Saturday, September 12, 2026

AI Terminator Fears Grow & Rates Breach 4.9% | The Weekly Wrap

Ten-year Treasury yields breach 4.9% as Steve Eisman discusses AI fears, OpenAI's price cut, Oracle's 30% revenue growth and Tesla's robotaxi setback.

TSLA $1.5TNVDA $5.4T

Steve Eisman Sep 11 2 clicks

Sep 11 LULU $11B

Lululemon: The 15-Minute Thesis

Hated Moats 2 clicks

Sep 11 LULU $11B

Why “Affordable Luxury” Doesn't Compound

MBI Deep Dives 2 clicks

From X

@TheBenSchmark Sep 12

JabroniCoin.USD on X

Sometimes a simple chart and pun captures the entire thesis. Just go with the $FLO and make bread. https://t.co/VyIYTaVRF1 https://t.co/lGn8FncexY

@MultiplesCap Sep 12

Multiples Capital on X

Not an AI expert by any stretch, but wonder if US labs actually coordinate to "pace the frontier," it could be a stealth negative for Nvidia’s top-line growth rate. Here’s why: Flattening the Frontier Race: If scaling massive base models is intentionally delayed for alignment, the panic to hoard the newest, most expensive contiguous GPU clusters cools down. Shift to Post-Training & RL: Progress shifts to squeezing intelligence out of existing models via synthetic data and self-play. This relies on inference-class rollout fleets rather than cutting-edge pre-training mega-clusters. The Verification Layer: Evaluating, sandboxing, and grading all that synthetic RL data requires massive CPU compute .... benefitting $INTC Less brute-force pre-training = extended hardware refresh cycles and a normalized upgrade curve for $NVDA. Markets much smarter on this than I, will wait into see how the stock prices react to this next week!

@Fierce__beast Sep 12

Fierce_beast on X

For $CASY, let's say it grows earnings roughly 6% on average for the next 20 years, then 3% terminally. Maybe its 9% for the next 5 years, but gradually moves toward something like maturity of 3%, average let's say is 6%. What multiple would you currently pay on that earnings stream? Personally, i would pay no more than 25x for this. Add other considerations to the business, maybe you think it will grow faster or longer, adjust your multiple as you prefer.

@negligible_cap Sep 12

Negligible Capital on X

“No one should be allowed to try and build better AI models than us” - Dario probably How come you never hear $META or $GOOG researchers crying wolf about the imminent dangers of AI? Or any open-sourced AI company? It’s seemingly always just Anthropic and OpenAI https://t.co/9UdFguBdPY

@negligible_cap Sep 12

Negligible Capital on X

“No one should be allowed to try and build better AI models than us” - Dario probably How come you never hear $META or $GOOG researchers crying wolf about the imminent dangers of AI? Or any open-sourced AI company? It’s always just Anthropic and OpenAI, which don’t have nearly the cashflow to support their operations like Meta or Alphabet or Alibaba. Let AI defend against AI, not regulation

@partners_road Sep 12

RiverRoadPartners on X

Stan gave the example of 2001. $CSCO had aggressively grown its backlog every yr through the Internet 1.0 buildout & the Street expected the same in 2001, but instead $CSCO’s backlog plunged. The build was over, & with that equipment demand evaporated. That will happen again. https://t.co/7yB6vDgcl8

@TidefallCapital Sep 12

Trevor Scott on X

my mistake $ADBE has a Nov year end. so it's 12x nov 2027, 14x nov 2026.

@finphysnerd Sep 12 1 click

Myles on X

I feel $GEO is a pretty decent short here. It's not cheap, and I might be politically biased, but I think it's hard to see Republicans getting many wins in the midterms, which the market will likely extrapolate to 2028.

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The Five Deals That Made Apollo

Apollo Global Management’s five defining deals, from Executive Life to Intel, built a $1 trillion asset manager spanning insurance and…

APO $73B

Net Interest Sep 11 1 click

In Conversation: NVIDIA

NVIDIA sees inference, agentic workloads and robotics broadening AI compute demand beyond hyperscalers, while high-speed memory shortages…

NVDA $5.4T

Aurelion Research Sep 11 1 click

Apple: Why iPhone Duo Will Likely Dominate The Foldables Market

Apple’s iPhone Duo foldable pairs a TSMC 2 nm chip, IP68 protection and iOS 27 features, positioning it against Samsung’s Galaxy Z Fold 8.

