Saturday, September 12, 2026

AI Terminator Fears Grow & Rates Breach 4.9% | The Weekly Wrap

Ten-year Treasury yields breach 4.9% as Steve Eisman discusses AI fears, OpenAI's price cut, Oracle's 30% revenue growth and Tesla's robotaxi setback.

TSLA $1.4TNVDA $5.5T

Steve Eisman Sep 11 2 clicks

Sep 11 LULU $11B

Lululemon: The 15-Minute Thesis

Hated Moats 2 clicks

Sep 11 LULU $11B

Why “Affordable Luxury” Doesn't Compound

MBI Deep Dives 2 clicks

From X

@TheBenSchmark Sep 12

JabroniCoin.USD on X

Sometimes a simple chart and pun captures the entire thesis. Just go with the $FLO and make bread. https://t.co/VyIYTaVRF1 https://t.co/lGn8FncexY

@MultiplesCap Sep 12

Multiples Capital on X

Not an AI expert by any stretch, but wonder if US labs actually coordinate to "pace the frontier," it could be a stealth negative for Nvidia’s top-line growth rate. Here’s why: Flattening the Frontier Race: If scaling massive base models is intentionally delayed for alignment, the panic to hoard the newest, most expensive contiguous GPU clusters cools down. Shift to Post-Training & RL: Progress shifts to squeezing intelligence out of existing models via synthetic data and self-play. This relies on inference-class rollout fleets rather than cutting-edge pre-training mega-clusters. The Verification Layer: Evaluating, sandboxing, and grading all that synthetic RL data requires massive CPU compute .... benefitting $INTC Less brute-force pre-training = extended hardware refresh cycles and a normalized upgrade curve for $NVDA. Markets much smarter on this than I, will wait into see how the stock prices react to this next week!

@Fierce__beast Sep 12

Fierce_beast on X

For $CASY, let's say it grows earnings roughly 6% on average for the next 20 years, then 3% terminally. Maybe its 9% for the next 5 years, but gradually moves toward something like maturity of 3%, average let's say is 6%. What multiple would you currently pay on that earnings stream? Personally, i would pay no more than 25x for this. Add other considerations to the business, maybe you think it will grow faster or longer, adjust your multiple as you prefer.

@negligible_cap Sep 12

Negligible Capital on X

“No one should be allowed to try and build better AI models than us” - Dario probably How come you never hear $META or $GOOG researchers crying wolf about the imminent dangers of AI? Or any open-sourced AI company? It’s seemingly always just Anthropic and OpenAI https://t.co/9UdFguBdPY

@negligible_cap Sep 12

Negligible Capital on X

“No one should be allowed to try and build better AI models than us” - Dario probably How come you never hear $META or $GOOG researchers crying wolf about the imminent dangers of AI? Or any open-sourced AI company? It’s always just Anthropic and OpenAI, which don’t have nearly the cashflow to support their operations like Meta or Alphabet or Alibaba. Let AI defend against AI, not regulation

@partners_road Sep 12

RiverRoadPartners on X

Stan gave the example of 2001. $CSCO had aggressively grown its backlog every yr through the Internet 1.0 buildout & the Street expected the same in 2001, but instead $CSCO’s backlog plunged. The build was over, & with that equipment demand evaporated. That will happen again. https://t.co/7yB6vDgcl8

@TidefallCapital Sep 12

Trevor Scott on X

my mistake $ADBE has a Nov year end. so it's 12x nov 2027, 14x nov 2026.

@finphysnerd Sep 12 1 click

Myles on X

I feel $GEO is a pretty decent short here. It's not cheap, and I might be politically biased, but I think it's hard to see Republicans getting many wins in the midterms, which the market will likely extrapolate to 2028.

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The Five Deals That Made Apollo

Apollo Global Management’s five defining deals, from Executive Life to Intel, built a $1 trillion asset manager spanning insurance and…

APO $74B

Net Interest Sep 11 1 click

In Conversation: NVIDIA

NVIDIA sees inference, agentic workloads and robotics broadening AI compute demand beyond hyperscalers, while high-speed memory shortages…

NVDA $5.5T

Aurelion Research Sep 11 1 click

Apple: Why iPhone Duo Will Likely Dominate The Foldables Market

Apple’s iPhone Duo foldable pairs a TSMC 2 nm chip, IP68 protection and iOS 27 features, positioning it against Samsung’s Galaxy Z Fold 8.

