Thursday, September 10, 2026

One of the Best Business Models in the World Just Went on Sale

AppLovin trades at 18 times EBITDA after a 57% drop, despite 84% EBITDA margins, rapid growth and a machine-learning advertising platform.

APP $104B

The Value Road Sep 10 5 clicks

Sep 10 TDG $61B

TransDigm is still in it for the money

scuttleblurb 1 click

Sep 9 META $1.7T

First Impression of Muse

MBI Deep Dives 4 clicks

From X

@TidefallCapital Aug 21

Trevor Scott on X

$DECK back at multi year low valuations but concern is the classic value trap risk that margins and ROC are at cyclical peaks. Growth has really fallen off too from 15-18% in 2023-2025 to just 7% in 2026. https://t.co/jvT5HnDjnH

@TidefallCapital Aug 21

Trevor Scott on X

@GHadjia @MattJMcClintock Growth has been coming off fast at $DECK no? https://t.co/NvAKB2OyqN

@KEDM_COM Aug 21

KEDM.com on X

Global Payments $GPN approved a $2.5bn buyback, including a $550m in accelerated purchases, and expects to return over $2bn to shareholders in 2026. The target is still $7.5b in capital returns through 2027. Nice. And what’s also nice is the msd topline growth and 150bps margin expansion guided for this year. c. 6.5x 2026 EV/EBITDA.

@finphysnerd Aug 21

Myles on X

@ShmuelLon I actually don't think $PFF is the best expression of this trade, I'm just using it here cause it's got a long track record. But I've been going through the securities in stuff like $PGC and $PGF and I think as a basket they're very attractive.

@finphysnerd Aug 21

Myles on X

Heres a portfolio that's 80% $SPY, $70% $TLT, -70% $PFF, 20% $GLD. Similar return with way lower volatility. Obviously this is just backwards looking, but there are structural reasons why this kind of mix works (Preferred stocks suck, most of the alpha is there). https://t.co/pfsyWJG2f2

@finphysnerd Aug 21

Myles on X

@taobanker This is reasonable. I guess the counter would be that current business momentum is much stronger than at least $LULU, I haven't looked at Gap or BBW

@AltayCapital Aug 21 1 click

AltayCap on X

@finphysnerd @taobanker A sentiment check on X searching $DECK, its universally positive except @CatNyanpital who is the only bearish comments on this name. Doesn't mean it can't work though

@BlueDuckCap Aug 20 1 click

BDC on X

Contrarian view: $MRNA raises equity in next week. Bullish. No equity raise in the next 2-3 weeks? Very bearish.

ServiceNow: A Gem Beating The SaaSpocalypse Narrative

ServiceNow expects AI to rise from 9.5% to 30% of revenue by 2030, supporting $30–32 billion in subscription revenue and margins above 80%.

NOW $145B

Louis Gerard Sep 9 2 clicks

Quick Value #330 - Deckers Outdoor (DECK)

Deckers Outdoor has fallen about 60% from its late-2024 peak and trades at 11x earnings as HOKA growth slows.

DECK $11B

Value Don't Lie Sep 9 5 clicks

[scuttleslops] UNP-NSC merger, HEI, NVDA, AVGO, DG, DLTR

Union Pacific’s $85 billion Norfolk Southern merger pitch centers on a coast-to-coast rail network that cuts interchange delays and wins…

UNP $161BNSC $71B

scuttleblurb Sep 9 3 clicks

Dell Technologies (NYSE: DELL) Stock Rating: Do Nothing After Q2 FY1/27 Earnings

Dell’s Q2 revenue rose 57.7% to $47.0 billion and RPO tripled to $132 billion, but its stock trades at 32 times unlevered pretax free cash…

DELL $366B

Cestrian Capital Research. Sep 9 1 click

Dyne Therapeutics Remains A Buy Even As Novartis Trial Failure Hits DM1 Class

Dyne Therapeutics fell 16% after Novartis’ HARBOR failure raised doubts that RNA-targeting biomarker gains translate into functional…

