Aggressive Portfolio Trades: Buy Vail Resorts, Buy ORR, Short GEO
Vail Resorts, down 60% since 2022, is pitched for an El Niño-driven ski-season rebound; the portfolio also buys ORR and shorts GEO.
Sunday, September 20, 2026
Back to today 
From X
Deep Sail Capital on X
@marketplunger1 A majority of them are in Japan or Korea $OUST - LiDAR leader. $NOVT - Drives, motion, medical. M&A strategy in robotics end market. It’s really expensive though.
marginofdanger on X
Fundamental issue with $HHH is there is no return of capital to shareholders and no consistent base of earnings either. I strongly preferred the company as a real estate only situation. He massively overpaid for Vantage too. Will trade cheap to NAV until it’s truly shareholder friendly.
Bill Ackman on X
An excellent and insightful report on $HHH. https://t.co/cvFpfHoAkP
Barbarian Capital on X
Chevron plans drilling spree as it overhauls oil and gas search $CVX https://t.co/aZV7kguxYR
Trevor Scott on X
@optionscjp $NFLX has historically auto cancelled inactive accounts
Trevor Scott on X
@TheRayMyers why not $MU at 6.5x?
Ian Bezek on X
@Tintincapital @valuehurts Has already happened, no? The $WING and $CAVA style restaurant growth stories have collapsed. Or look at something like Vail Resorts, down 65% off the 2022 peak.
Barbarian Capital on X
Hot Honey no, thanks good buzz for $HRL tho https://t.co/ythkEhbNVK
Investor Letters
All letters- Crossroads Capital, LLC Q3 2026
- Pendelhaven Asset Management B.V. Q3 2026 DR0 $458MALM $4B
- Alpinum Investment Management AG Q3 2026
- Macro Ops Q3 2026
- Myrmikan Capital, LLC Q3 2026
- Akre Capital Management, LLC Q3 2026 AMT $78BMA $496B
- Bristlemoon Capital Q3 2026 SNDK $276B
- Fred Alger Management, LLC Q3 2026 AMZN $2.7TGOOGL $4.2T
Berkshire Hathaway: Warren Buffett Steps Down As Chairman While Higher Rates Turn The Cash Pile Into A Bigger Asset
Berkshire Hathaway's $324.9 billion T-bill portfolio benefits from higher rates as Greg Abel succeeds Warren Buffett and BHE adds 11,000 MW…
Steven Fiorillo 
Palo Alto Networks (NASDAQ: PANW) Stock Rating: Do Nothing After Q4 FY7/26 Earnings
Palo Alto Networks posted 34% Q4 revenue growth to $3.41 billion, boosted by CyberArk and Chronosphere, while NGS ARR reached $9.1 billion…
Pacific Health Care Organization - OTC:PFHO
Pacific Health Care trades below its more than $1 per-share net cash despite profitable workers’ compensation claims services, California…
Thoughts on GFL’s Take Private - Is Dovigi Indifferent?
GFL’s take-private process has drawn KKR, Blackstone, Brookfield and IFM, while CEO Patrick Dovigi signals he will accept only the right…
Brookfield of Dreams
Brookfield is recasting itself from an industrial owner into a $1.3 trillion asset manager and insurer, betting AI infrastructure can…
Karman: Why I'm Upgrading To Buy After A 68% Drop
Karman Holdings (KRMN) is upgraded after a 68% drop, with 24% organic growth, a $1.3 billion backlog and higher 2026 guidance offset by…
Dhierin Bechai 1 click
Why Dario Amodei and Sam Altman Are Faking the AI Doomsday Crisis | The Weekly Wrap
Steve Eisman argues AI extinction warnings from Dario Amodei and Sam Altman seek regulation that creates pricing moats.
