Thursday, October 1, 2026

Twilio (NYSE: TWLO) Stock Rating: Hold After Q2 FY12/26 Earnings - Distribute Below $260

Twilio posted Q2 revenue of $1.50 billion, up 22%, and guided 16% Q3 growth; the note rates TWLO Hold at $305, with a $260 risk line.

TWLO $45B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 1 1 click

Oct 1 DASH $81B

Why Muse May Never Need Ads

MBI Deep Dives

Oct 1 ADSK $44B

Autodesk (NASDAQ: ADSK) Stock Rating: Accumulate After Q2 FY1/27 Earnings - New Rating Bands, Stop And Price Targets Inside

Cestrian Capital Research

From X

@P_Remarks Oct 1

Prepared Remarks on X

I cannot reconcile the significant insider buying at $celh w/Bloom’s scanner data, clear shelf space gains, & social momentum. Plus freight headwind Alani LTOs (witches brew) are doing well/slight accel but core CELH doesn’t have accel potential until Q1 Too much risk I think

@leevalueroach Oct 1 1 click

Lee Roach on X

On timber companies $RYN and $WY. If the long end keeps going up. 6-7% which I think is definitely possible. Then timber companies will get crushed. But my overall thesis remains and is happening in real time: energy-driven inflation, fiscal deterioration, failed treasury buybacks, the Fed losing the long end. Right now the market is repricing duration before it reprices scarcity. This gap can run for decades. Equities were destroyed in real terms through 1973 and 1974. But hard assets won the decade. I’m praying both of these timber companies keep going down. Land is my favorite asset to own. You can see it. You can touch it. You can hunt on it. You can fish on it. And you can grow productive timber on it. Huge swaths of land have massive optionality. Let’s hope Scott “I am the house” Bessent continues to lose the bond market. I want to see a bloodbath here.

@junkbondinvest Oct 1 1 click

junkbondinvestor on X

“Good news. We got you your full $PSKY allocation.” https://t.co/oKKwqUnBNn

@BarbarianCap Oct 1

Barbarian Capital on X

Keurig Dr Pepper Hires Kimberly-Clark President Torres to Helm Coffee Spinoff $KDP $KMB https://t.co/8CPQhRReM4

@BarbarianCap Oct 1

Barbarian Capital on X

McCormick Is Working to Win Over Value-Conscious Shoppers $MKC https://t.co/cNn2B5biRP

@BarbarianCap Oct 1

Barbarian Capital on X

Accenture Revenue Rises on Growth Across Geographies, Industries $ACN https://t.co/hKXPmc5ov2

@BarbarianCap Oct 1 1 click

Barbarian Capital on X

$HAS also moved up Barbie-Maker Mattel Draws Takeover Interest From Authentic Brands Group $MAT https://t.co/HZXNiDyOkj

@BarbarianCap Oct 1 1 click

Barbarian Capital on X

getting more interesting Nike Projects Sales Decline This Year After Lower First-Quarter Revenue $NKE https://t.co/pV51lJLbbK

HOOY: A Hold For The YieldMax HOOD Option Income Strategy ETF

YieldMax HOOD Option Income Strategy ETF pays high weekly income from Robinhood volatility, but return-of-capital distributions and a 0.99%…

HOOD $107B

Ivan Gaddari Oct 1

How Ethos Sold Wall Street on AI While Powering an Analog Boiler Room

Ethos Technologies ($LIFE) sells AI-driven life insurance while relying heavily on multilevel marketing agencies using aggressive cold…

LIFE $2.2B

Hunterbrook Oct 1 1 click

Karman Holdings q2’26 Earnings Update

Karman Holdings reported 58% Q2 revenue growth, $1.3 billion backlog and margin expansion while replacing leadership and remediating…

KRMN $4.3B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 1

Innodata: The 45% Pullback Has Changed My View (Rating Upgrade)

Innodata's 45% pullback resets its valuation after two quarters of 50% revenue growth, though two customers still supply 71% of revenue and…

INOD $2.4B

Kurt Christensen Oct 1 1 click

[ROL – Rollins] The exterminator’s dilemma

Rollins’ shares have fallen more than 50% from their peak, resetting valuation as route density, reliable service and pricing support…

ROL $14B

scuttleblurb Oct 1 1 click

This Week in Special Situations: Pearson, CarMax, Talen Energy, KBR, Apollo Commercial Real Estate

Pearson, CarMax, Talen Energy, KBR and Apollo Commercial Real Estate lead a 33-company survey of activist campaigns, buybacks, M&A and…

KMX $7.8BTLN $15B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 1 1 click

Group 1's CEO Said "Competitive Advantages and Opportunities." A Car Dealer? I Went Looking.

