Aggressive Portfolio Trades: Buy Vail Resorts, Buy ORR, Short GEO
Vail Resorts, down 60% since 2022, is pitched for an El Niño-driven ski-season rebound; the portfolio also buys ORR and shorts GEO.
Sunday, September 20, 2026
Back to today 
From X
Deep Sail Capital on X
@marketplunger1 A majority of them are in Japan or Korea $OUST - LiDAR leader. $NOVT - Drives, motion, medical. M&A strategy in robotics end market. It’s really expensive though.
marginofdanger on X
Fundamental issue with $HHH is there is no return of capital to shareholders and no consistent base of earnings either. I strongly preferred the company as a real estate only situation. He massively overpaid for Vantage too. Will trade cheap to NAV until it’s truly shareholder friendly.
Bill Ackman on X
An excellent and insightful report on $HHH. https://t.co/cvFpfHoAkP
Barbarian Capital on X
Chevron plans drilling spree as it overhauls oil and gas search $CVX https://t.co/aZV7kguxYR
Ian Bezek on X
@Tintincapital @valuehurts Has already happened, no? The $WING and $CAVA style restaurant growth stories have collapsed. Or look at something like Vail Resorts, down 65% off the 2022 peak.
Barbarian Capital on X
Hot Honey no, thanks good buzz for $HRL tho https://t.co/ythkEhbNVK
Chris Camillo on X
@Liquidn8w @KULOLO808 I don’t have a big enough position in $U to warrant a deep research dive, so not much more to say rn.
Trevor Scott on X
@accrued_int @AndrewRangeley Halfway through but I'm really enjoying your $NTDOY bear points.
Investor Letters
All letters- Pendelhaven Asset Management B.V. Q3 2026 ALM $4.2BJXN $8.8B
- Akre Capital Management, LLC Q3 2026 AMT $82BMA $497B
- Bristlemoon Capital Q3 2026 SNDK $236B
- Protean Funds August 2026 BVNKF $2.4B
- Janus Henderson Investors July 2026 KLAC $243BMCK $104B
- Asset Value Investors Ltd July 2026 9301 $3.3B
- Lindsell Train Limited July RMVEY $3.5B
- Kernow Asset Management July 2026 CKNHF $2.1BCMCX $2.6B
Thoughts on GFL’s Take Private - Is Dovigi Indifferent?
GFL’s take-private process has drawn KKR, Blackstone, Brookfield and IFM, while CEO Patrick Dovigi signals he will accept only the right…
Brookfield of Dreams
Brookfield is recasting itself from an industrial owner into a $1.3 trillion asset manager and insurer, betting AI infrastructure can…
Karman: Why I'm Upgrading To Buy After A 68% Drop
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Why Dario Amodei and Sam Altman Are Faking the AI Doomsday Crisis | The Weekly Wrap
Steve Eisman argues AI extinction warnings from Dario Amodei and Sam Altman seek regulation that creates pricing moats.
$NTDOY: is Nintendo's flywheel actually there? | Accrued Interest
Nintendo's Switch 2 attach rate, flat Switch Online accounts and rising memory costs fuel a bear case, while Spotify and Netflix margins…
Groceries, Aggregators, and Agents
DoorDash's grocery push targets a shift from weekly stock-up trips to frequent online fill-in orders, though smaller baskets complicate…
Planet's Next Constellation Is Bigger Than Just An Upgrade
Planet Labs’ $116.1 million second-quarter revenue, 70% defense mix and planned Owl constellation position satellite imagery and AI data as…
Petri Dish Reports 2 clicks
TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/18/2026)
TSOH Weekly Roundup covers organized retail crime, Home Depot’s centralized operating missteps under Bob Nardelli, and research updates on…
QNT: The 100× Question
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Generac: Amazon Gives The Story More Credibility
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Fernanda Galvez Jalil 
LULU · long Lululemon Athletica INC
Lululemon Athletica, a high-end women’s sportswear retailer, is presented as a long investment.
Revisiting my Rubrik pitch and what I am doing now after a 100% run
Rubrik, RBRK, has risen more than 100% since a February pitch at $48; the investor updates plans for shares bought at a $53 average.
The Airbnb Blueprint
Airbnb’s Q3 guidance implies 17% TTM GBV growth, while World Cup-driven North American strength may create a difficult Q2 FY27 comparison.
Cerebras Systems, Inc.
Cerebras Systems’ WSE-3 wafer-scale chip targets low-latency AI inference with faster decode than GPU racks, while higher per-token costs…
WD #354: Colombia Earthquake, Software, CIB/AVAL/NU Earnings
Colombia’s earthquake frames risks for Tecnoglass as Grupo Aval, Bancolombia and Nu report strong earnings, including Nu’s 67% EPS growth.
Deep Dive: Uber ($UBER)
Uber generated $52 billion of FY25 revenue and $10 billion of free cash flow as investors weigh whether autonomous vehicles can erode its…
Will Hubspot go the way of the Dodo?
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Private Equity is coming for Software (NOTW#104)
Silver Lake’s reported talks to buy Workday briefly lifted software stocks, reviving hopes that private equity sees value in beaten-down…
If Everybody Knows It's a Bargain, Where's the Alpha?; Company Updates
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ZhongAn Online (6060.HK): The Insurtech Everyone Gave Up On
ZhongAn Online trades at 0.57 times book after five profitable underwriting years, with a 95.8% combined ratio and ZA Bank’s first…
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A Capital
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catechwilliams
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Clark Square Capital
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Colin King
Connor Haley
Conor Maguire | Value Situations
Convequity
David Orr
Deep Sail Capital
Devin LaSarre
DOMO Capital Management, LLC
Edwin Dorsey
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Farmer
Fierce_beast
Fred Liu
Gavin Baker
Ian Bezek
Idea Brunch
JabroniCoin.USD
John_Hempton
junkbondinvestor
kab60
KEDM.com
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Lee Roach
Little Owl Research
Maius
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marginofdanger
mavix
Mike
Mikro Kap David
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Myles
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Rusholme Capital
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SG
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Timyan Bank Alert
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ToffCap
Trevor Scott
Voss Capital
Yaron Naymark
Investor letters we follow
- 1851 Capital
- Aikya Investment Management
- Akre Capital Management, LLC
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- Ariel Investments
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Sectors
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