Thursday, September 10, 2026

One of the Best Business Models in the World Just Went on Sale

AppLovin trades at 18 times EBITDA after a 57% drop, despite 84% EBITDA margins, rapid growth and a machine-learning advertising platform.

APP $104B

The Value Road Sep 10 5 clicks

Sep 10 TDG $61B

TransDigm is still in it for the money

scuttleblurb 1 click

Sep 9 META $1.9T

First Impression of Muse

MBI Deep Dives 4 clicks

From X

@TheBenSchmark Jul 28

JabroniCoin.USD on X

Timna Tanners: We see limited impact from the aluminum tariff tweak $CENX https://t.co/B4tCNvsy5Z

@BrokenMoats Jul 28 1 click

Broken Moats on X

Dispersion trade creating opportunities of fundamentals not matching price: $FDS now higher than the before SaaS (apocalypse) took off. Hard to argue they are not one of the most disrupted names across data services / software $PAYC $PCTY $WDAY - same challenges across software names and pricing / seat pressures. These names also face heavy increased competition from Rippling $EXPE - Hotels going direct has already started and OTAs should see supply pressure and take rate pressure $RNG - Does anyone legitimately believe they're an AI play? Agents don't need calls, don't need phones, and you don't need RNG to provide those agents - especially as every sb and up software provider and crm/erp Many others across software but also in financials, industrials and consumer

@RagingVentures Jul 28

Raging Capital Ventures on X

$AGYS does not see negative impact of AI on enterprise software companies, argues that they are "seeing the opposite effect." Also notes the cost/benefit analysis favors software subscriptions vs. investing in expensive AI development. https://t.co/W4qnsF26r4

@mavix_leon Jul 28 2 clicks

mavix on X

Shelly Group $SLYG has exercised a Call Option for the acquisition of the remaining stake of 24 % of the share capital in its Slovenian IoT subsidiary Shelly Tech. The total purchase price for the 24%-stake under the exercised Call Option is EUR 0.9 million. https://t.co/qlSBzPVtnU

@RagingVentures Jul 27

Raging Capital Ventures on X

I pitched $ORCL at $285 as a short last October at my conference. Now at $120 think it is intriguing as a long… https://t.co/8QB7O3VSoH

@RagingVentures Jul 27 1 click

Raging Capital Ventures on X

@retaox The $CHTR broadband offering is much more competitively priced today due to tech upgrades, limited pricing increases in recent years, aggressive retention incentives, and investments into the video/wireless bundle.

@RagingVentures Jul 27

Raging Capital Ventures on X

Shorted a bunch of $AAPL and bought puts over last few days. Seems very overbought (was it a funding short?) and at a good level to find resistance. Edge AI models should ultimately be good for $AAPL, but company still has grossly mismanaged the AI opp and memory is a headwind.

@RagingVentures Jul 27

Raging Capital Ventures on X

The capex spend is mind boggling, but I held my nose and bought $META today around $590-600 I don’t how the AI bet will shake out, but I do know that… - $META Reels is sucking up engagement share from everyone, even $NFLX - $GOOG search refers are in free fall, which should benefit $META’s ad network - Zuck is the best owner-operator in the business who is willing to pivot if necessary - There are tremendous AI cost efficiency opps in core $META operations (Note: I have a long and fruitful history with $META and my family members still own their shares going back to 2013, knock on wood)

ServiceNow: A Gem Beating The SaaSpocalypse Narrative

ServiceNow expects AI to rise from 9.5% to 30% of revenue by 2030, supporting $30–32 billion in subscription revenue and margins above 80%.

NOW $145B

Louis Gerard Sep 9 2 clicks

Quick Value #330 - Deckers Outdoor (DECK)

Deckers Outdoor has fallen about 60% from its late-2024 peak and trades at 11x earnings as HOKA growth slows.

