Sunday, September 13, 2026

Booking Holdings Deep Dive: An Attractive Setup

Booking Holdings trades at 19x earnings, its lowest since 2022, after a 20% annual decline, with the thesis resting on durable online travel growth.

BKNG $126B

Capitalist Letters Sep 13 4 clicks

Sep 13 SVM $2.7B

Oak Bloke Bonkers Conkers 13th September 2026

The Oak Bloke 3 clicks

Sep 11 ORCL $446B

AI Terminator Fears Grow & Rates Breach 4.9% | The Weekly Wrap

Steve Eisman 2 clicks

From X

@negligible_cap Sep 13

Negligible Capital on X

The fact that I had to check the $HOOD app to make sure this was fake is a pretty good indicator of where we stand https://t.co/2f572Mthh7

@DeepSailCapital Sep 13

Deep Sail Capital on X

@SixSigmaCapital It’s kind of the standard AI stack, Chips than Memory than Optics. But a layer deeper is the question if inference is the biggest theme, than does everyone making their own custom silicon become more mainstream? In that case $MRVL probably is highest beta play there.

@Fierce__beast Sep 12

Fierce_beast on X

For $CASY, let's say it grows earnings roughly 6% on average for the next 20 years, then 3% terminally. Maybe its 9% for the next 5 years, but gradually moves toward something like maturity of 3%, average let's say is 6%. What multiple would you currently pay on that earnings stream? Personally, i would pay no more than 25x for this. Add other considerations to the business, maybe you think it will grow faster or longer, adjust your multiple as you prefer.

@partners_road Sep 12

RiverRoadPartners on X

Stan gave the example of 2001. $CSCO had aggressively grown its backlog every yr through the Internet 1.0 buildout & the Street expected the same in 2001, but instead $CSCO’s backlog plunged. The build was over, & with that equipment demand evaporated. That will happen again. https://t.co/7yB6vDgcl8

@TidefallCapital Sep 12

Trevor Scott on X

my mistake $ADBE has a Nov year end. so it's 12x nov 2027, 14x nov 2026.

@finphysnerd Sep 12 1 click

Myles on X

I feel $GEO is a pretty decent short here. It's not cheap, and I might be politically biased, but I think it's hard to see Republicans getting many wins in the midterms, which the market will likely extrapolate to 2028.

@TidefallCapital Sep 11

Trevor Scott on X

I'll never understand going long $ADBE at 14x '27 when you can buy $CSU.TO at 15x '27. Maybe because it's Canadian listed.

@negligible_cap Sep 11

Negligible Capital on X

*CORNING ENTERS UP TO $2B EQUITY DISTRIBUTION DEAL $GLW announces a $2B at-the-market offering of common stock. More supply inbound

Lululemon: The 15-Minute Thesis

Lululemon’s North American sales, margins and legging demand are falling as Alo and Vuori gain share, leaving its brand moat and depressed…

LULU $11B

Hated Moats Sep 11 2 clicks

Chevron: $100 Oil Price Can Last Longer Than You Think

Chevron’s 2027 EPS could be underestimated by about $4.50 per share if U.S.-Iran conflict keeps oil near $100 rather than forecast $74 to…

CVX $403B

Envision Research Sep 11 1 click

Why “Affordable Luxury” Doesn't Compound

Lululemon’s growth stalled as affordable-luxury apparel brands face fading post-Covid demand, cheap social-media influence and China…

LULU $11BNKE $54B

MBI Deep Dives Sep 11 2 clicks

The Five Deals That Made Apollo

Apollo Global Management’s five defining deals, from Executive Life to Intel, built a $1 trillion asset manager spanning insurance and…

APO $74B

Net Interest Sep 11 1 click

TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/11/2026)

TSOH weekly roundup covers Meta’s child-safety settlement, Markel’s leadership transition, Peloton’s gym strategy and an upcoming Alarm.com…

MKL $22BPTON $2.1B

TSOH Investment Research Sep 11 2 clicks

Applied Materials (NASDAQ: AMAT) Stock Rating: Upgrade To Accumulate After Q3 FY10/26 Earnings - Accumulation Zone And Stop Inside

