Sunday, October 4, 2026

British American Tobacco: Harvest

British American Tobacco’s U.S. reset revives combustibles and rebuilds its nicotine-pouch portfolio after legacy-brand writedowns and Velo 1.0’s failure.

BTI $120B

Invariant Oct 4 5 clicks

Oct 4 CBRS $39B

Practical Parametric Yield

Irrational Analysis 3 clicks

Oct 4 GPI $2.8B

Did Group 1 Overpay for Hennessy? The Seller’s Own Banker Says It Was a Record.

Cannibal Stocks 4 clicks

From X

@majgeoinvesting Sep 19 1 click

Maj Soueidan on X

Was a good week for $MTW (cranes), up 10% this week. @mascarosergi recently pitched the stock in his written Q&A style Skull Sessions. Their increasing emphasis on service revenue is interesting, something a lot of construction type companies have been doing over the past few years. It’s the “magic formula” for construction companies, which can result in a huge expansion of historical valuation ratios. You’ve seen that in stocks like $STRL and $BDT.TO. The cool thing about this kind of set up is that a lot of investors won’t believe there will be a valuation re-rate in a cyclical industry, until it’s actually happened… then they’ll say it’s overvalued🤷 Watching closely. Thx Sergi..

@calvinblissett Sep 19 5 clicks

Calvin Blissett on X

@Smartonecapital Uh not many spots but gun to my head fertile hunting ground in the bigger names could be: $FICO, $BLDR, $KNSL. $PDD, $KSPI, $UBER. I have not looked into all extensively, some yes.

@calvinblissett Sep 19

Calvin Blissett on X

Nobert Lou crushed it on $NVR in the late 90s, his writeups under Charlie479 on VIC are mandatory reading. You will be a better investor after reading this and gain valuable mental models to overlay on interesting real life examples. Norbert invested in Burlington Northern before Buffett. Joel Greenblatt gave him money. His investment in Brahma profiled here is legendary and similar to Buffett with Coke. I lastly loved his mental models on TGS Nopec https://t.co/OZorTJIv9W

@calvinblissett Sep 19

Calvin Blissett on X

I’m always fascinated by the huge value in large caps and how to frame it. Buffett in $AAPL, $KO, $WFC historically. Terry Smith $DPZ. Ackman $CMG, $CP. $GOOG like a year and a half ago. Mohnish Pabrai called out $META a few years ago and it multi bagged. This is a useful example $MSFT in 2006.

@BarbarianCap Sep 19

Barbarian Capital on X

"the aircraft flew 3,199 miles with no control inputs from its onboard safety pilot, including autonomous taxi, takeoff, cruise and landing" Joby Says it Completed First Fully Autonomous Flight Across the U.S. $JOBY https://t.co/nu2FMvE5qs

@BarbarianCap Sep 19

Barbarian Capital on X

Obvs starting point matter but good number of LT consumer winners The Highest-Returning Stock of the Last 45 Years Is Home Depot $HD https://t.co/MG1DLQ5QNd

@ACapitalLP Sep 19

A Capital on X

“Hey honey, Trump signed a deal with Greenland. I’m going to get ahead of everyone by buying Greenland Energy stock on my Robinhood account. It’s a sure thing!” You absolutely fade this. $GLND is so far from commercial production it’s a joke. Retail will pump it because it has “Greenland” in the name. This isn’t anything like the situation with $KYIV, an established business that has generated hundreds of millions of dollars of FCF, with a potential Ukraine peace deal as additional upside optionality…

@BlueDuckCap Sep 19

BDC on X

Irony to me at this point is that 1.) "frontier" LLMs will need to stay on the spend cycle to maintain frontier status but 2.) at the same time everything behind the frontier will get commoditized - and that will be like 99% of the applications. 3.) $META has a big advantage on consumer agentic bc they can scale it via their consumer app monopolies 4.) Here's where everyone might disagree but $SNAP actually is a more strategic asset thus.

M&T: Buy Reaffirmed, Despite Market Pullback, As Growth And Earnings Story Remain Strong

M&T Bank's 10.4% five-year revenue CAGR, improving net interest margin and commercial loan growth support its earnings resilience despite a…

MTB $31B

Albert Anthony Oct 3 2 clicks

The Art of Doing Financial Engineering

AI infrastructure’s $6.3 trillion financing gap is driving structured debt and asset-backed solutions, starting with Meta’s planned 5GW…

MS $294B

Net Interest Oct 3 5 clicks

Magnolia Oil & Gas: The WildFire Acquisition Closes

Magnolia Oil & Gas closed its $4 billion WildFire acquisition, adding Eagle Ford acreage with cost synergies and funding the deal with…