DECK $11B

Value Don't Lie Sep 9 5 clicks

[scuttleslops] UNP-NSC merger, HEI, NVDA, AVGO, DG, DLTR

Union Pacific’s $85 billion Norfolk Southern merger pitch centers on a coast-to-coast rail network that cuts interchange delays and wins…

UNP $163BNSC $71B

scuttleblurb Sep 9 3 clicks

Dell Technologies (NYSE: DELL) Stock Rating: Do Nothing After Q2 FY1/27 Earnings

Dell’s Q2 revenue rose 57.7% to $47.0 billion and RPO tripled to $132 billion, but its stock trades at 32 times unlevered pretax free cash…

DELL $339B

Cestrian Capital Research. Sep 9 1 click

Dyne Therapeutics Remains A Buy Even As Novartis Trial Failure Hits DM1 Class

Dyne Therapeutics fell 16% after Novartis’ HARBOR failure raised doubts that RNA-targeting biomarker gains translate into functional…

DYN $3.1BNVS $269B

Petri Dish Reports Sep 9 1 click

Lululemon: Deep Dive Analysis

Lululemon’s Q2 revenue fell 4% and Americas comparable sales 12%, as markdowns, tariffs and activewear rivals pressure its premium apparel…

LULU $11B

Hated Moats Sep 8 6 clicks

P&C Stocks Worth Owning: The AI Hedge with Ryan Tunis | The Real Eisman Playbook Episode 74

Ryan Tunis discusses P&C insurers, favoring Travelers over Chubb in a soft commercial market and calling AIG a near-book-value self-help…

TRV $75BAIG $40B

Steve Eisman Sep 7 7 clicks

UBER 2026-09-07

A quick update on Deep Dives

MBI Deep Dives will update prior company analyses through year-end, beginning with Uber, while deferring new work on Micron and S&P Global.

UBER $142B

MBI Deep Dives Sep 7 5 clicks

lululemon: An 18% Crash Is Not A Buy Signal

Lululemon’s Americas revenue fell 8% and comps dropped 12%, while a $134.5 million tariff refund masked weakening underlying margins after…

LULU $11B

On the Pulse Sep 7 1 click

Celsius: The Pepsi Put

Celsius holds 20% of the U.S. energy-drink market and 40% of sugar-free sales, but its $1.65 billion Alani acquisition complicates…

CELH $7.1BPEP $179B

TSOH Investment Research Sep 7 8 clicks

FTAI · long

Ftai Aviation LTD

FTAI Aviation, valued near $23 billion at roughly $226 per share, is presented as a long investment.

FTAI $19B

Value Investors Club Jun 11

On Holding $ONON: I Bought the Shoes First, Then the Stock

On Holding $ONON combines a high-margin direct-to-consumer footwear model with replacement-driven demand, after Q2 2026 sales rose 21.6%…

ONON $9.9B

Substack von Philipp Sep 7 5 clicks

Check Point Software: AI Could Change The Growth Equation

Check Point Software’s AI-centric cybersecurity platform could lift revenue growth to 10%, supporting a $166 intrinsic value estimate…

CHKP $14B

Hong Chew Eu Sep 7

Preview of the Week Ahead: W/C September 7, 2026

U.S. CPI and PPI headline the September 7 week as the S&P 500 holds key averages, Bitcoin faces $82,000 resistance and gold tests its…

AMZN $2.8TCOIN $52B

SixSigmaCapital: Navigating the Financial Markets Sep 6 2 clicks

X-Energy Could Be Building One Of Nuclear Energy's Most Valuable Platforms

X-energy targets $1.8 billion in annual revenue and more than 42% gross margins by 2032 through reactor IP, project services and…

XE $4.7B

Simple Investment Ideas Sep 6 2 clicks

AppLovin Deep Dive: Not A No Brainer

AppLovin is down 48% YTD after its first guidance miss, with revenue 1% below expectations and EPS 2.5% short, reviving fears of an adtech…

APP $104B

Capitalist Letters Sep 6 6 clicks

Amazon’s AI Economics

Amazon combines AWS AI infrastructure, model-company stakes and retail automation, with AWS targeting $1 trillion in annual revenue over…

AMZN $2.8T

Modern Value Investing Sep 6 7 clicks

SSR Mining: The Cash Is In, And Shares Are Still Cheap

SSR Mining holds $1.8 billion cash with no debt after exiting Turkey, while higher costs persist.

SSRM $7.8B

The Supercycle Investor Sep 6 2 clicks

When Anyone Can Make a Movie, Netflix Still Wins

Netflix’s roughly $20 billion content budget can become an editorial advantage as generative AI cuts production costs and floods viewers…

NFLX $511B

Bearhold Research Sep 5 8 clicks

Bypassing RevenueBench to Buy the Feedback Loop

Meta’s free model strategy lifted OpenCode token share from 25% to 40%, building coding-data feedback loops and reducing reliance on…

META $1.9T

MBI Deep Dives Sep 5 2 clicks

Thursday, September 10, 2026

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Raging Capital Ventures on X

Raging Capital Ventures on X

Raging Capital Ventures on X

Raging Capital Ventures on X

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