AAPL $5T

Mark Hibben Sep 11 1 click

Broadcom (NASDAQ: AVGO) Stock Rating: Upgrade To Accumulate From Do Nothing - Accumulation Zone And Stop Inside

Broadcom was upgraded to Accumulate at about $363 after Q3 revenue reached $29.6 billion, with AI semiconductor revenue up 221% to $16.7…

AVGO $1.7T

Cestrian Capital Research. Sep 11

TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/11/2026)

TSOH weekly roundup covers Meta’s child-safety settlement, Markel’s leadership transition, Peloton’s gym strategy and an upcoming Alarm.com…

META $1.7TMKL $22B

TSOH Investment Research Sep 11 2 clicks

NET Power (NPWR):

NET Power’s $1.80 shares are paired with January $2 covered calls for 40 cents as the company pivots from carbon capture to Permian…

NPWR $160M

Triple S Special Situations Investing Sep 11 2 clicks

Broadcom Could Be Above $1,000 In 2 Years

Broadcom targets $230 billion in AI revenue by 2028 as custom XPUs and multiyear orders from Anthropic, OpenAI and Meta drive growth.

AVGO $1.7T

PropNotes Sep 11 1 click

Applied Materials (NASDAQ: AMAT) Stock Rating: Upgrade To Accumulate After Q3 FY10/26 Earnings - Accumulation Zone And Stop Inside

Applied Materials reported Q3 revenue of $9.1 billion, up 25%, and $2.3 billion in free cash flow as AMAT fell roughly 40% from its June…

AMAT $375B

Cestrian Capital Research. Sep 11

Joby Aviation (NYSE: JOBY) Stock Rating: Accumulate - Initiating Coverage

Joby Aviation is initiated at Accumulate after booking $116m of trailing revenue, forming a Toyota manufacturing venture and agreeing to…

JOBY $6.4B

Cestrian Capital Research. Sep 11

NewtekOne: Pivot Towards Holding Guaranteed Loans A Good Strategy

NewtekOne’s bank conversion and retention of SBA-guaranteed loans target recurring income, while a 6% yield and book-value valuation…

NEWT $337M

Stephen Nemo Sep 11

TVAGF · long

Tva Group INC -cl B

TVA Group, a C$61 million market-cap Quebec French-language media company, is presented as a highly asymmetric long opportunity for…

TVAGF $73M

Value Investors Club May 21 2 clicks

Affirm (AFRM): Buy Now, Cry Later

Affirm, a $25 billion buy now, pay later lender, faces a short thesis comparing its model with failed subprime monoline finance companies.

AFRM $23B

Kerrisdale Capital Jan 21

Portfolio Update - January 2026

Portfolio update exits The Trade Desk, QXO and Park Hotels, then adds Tencent at a 35% discount, SoftBank for AI exposure and HelloFresh at…

TTD $6.2BQXO $13B

Modern Value Investing Jan 20

FTAI Power and QXO's next aquistion

FTAI Power plans to convert CFM56 jet engines into 25 MW gas turbines for data centers, targeting 100 annual units and $750 million to $1…

FTAI $19BQXO $13B

Kairos Research Jan 20 1 click

Coupang Expert Insight Interview (No Paywall)

Coupang’s former strategy VP discusses Taiwan expansion, 1P-versus-3P economics, margins and competitive risks as CPNG trades 35% below its…

CPNG $26B

Speedwell Memos Jan 20 1 click

LandBridge: It’s the Pore Space Stupid!

LandBridge’s produced-water pore-space royalties, 69% of Q3 2025 revenue, offer durable value beyond its volatile Permian data-center…

LB $6.8B

310 Value’s Newsletter Jan 19 2 clicks

Uber Stock Breakdown (Five Minute Money)

Uber’s $50 billion revenue and $4.5 billion operating profit reflect a turnaround from years of subsidy-heavy growth, with autonomous…

UBER $145B

Speedwell Memos Jan 16 2 clicks

Green Dot: Creating a Standalone BaaS Bank

Green Dot creates a standalone banking-as-a-service bank.

GDOT $756M

Clark Street Value Jan 13 2 clicks

Operating Leverage as a Source of Market Inefficiency

Mastercard added $2.6 billion of revenue from 2005 to 2010 while expenses rose only $0.3 billion, illustrating how extreme operating…

MA $487B

Lewistown Capital Jan 7

Telephone and Data Systems (TDS): The New TDS

Telephone and Data Systems, a $4.8 billion telecom holding company, is being reassessed after a decade of convoluted investor messaging.

TDS $4.2B

Kerrisdale Capital Jan 7

Saturday, September 12, 2026

JabroniCoin.USD on X

Multiples Capital on X

Fierce_beast on X

Negligible Capital on X

Negligible Capital on X

RiverRoadPartners on X

Trevor Scott on X

Myles on X

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