$NTDOY: is Nintendo's flywheel actually there? | Accrued Interest
Nintendo's Switch 2 attach rate, flat Switch Online accounts and rising memory costs fuel a bear case, while Spotify and Netflix margins…
Groceries, Aggregators, and Agents
DoorDash's grocery push targets a shift from weekly stock-up trips to frequent online fill-in orders, though smaller baskets complicate…
Planet's Next Constellation Is Bigger Than Just An Upgrade
Planet Labs’ $116.1 million second-quarter revenue, 70% defense mix and planned Owl constellation position satellite imagery and AI data as…
Petri Dish Reports 2 clicks
WK · long Workiva INC
Workiva, an enterprise software platform, trades at a reasonable valuation as it approaches its first profitable period since its 2008…
Adobe Inc (ADBE): slowly, then all at once
Adobe’s sub-20x forward GAAP P/E reflects AI disruption fears, with the investment case hinging on whether Digital Media’s creative…
2026: Radio silence, software setbacks and more from me in 2026
RELX and Sage have fallen 46% and 35% as markets label them AI losers, creating potential value opportunities alongside risks of genuine…
My Biggest Position: A Monopoly Priced for Failure
A former value-investor darling, down 50%, pairs a monopoly with a recurring-revenue razor-and-blade business; debt paydown, margin…
InMode (INMD): Low-risk Take-Private Opportunity *Exited*
InMode faces $1 billion to $1.1 billion take-private bids, including Centroid and a management-led group, while Steel Partners offers $18…
Negative EV, 8% Dividend, Sale Likely
Taitron Components trades below net cash and investments after tariffs, a dividend cut and voluntary Nasdaq delisting drove shares to $1.
Mispriced Kalshi Contract: Snapchat Family Center
Kalshi’s 87% odds of “Family Center” on Snap’s earnings call far exceed its 2.9% historical mention rate and a 15–20% street-adjusted…
CrowdStrike: A Glass DeathStar during SaaSmageddon | Short Thesis
CrowdStrike faces a renewal cliff after its July 2024 outage, with Microsoft Defender bundling, litigation, SEC and DOJ scrutiny, and a…
New REIT position: GO Residential (TSX: GO.U)
GO Residential, a TSX-listed Manhattan luxury-apartment REIT, raised about $400 million in Canada’s largest REIT IPO and trades at a wide…
Portfolio Update January 2026
DInvests sold Thermo Fisher, Dollar General, Dollar Tree and Edwards Lifesciences, then bought Pool Corp and Kraft Heinz while adding to…
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Seeking Alpha 31 of 172
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A Capital
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catechwilliams
Charles Frischer
Chris Camillo
Clark Square Capital
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Colin King
Connor Haley
Conor Maguire | Value Situations
Convequity
David Orr
Deep Sail Capital
Devin LaSarre
DOMO Capital Management, LLC
Edwin Dorsey
Evan Tindell
Farmer
Fierce_beast
Fred Liu
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Ian Bezek
Idea Brunch
JabroniCoin.USD
John_Hempton
junkbondinvestor
kab60
KEDM.com
Laughing Water Capital
Lee Roach
Little Owl Research
Maius
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marginofdanger
mavix
Mike
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Multiples Capital
Myles
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Negligible Capital
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Odd Lot Arbitrageur
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Rusholme Capital
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SG
Sheel Mohnot
Tim Eriksen
Timyan Bank Alert
Todd Wenning
ToffCap
Trevor Scott
Voss Capital
Yaron Naymark
Investor letters we follow
- 1851 Capital
- Aikya Investment Management
- Akre Capital Management, LLC
- Alluvial Capital Management
- Alpinum Investment Management AG
- Ariel Investments
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- Cedar Creek Partners
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- Crossroads Capital, LLC
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- Fred Alger Management, LLC
- Giverny Capital
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- LVS Advisory
- Laughing Water Capital
- Lindsell Train Limited
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- Markel Group
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- Myrmikan Capital, LLC
- O'Keefe Stevens Advisory
- Oakmark Funds
- Palm Harbour Capital
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- Patient Capital Management
- Pendelhaven Asset Management B.V.
- PenderFund Capital Management Ltd.
- Pershing Square Holdings
- Polaris Capital Management
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- Polen Capital U.S. Opportunistic High Yield
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- Protean Funds
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- Sequoia Fund
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- Vulcan Value Partners
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