DYN $3.2BNVS $269B

Petri Dish Reports Sep 9 1 click

Lululemon: Deep Dive Analysis

Lululemon’s Q2 revenue fell 4% and Americas comparable sales 12%, as markdowns, tariffs and activewear rivals pressure its premium apparel…

LULU $11B

Hated Moats Sep 8 6 clicks

P&C Stocks Worth Owning: The AI Hedge with Ryan Tunis | The Real Eisman Playbook Episode 74

Ryan Tunis discusses P&C insurers, favoring Travelers over Chubb in a soft commercial market and calling AIG a near-book-value self-help…

TRV $75BAIG $39B

Steve Eisman Sep 7 6 clicks

UBER 2026-09-07

A quick update on Deep Dives

MBI Deep Dives will update prior company analyses through year-end, beginning with Uber, while deferring new work on Micron and S&P Global.

UBER $145B

MBI Deep Dives Sep 7 5 clicks

lululemon: An 18% Crash Is Not A Buy Signal

Lululemon’s Americas revenue fell 8% and comps dropped 12%, while a $134.5 million tariff refund masked weakening underlying margins after…

LULU $11B

On the Pulse Sep 7 1 click

Celsius: The Pepsi Put

Celsius holds 20% of the U.S. energy-drink market and 40% of sugar-free sales, but its $1.65 billion Alani acquisition complicates…

CELH $7.1BPEP $179B

TSOH Investment Research Sep 7 7 clicks

FTAI · long

Ftai Aviation LTD

FTAI Aviation, valued near $23 billion at roughly $226 per share, is presented as a long investment.

FTAI $19B

Value Investors Club Jun 11

On Holding $ONON: I Bought the Shoes First, Then the Stock

On Holding $ONON combines a high-margin direct-to-consumer footwear model with replacement-driven demand, after Q2 2026 sales rose 21.6%…

ONON $9.9B

Substack von Philipp Sep 7 5 clicks

Check Point Software: AI Could Change The Growth Equation

Check Point Software’s AI-centric cybersecurity platform could lift revenue growth to 10%, supporting a $166 intrinsic value estimate…

CHKP $14B

Hong Chew Eu Sep 7

Preview of the Week Ahead: W/C September 7, 2026

U.S. CPI and PPI headline the September 7 week as the S&P 500 holds key averages, Bitcoin faces $82,000 resistance and gold tests its…

AMZN $2.8TCOIN $51B

SixSigmaCapital: Navigating the Financial Markets Sep 6 2 clicks

X-Energy Could Be Building One Of Nuclear Energy's Most Valuable Platforms

X-energy targets $1.8 billion in annual revenue and more than 42% gross margins by 2032 through reactor IP, project services and…

XE $4.7B

Simple Investment Ideas Sep 6 2 clicks

AppLovin Deep Dive: Not A No Brainer

AppLovin is down 48% YTD after its first guidance miss, with revenue 1% below expectations and EPS 2.5% short, reviving fears of an adtech…

APP $104B

Capitalist Letters Sep 6 6 clicks

Amazon’s AI Economics

Amazon combines AWS AI infrastructure, model-company stakes and retail automation, with AWS targeting $1 trillion in annual revenue over…

AMZN $2.8T

Modern Value Investing Sep 6 7 clicks

SSR Mining: The Cash Is In, And Shares Are Still Cheap

SSR Mining holds $1.8 billion cash with no debt after exiting Turkey, while higher costs persist.

SSRM $7.8B

The Supercycle Investor Sep 6 2 clicks

When Anyone Can Make a Movie, Netflix Still Wins

Netflix’s roughly $20 billion content budget can become an editorial advantage as generative AI cuts production costs and floods viewers…

NFLX $511B

Bearhold Research Sep 5 8 clicks

Bypassing RevenueBench to Buy the Feedback Loop

Meta’s free model strategy lifted OpenCode token share from 25% to 40%, building coding-data feedback loops and reducing reliance on…

META $1.7T

MBI Deep Dives Sep 5 2 clicks

Thursday, September 10, 2026

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