Applied Materials reported Q3 revenue of $9.1 billion, up 25%, and $2.3 billion in free cash flow as AMAT fell roughly 40% from its June…

AMAT $375B

Cestrian Capital Research. Sep 11

Joby Aviation (NYSE: JOBY) Stock Rating: Accumulate - Initiating Coverage

Joby Aviation is initiated at Accumulate after booking $116m of trailing revenue, forming a Toyota manufacturing venture and agreeing to…

JOBY $6.2B

Cestrian Capital Research. Sep 11

Qualcomm Vs. Marvell: The Better AI Business Is The Worse Stock

Qualcomm offers more valuation cushion than Marvell despite Marvell’s stronger AI revenue, as its Amazon partnership supports data-center…

QCOM $203BMRVL $214B

Delta Analyst Sep 11

One of the Best Business Models in the World Just Went on Sale

AppLovin trades at 18 times EBITDA after a 57% drop, despite 84% EBITDA margins, rapid growth and a machine-learning advertising platform.

APP $104B

The Value Road Sep 10 5 clicks

The Williams Companies: A Tough Competitor Tackles The Northeast

Williams Companies faces a revoked Northeast pipeline permit while pursuing growth through Momentum Midstream, Gulf export access and…

WMB $87B

Long Player Sep 10

NEXPF · long

Nexi SpA

Nexi, continental Europe’s largest merchant acquirer, is presented as a long investment using normalized EPS and EBIT that exclude…

NEXPF $5.6B

Value Investors Club May 29

Why Nike ($NKE) Won't Make It Into the Bearhold Universe

Nike is excluded from Bearhold’s universe because cultural relevance and consumer taste drive demand, leaving its revenue model less…

NKE $54B

Bearhold Research Apr 5 1 click

Under the Hood, Copart ($CPRT)

Copart’s salvage-auction network pairs scarce storage land with global online bidding, supporting insurer returns and a durable moat…

CPRT $27B

Bearhold Research Apr 3 1 click

Single Stock Spotlight #5: Core Natural Resources (CNR)

Core Natural Resources (CNR) trades at 6 times normalized free cash flow, with export thermal coal exposure positioned for LNG disruption…

CNR $4.5BAMR $2.2B

Hidden Rock Capital's Newsletter Mar 24

Doubling Down on Iran and OXY

Occidental Petroleum is positioned for oil above $80, with a prolonged Iran conflict and Gulf supply shut-ins pushing prices into triple…

OXY $59B

Open Insights Mar 20

Shift4 Payments: A Fintech Compounder Trading Like a Melting Ice Cube

Shift4 Payments earns 50 to 60 basis points on SkyTab volume while acquiring merchant networks, driving 39% annual GRLNF growth since 2021…

FOUR $3.3B

Modern Value Investing Mar 15

Single Stock Spotlight #4: Global Payments (GPN)

Global Payments trades below 6 times adjusted earnings and about 7 times free cash flow amid Worldpay, competition and debt concerns.

GPN $23B

Hidden Rock Capital's Newsletter Mar 13

We Dramatically Improved our Machine Learning Model to Price Kalshi Earnings Contracts. It Went 11/13.

A two-layer machine-learning model correctly called 11 of 13 CrowdStrike earnings-word contracts on Kalshi, using historical transcripts…

CRWD $256B

First Strike Research Mar 7

Single Stock Spotlight #3: Alpha Metallurgical Resources (AMR)

Alpha Metallurgical Resources has retired more than 30% of its shares since 2022; higher structural metallurgical-coal costs could support…

AMR $2.2B

Hidden Rock Capital's Newsletter Mar 3

Kazakhstan, Japan, and Trimming a Winner

Kaspi.kz’s 850 KZT ADS dividend establishes a roughly 9% yield after Hepsiburada spending; Japanese buyback disclosures test whether 0.61x…

KSPI $18B

Cluseau Research Mar 2 2 clicks

Sunday, September 13, 2026

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