Aggressive Portfolio Trades: Buy Vail Resorts, Buy ORR, Short GEO
Vail Resorts, down 60% since 2022, is pitched for an El Niño-driven ski-season rebound; the portfolio also buys ORR and shorts GEO.
Sunday, September 20, 2026
Back to today 
From X
Deep Sail Capital on X
@marketplunger1 A majority of them are in Japan or Korea $OUST - LiDAR leader. $NOVT - Drives, motion, medical. M&A strategy in robotics end market. It’s really expensive though.
marginofdanger on X
Fundamental issue with $HHH is there is no return of capital to shareholders and no consistent base of earnings either. I strongly preferred the company as a real estate only situation. He massively overpaid for Vantage too. Will trade cheap to NAV until it’s truly shareholder friendly.
Bill Ackman on X
An excellent and insightful report on $HHH. https://t.co/cvFpfHoAkP
Barbarian Capital on X
Chevron plans drilling spree as it overhauls oil and gas search $CVX https://t.co/aZV7kguxYR
Trevor Scott on X
@optionscjp $NFLX has historically auto cancelled inactive accounts
Trevor Scott on X
@TheRayMyers why not $MU at 6.5x?
Ian Bezek on X
@Tintincapital @valuehurts Has already happened, no? The $WING and $CAVA style restaurant growth stories have collapsed. Or look at something like Vail Resorts, down 65% off the 2022 peak.
Barbarian Capital on X
Hot Honey no, thanks good buzz for $HRL tho https://t.co/ythkEhbNVK
Investor Letters
All letters- Pendelhaven Asset Management B.V. Q3 2026 DR0 $469MALM $4.2B
- Akre Capital Management, LLC Q3 2026 AMT $82BMA $487B
- Bristlemoon Capital Q3 2026 SNDK $276B
- Fred Alger Management, LLC Q3 2026 AMZN $2.8TGOOGL $4.3T
- Protean Funds August 2026 BVNKF $2.6B
- Janus Henderson Investors July 2026 KLAC $243BMCK $104B
- Asset Value Investors Ltd July 2026 4549 $498M9301 $3.3B
- PenderFund Capital Management Ltd. July 2026 NEO $1.1BVNP $1.9B
Berkshire Hathaway: Warren Buffett Steps Down As Chairman While Higher Rates Turn The Cash Pile Into A Bigger Asset
Berkshire Hathaway's $324.9 billion T-bill portfolio benefits from higher rates as Greg Abel succeeds Warren Buffett and BHE adds 11,000 MW…
Steven Fiorillo 
Palo Alto Networks (NASDAQ: PANW) Stock Rating: Do Nothing After Q4 FY7/26 Earnings
Palo Alto Networks posted 34% Q4 revenue growth to $3.41 billion, boosted by CyberArk and Chronosphere, while NGS ARR reached $9.1 billion…
Thoughts on GFL’s Take Private - Is Dovigi Indifferent?
GFL’s take-private process has drawn KKR, Blackstone, Brookfield and IFM, while CEO Patrick Dovigi signals he will accept only the right…
Brookfield of Dreams
Brookfield is recasting itself from an industrial owner into a $1.3 trillion asset manager and insurer, betting AI infrastructure can…
Karman: Why I'm Upgrading To Buy After A 68% Drop
Karman Holdings (KRMN) is upgraded after a 68% drop, with 24% organic growth, a $1.3 billion backlog and higher 2026 guidance offset by…
Dhierin Bechai 1 click
Why Dario Amodei and Sam Altman Are Faking the AI Doomsday Crisis | The Weekly Wrap
Steve Eisman argues AI extinction warnings from Dario Amodei and Sam Altman seek regulation that creates pricing moats.
$NTDOY: is Nintendo's flywheel actually there? | Accrued Interest
Nintendo's Switch 2 attach rate, flat Switch Online accounts and rising memory costs fuel a bear case, while Spotify and Netflix margins…
Groceries, Aggregators, and Agents
DoorDash's grocery push targets a shift from weekly stock-up trips to frequent online fill-in orders, though smaller baskets complicate…
Planet's Next Constellation Is Bigger Than Just An Upgrade
Planet Labs’ $116.1 million second-quarter revenue, 70% defense mix and planned Owl constellation position satellite imagery and AI data as…
Petri Dish Reports 2 clicks
TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/18/2026)
TSOH Weekly Roundup covers organized retail crime, Home Depot’s centralized operating missteps under Bob Nardelli, and research updates on…
AMPX · short Amprius Technologies, Inc.