Group 1’s 19% ownership cap, tied to automaker franchise agreements, frames Conifer’s 1.9 million-share stake and potential buyback-driven…

GPI $2.9B

Cannibal Stocks Oct 1 1 click

Deckers (DECK): From Clown Shoes To Compounder

Deckers built HOKA into a brand nearing UGG’s scale, with HOKA revenue up about fivefold since FY21.

DECK $11B

TSOH Investment Research Oct 1 1 click

Q3 2026 Consolidated Holdings, Performance, and Ideas

Irrational Analysis reports 51.55% outperformance versus a semiconductor ETF, adding Credo for SerDes and QMCO for AI-driven tape storage…

CRDO $40BCBRS $40B

Irrational Analysis Oct 1 1 click

Occidental Petroleum: Great Inventories To Ride Lower Structural Capex In The Industry

Occidental Petroleum could benefit as declining shale inventories and high rates curb industry capex, tightening oil supply against demand…

OXY $55B

Gen Z Investor Sep 30

PYPL · long

Paypal Holdings INC

PayPal’s valuation implies free cash flow will shrink 9.3% annually over the next decade, framing a long thesis against its recent revenue…

PYPL $45B

Value Investors Club May 25

Winning Cultures, Brutal Truths

Norges Bank’s Winning Cultures conference drew lessons from Ken Griffin, Michael O’Leary and Jamie Dimon on rapid decisions, cost…

RYAAY $28B

Behind the Balance Sheet May 3

Floor & Decor: 1Q26 Business Update

Floor & Decor cut 2026 guidance after 1Q same-store sales fell 3.7%, while shrinking new-store formats, cutting comparable-store SG&A and…

FND $4.9B

Speedwell Research May 1

Quick Value #313 - Magnum Ice Cream (MICC)

Magnum Ice Cream (MICC), spun off from Unilever, trades at 13x NTM earnings and 8x EBITDA as its 3 million-freezer fleet supports a 2-3…

MICC $10B

Value Don't Lie May 1

GPGI Inc.

GPGI, formerly CompoSecure, is David Cote’s $4.2 billion industrial acquisition platform, managed by Resolute Holdings for 2.5% of adjusted…

GPGI $3.7B

Kairos Research Apr 29

$SN: The Sneaky Compounder With 40% Upside (No Paywall)

SharkNinja, spun off from Hong Kong-listed JS Global Lifestyle and listed at $42.31 in July 2023, is pitched as a 40% upside compounder.

SN $25B

Guardian Research Apr 29

Under The Hood: Ulta Beauty, Inc. ($ULTA)

Ulta Beauty’s 46 million-member loyalty model drove strong historical cash flow, but earnings have stalled since fiscal 2022 as SG&A rose;…

ULTA $23B

Bearhold Research Apr 28

Booking Holdings: A 15% EPS Compounder at 17x Earnings

Booking Holdings generated $9.1 billion in 2025 free cash flow and targets 15% annual EPS growth, trading at 16.8x forward 2026 earnings.

BKNG $120B

Modern Value Investing Apr 26

Under The Hood, HCA Healthcare - $HCA

HCA Healthcare generated $75.6 billion of 2025 revenue and an 18.9% ROIC, pairing hospital-market scale with expanding margins and lower…

HCA $93B

Bearhold Research Apr 25 3 clicks

An Open Letter to the TPL Board

Texas Pacific Land shareholders urge two board additions, data-center expertise, and capital spending beyond mineral royalties toward…

TPL $23B

310 Value’s Newsletter Apr 22 3 clicks

Thursday, October 1, 2026

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Lee Roach on X

junkbondinvestor on X

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