
$J Beat earnings yesterday. Holding back detailed guidance for Investor Day (2/18)—likely raise ’25 #s, 4-year financial targets w significant upside on margins ($ACM and other peers +15% EBITDA margins). Record backlog and multi-year growth runway.
The industrial logic for the $UNF and $CTAS merger captured in one picture. Both have been going to the Chipotle (or same strip center) near our office in Houston on the same days at the same time (the store was closed at the time this pic was taken). https://t.co/zxTIFVgn1s
$NX Rapidly declining levered (4x) commodity biz. Q1’25 guide -12% sales, mgmt hoping for 2H’25 recovery. End-mkts deteriorating ($OC -20% Q4 guide, $JELD), customer losses, internal controls issues, integrating a large acq, 0 prior M&A experience. +30x P/E on best case 2025 #s
Idea Brunch with @Putzandshorts of ARR Investments Christian is one of the most impressive and untraditional investors we interviewed and share a great pitch on $EH https://t.co/5saQRvxrtU
@StockJabber Thank you. As a read on $PLUS Q3 is tracking in October, $CSCO just reported -23% sales in networking (products account for ~50% of $PLUS revenue) for the Oct quarter-end. Further confirmation that PLUS Q3 is going to be ugly and no turnaround in sight.
$PLUS Accelerating, sales -14% y/y in Q2, noted Q3 not improving yet implied FY guide is for flat sales (downward revisions to come). Margins benefitted from 1-time financing segment gain-on-sale. Still trading at a premium to higher quality industry leader CDW, makes zero sense.
Uber’s $2.3 billion cash purchase of ezCater extends its buy-versus-build strategy and raises questions about the price and capital…
L3Harris upgraded to Accumulate after a 38% stock decline, backed by 8% Q2 revenue growth, a $42 billion backlog and planned Missile…
Cerebras retains its 750 MW commitment despite OpenAI's Nvidia move, but TSMC supply, owned capacity and gross-margin recovery remain the…
Salad and Go filed Chapter 11 after its Texas and Oklahoma expansion failed, seeking to sell 65 leases to Dutch Bros for $105 million as 7…
OpenAI’s enterprise privacy push and Synopsys’s Factory 2 royalty model anchor a technology roundup, alongside oil above $100 and Bitcoin’s…
Adobe rates Accumulate at $189-$266 after Q3 FY26 revenue grew 12.9%, while management guided slower growth and RPO growth decelerated.
BP is investing $10 billion annually in oil and gas through 2027 as higher crude prices, LNG expansion and debt reduction support earnings,…
Marvell’s 2026 investor day draws a skeptical review of its optical connectivity, DSP and AI infrastructure claims, while crediting its…
On Holding (ONON) is gaining sportswear share, expanding store space and launching soccer with Kylian Mbappé as investors debate U.S.
Astronics targets $1.02 to $1.04 billion in 2026 revenue after adjusted operating margin reached 20.3%, with Boeing representing 12% of…
VEEV · long Veeva Systems is a vertical software company valued as if its best growth years are behind it.
RLJ Lodging Trust trades below book value, with positive FY26 FFO guidance and property conversions offset by elevated leverage risk.
Rollins’ recurring pest-control base requires ongoing spending to replace departing customers, a concern tied to its nearly 50%…
Intuit’s $21.4 billion software franchise faces AI-driven pricing pressure in tax and accounting, even as QuickBooks and TurboTax retain…
Capitol Federal Financial's 2.31% net interest margin and $23.6 million Q3 profit support its shift toward higher-yield commercial lending,…
Golar LNG’s fourth FLNG vessel targets 3.5MTPA capacity and a 2029 delivery, supporting projected adjusted EBITDA above $1 billion in…
Uber’s valuation is framed as undervaluing ride-hailing and robotaxi growth, while record institutional ownership offsets concerns over…
Group 1 Automotive CEO Daryl Kenningham’s Toyota ties, capital-allocation decisions, compensation and stock sales face scrutiny after the…
Dynatrace is rated Distribute after a 90% rally to $60.21 nears $62 resistance, while revenue and RPO growth decelerate ahead of November…
Cenovus Energy, up 78% in 10 months, is sold after agreeing to buy Athabasca Oil for $5.7 billion at a rich valuation.
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