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Thursday, October 1, 2026

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@leevalueroach 1 click

Lee Roach on X

On timber companies $RYN and $WY. If the long end keeps going up. 6-7% which I think is definitely possible. Then timber companies will get crushed. But my overall thesis remains and is happening in real time: energy-driven inflation, fiscal deterioration, failed treasury buybacks, the Fed losing the long end. Right now the market is repricing duration before it reprices scarcity. This gap can run for decades. Equities were destroyed in real terms through 1973 and 1974. But hard assets won the decade. I’m praying both of these timber companies keep going down. Land is my favorite asset to own. You can see it. You can touch it. You can hunt on it. You can fish on it. And you can grow productive timber on it. Huge swaths of land have massive optionality. Let’s hope Scott “I am the house” Bessent continues to lose the bond market. I want to see a bloodbath here.

Investor Letters

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The Next Consumer is a Computer

Meta’s Muse illustrates how persistent AI agents shift compute from per-query to per-user, driving heavier GPU, CPU and memory demand.

META $1.8TNVDA $5.5T
SixSigmaCapital: Navigating the Financial Markets 6 clicks
OTIS · long

Otis Worldwide CORP

Otis Worldwide's largest global elevator installed base generates 95% recurring revenue, with service margins above 90% supporting a…

OTIS $24B
Value Investors Club 2 clicks

Genius Sports (GENI)

Genius Sports’ $1.2 billion Legend acquisition adds direct bettor monetization, while its exclusive NFL data rights could supply prediction…

SRAD $13B
Sylence Capital 1 click

Microsoft: Control Your Destiny

Microsoft’s cloud business grew from a $12 billion FY16 run rate to about $237 billion by FY26, while AI-era CapEx may exceed $200 billion…

MSFT $3.8T
TSOH Investment Research

META 2Q26 Earnings Update

Meta's Q2 advertising revenue rose 27% to $59.4 billion, while costs climbed 55%, cutting operating margin to 31%.

META $1.8T
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