AAPL $5T

Mark Hibben Sep 11 1 click

Broadcom (NASDAQ: AVGO) Stock Rating: Upgrade To Accumulate From Do Nothing - Accumulation Zone And Stop Inside

Broadcom was upgraded to Accumulate at about $363 after Q3 revenue reached $29.6 billion, with AI semiconductor revenue up 221% to $16.7…

AVGO $1.7T

Cestrian Capital Research. Sep 11

TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/11/2026)

TSOH weekly roundup covers Meta’s child-safety settlement, Markel’s leadership transition, Peloton’s gym strategy and an upcoming Alarm.com…

META $1.7TMKL $22B

TSOH Investment Research Sep 11 2 clicks

NET Power (NPWR):

NET Power’s $1.80 shares are paired with January $2 covered calls for 40 cents as the company pivots from carbon capture to Permian…

NPWR $161M

Triple S Special Situations Investing Sep 11 2 clicks

Broadcom Could Be Above $1,000 In 2 Years

Broadcom targets $230 billion in AI revenue by 2028 as custom XPUs and multiyear orders from Anthropic, OpenAI and Meta drive growth.

AVGO $1.7T

PropNotes Sep 11 1 click

Applied Materials (NASDAQ: AMAT) Stock Rating: Upgrade To Accumulate After Q3 FY10/26 Earnings - Accumulation Zone And Stop Inside

Applied Materials reported Q3 revenue of $9.1 billion, up 25%, and $2.3 billion in free cash flow as AMAT fell roughly 40% from its June…

AMAT $375B

Cestrian Capital Research. Sep 11

Joby Aviation (NYSE: JOBY) Stock Rating: Accumulate - Initiating Coverage

Joby Aviation is initiated at Accumulate after booking $116m of trailing revenue, forming a Toyota manufacturing venture and agreeing to…

JOBY $6.2B

Cestrian Capital Research. Sep 11

NewtekOne: Pivot Towards Holding Guaranteed Loans A Good Strategy

NewtekOne’s bank conversion and retention of SBA-guaranteed loans target recurring income, while a 6% yield and book-value valuation…

NEWT $343M

Stephen Nemo Sep 11

MOH · long

Molina Healthcare

Molina Healthcare faces unprecedented Medicaid managed-care cost inflation and margin compression after its shares declined since October…

MOH $11B

Value Investors Club Jun 6

Cestrian Daily Market Review - Wednesday 26 August 2026

Nvidia’s Q2 earnings drove overnight gains as markets awaited Thursday’s close, while the review tracked Treasuries, gold, oil, crypto and…

NVDA $5.5T

Cestrian Capital Research. Aug 26

Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) Q2 Earnings Review - Rating, Hold; PT $260, Stretch $300, Stp<$189

Nvidia posted $96.2 billion in Q2 revenue, up 106%, and guided Q3 revenue to $108 billion. The review rates NVDA Hold with a $260 target.

NVDA $5.5T

Cestrian Capital Research. Aug 26

No Paywall: CDTi Advanced Materials: Two Supermajors and Twelve Months of Cash

CDTi Advanced Materials has $804,000 of cash, roughly 12 months of runway, and unproven maritime methane technology despite ExxonMobil and…

CDTI $10M

Guardian Research Aug 26

RKLB 2026-08-26

Rocket Lab Is Becoming Much Bigger Than Neutron

Rocket Lab generated $234 million in Q2 revenue and built a $2.36 billion backlog, with Neutron priced at $50 million to $55 million before…

RKLB $38B

Pythia Research Aug 26 3 clicks

Nvidia’s Long-Term Margin Question

Nvidia faces questions over the durability of its long-term profit margins ahead of earnings.

NVDA $5.5T

MBI Deep Dives Aug 26 4 clicks

[scuttleslops] AI Data Center Economics, ADI, INTU, IDXX

AWS AI campuses cost $40–$45 billion per gigawatt, with Trainium 3 expected to lift compute per megawatt and improve infrastructure returns.

AMZN $2.7T

scuttleblurb Aug 26 5 clicks

KMI 2026-08-26

Kinder Morgan: The Consolidation Is An Opportunity Before The Next Leg Higher

Kinder Morgan raised 2026 guidance after record Q2 results, supported by a $9.6 billion backlog and growing U.S.

KMI $68B

Steven Fiorillo Aug 26 1 click

Quick Value #328 - Cal-Maine Foods (CALM)

Cal-Maine, the largest U.S. egg producer, trades at 1.6x book versus a 2.1x 20-year median, with net cash and investments equal to 23% of…

CALM $3.4B

Value Don't Lie Aug 25

Big Tech Off-Balance Sheet Concerns

Big Tech’s $3 trillion AI commitments are disclosed and largely long-dated, with nearly 60% of Amazon’s $650 billion commitments falling…

AMZN $2.7T

MBI Deep Dives Aug 25 3 clicks

Saturday, September 12, 2026

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