Amprius Technologies derives 94% of revenue from licensing despite its silicon-anode battery supplier narrative for defense and aerospace…
[P] HSY: Re-Molding Hershey
Hershey’s recent company filings are reassessed as the confectioner reshapes its business.
CNK Buyback, Special Situation Review, and Some Thoughts on Theaters
Cinemark’s $200 million buyback anchors a review of theater cost structures, MCS and a completed Fairfax preferred-share special situation.
An Unnoticed Filing Shows This Company is Preparing for a Sale
Phinia revised executive contracts to raise CEO severance to $5.25 million and guarantee full equity vesting in a sale after its spin-off…
CYD and H22 Results First Take:
CYD’s FY24 earnings miss reflected ¥200m of one-offs; adjusted net income reached roughly ¥430m and operating cash flow rose 40%.
Insureco w/ Potential Strat Alts Announcement Soon + 100% Upside on Buyout ($TIPT)
Tiptree ($TIPT) is positioned around a potential Fortegra sale announcement; Fortegra generates substantially all revenue.
Portfolio Updates
CYD was sold near $21 versus an $11 entry after exceeding a $19.50 target; proceeds moved to H22.SI, whose CYD stake implies $1.30 NAV and…
[P] TENB: Tenable Governance
Tenable faces CEO succession under difficult circumstances, putting its governance and leadership transition in focus.
[P] SPHR: Sphere-Priced Incentives
Sphere Entertainment’s incentives are priced around Sphere.
Hong Leong Asia: Unveiling Undervalued Gems in CYD’s Parent Company
Hong Leong Asia (SGX: H22) has 40% base-case upside, driven by its CYD stake’s data-center opportunity and Singapore-Malaysia…
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Newsletters 91
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Seeking Alpha 30 of 167
Andres Veurink
Bay Area Ideas
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LL Insights
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Mike Zaccardi, CFA, CMT
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Philip Wang
Prakhar Agarwal, CFA
PV Research
Robert J. Lake
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Simple Investment Ideas- Steven Fiorillo
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Value Capital Research
X accounts we follow
Every account on this site, hand-picked.
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A Capital
Adam D. Wyden
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Broken Moats
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catechwilliams
Charles Frischer
Chris Camillo
Clark Square Capital
Cluseau Investments
Colin King
Connor Haley
Conor Maguire | Value Situations
Convequity
David Orr
Deep Sail Capital
Devin LaSarre
DOMO Capital Management, LLC
Edwin Dorsey
Evan Tindell
Farmer
Fierce_beast
Fred Liu
Gavin Baker
Ian Bezek
Idea Brunch
JabroniCoin.USD
John_Hempton
junkbondinvestor
kab60
KEDM.com
Laughing Water Capital
Lee Roach
Little Owl Research
Maius
Maj Soueidan
marginofdanger
mavix
Mike
Mikro Kap David
Multiples Capital
Myles
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Negligible Capital
Odd Diligence
Odd Lot Arbitrageur
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Prepared Remarks
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Raging Capital Ventures
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RiverRoadPartners
Rusholme Capital
Sahil Khetpal
SG
Sheel Mohnot
Tim Eriksen
Timyan Bank Alert
Todd Wenning
ToffCap
Trevor Scott
Voss Capital
Yaron Naymark
Investor letters we follow
- 1851 Capital
- Aikya Investment Management
- Akre Capital Management, LLC
- Alluvial Capital Management
- Alpinum Investment Management AG
- Ariel Investments
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- Lindsell Train Limited
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- Markel Group
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- O'Keefe Stevens Advisory
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- Patient Capital Management
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- PenderFund Capital Management Ltd.
- Pershing Square Holdings
- Polaris Capital Management
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- Sequoia Fund
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- Third Avenue Management
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- Vulcan Value Partners
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Sectors
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