MGY $6.6B

Long Player Oct 3 2 clicks

EXCLUSIVE: Lennar’s Big New Customer Is Its Own Spinoff, Millrose

Lennar is selling homes to former spinoff Millrose, whose revenue largely comes from Lennar and whose largest voting shareholder is…

LEN $18BMRP $3.8B

Hunterbrook Oct 2 2 clicks

Nike: The Defense Holds, the Offense Is Unproven

Nike targets EBIT margin recovery from 5.2% in FY2027 to 13% by FY2032 as revenue declines persist and wholesale, China and digital remain…

NKE $51B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 2 2 clicks

[scuttleslops] Cloudflare wants bots to pay; OpenAI’s ad ambitions; Memory chip competition; Muse is a proactive assistant; the Wintel of cars and robots; Atlassian as a coordinating layer

Cloudflare is building HTTP 402 payments for AI agents, using its web network to let publishers charge bots for content access.

NET $125B

scuttleblurb Oct 2 1 click

Nike, Part Two: The Deep Dive

Nike’s second Latticework program examines the company and the global athletic footwear and apparel industry for professional investors.

NKE $51B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 2 1 click

Nike, Part One: The Story

Nike grew from a $1,000 shoe-distribution venture in 1964 into the largest sports brand, using athlete endorsements, product innovation and…

NKE $51B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 2 2 clicks

ServiceNow: Still A 'Strong Buy' As AI Revenues Gain Traction

ServiceNow expects AI annual contract value to reach $1.5 billion by year-end, with assist-pack consumption pricing supporting growth…

NOW $145B

Jetstream Research Oct 2 1 click

Rocket Lab (NASDAQ: RKLB) Stock Rating: Accumulate After Q2 FY12/26 Earnings

Rocket Lab reported Q2 revenue up 62% to $234.1 million and backlog up 137% to $2.36 billion, while operating losses and cash burn…

RKLB $40BIRDM $5B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 2

BTU · long

Peabody Energy Corporation

Peabody Energy, ticker BTU, is a low-cost producer of thermal and metallurgical coal with mines in the United States and Australia.

BTU $3B

Value Investors Club Jul 6 2 clicks

Howard Hughes: Still Attractive Despite Risks Of Rapid Transition

Howard Hughes plans to raise nearly $4 billion by selling real estate assets and condos, accelerating Vantage’s insurance expansion while…

HHH $4.3B

Gary Gambino Oct 3 3 clicks

Research & Analysis | AAR Corp. (NYSE: AIR): MRO Holdings Reshapes the Margin Profile

AAR’s $1.8 billion acquisition of a 65% stake in MRO Holdings adds widebody aircraft maintenance and targets a 19% to 20% EBITDA margin by…

AIR $4B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 2 4 clicks

American Healthcare REIT: A Dip Buy Driven By Senior-Care And Outpatient Tailwind

American Healthcare REIT’s senior-housing and outpatient portfolio is driving FFO growth and dividend safety, while a rich valuation limits…

AHR $12B

Albert Anthony Oct 2 1 click

The Trade Desk (NASDAQ: TTD) Stock Rating: Do Nothing After Q2 FY12/26 Earnings

The Trade Desk's Q2 revenue grew 3% to $715 million as Q3 guidance called for a year-over-year decline; TTD has fallen over 90% from its…

TTD $5.8B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 2 1 click

Crocs: Double-Digit Buyback Yield (Ticker: CROX)

Crocs has $2 billion of buyback authorization, more than a third of its market cap, as North American sales stabilize and HeyDude drags on…

CROX $5.6B

Emerging Moats Research Oct 2 4 clicks

Sleep Well Portfolio (Sept 2026) - New Pick coming up - SWI#25.

CrowdStrike faces a trim at a $270 billion valuation and 140x free cash flow, despite AI-driven cybersecurity demand and a $20 billion ARR…

CRWD $269B

Sleep Well Investments Oct 2 2 clicks

Twilio (NYSE: TWLO) Stock Rating: Hold After Q2 FY12/26 Earnings - Distribute Below $260

Twilio posted Q2 revenue of $1.50 billion, up 22%, and guided 16% Q3 growth; the note rates TWLO Hold at $305, with a $260 risk line.

TWLO $42B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 1 1 click

Why Muse May Never Need Ads

Muse could sidestep ads by becoming a neutral commerce agent, while DoorDash and Airbnb build proprietary agents that steer users toward…

DASH $84BABNB $99B

MBI Deep Dives Oct 1

Chipotle: Takeover Talk Aside, The Margin Math Is Why I Still Say Buy

Chipotle's Q2 revenue rose 9.3% as traffic and market share grew; the case rests on pricing catching inflation to restore margins.

CMG $39B

The Alpha Analyst Oct 1

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