Thursday, September 10, 2026

One of the Best Business Models in the World Just Went on Sale

AppLovin trades at 18 times EBITDA after a 57% drop, despite 84% EBITDA margins, rapid growth and a machine-learning advertising platform.

APP $104B

The Value Road Sep 10 5 clicks

Sep 10 TDG $61B

TransDigm is still in it for the money

scuttleblurb 1 click

Sep 9 DECK $11B

Quick Value #330 - Deckers Outdoor (DECK)

Value Don't Lie 5 clicks

From X

@orrdavid Sep 10 1 click

David Orr on X

Does anyone know a way for an $IBKR account to sell the Oracle default swaps, and have those still been going up a ton? IE: I want to get paid if Oracle does not in fact go bust.

@RagingVentures Sep 10 2 clicks

Raging Capital Ventures on X

Very well stated, short $PANW https://t.co/QcEgBbM9Mg

@orrdavid Sep 10

David Orr on X

In the 2000 example, $QQQ tried to take one final leg up... but it took 3 months. So even if we get a bit higher move up in $SOXX short term, I won't read into it too much. It'll really be new highs that makes me change my mind here. https://t.co/V5l640oDKE

@orrdavid Sep 10

David Orr on X

$SOXX lost 30% in a month. So similar to $QQQ in 2000.

@leevalueroach Sep 10

Lee Roach on X

I wrote up $APP. Gave it my thoughts. I think it is one of the best business models in the world. And if they can successfully get into the e-commerce space then there is a ton of white space for growth. Found a decent way to track their move to e-commerce too which I don't think many are doing. I am not buying here as this is like a 4% free cash flow yield. But this stock is volatile and I plan to take advantage of any sort of downturn and freak out price drop, which tends to happen in this industry. Putting it on my watch list. Have a read if you like ad-tech space. I find it fascinating.

@stockgutter Sep 10

SG on X

Looks like $NU US operations are live. Might consider if it has Zelle. https://t.co/SATYDU8b7y

@blondesnmoney Sep 10

Cluseau Investments on X

It's 4:06 and $ORCL hasn't reported (they always go around 4:05) https://t.co/lF8nMF1LL5

@DeepSailCapital Sep 10

Deep Sail Capital on X

Biggest miss was $RUM. $RUM was my worst pick on four of five lists. Average: -23%. $PLTR: -13% average across four lists. Right on the multiple, wrong on the stock, repeatedly. $CVNA: -4% average — and I had it tagged Potential Fraud.

[scuttleslops] UNP-NSC merger, HEI, NVDA, AVGO, DG, DLTR

Union Pacific’s $85 billion Norfolk Southern merger pitch centers on a coast-to-coast rail network that cuts interchange delays and wins…

UNP $161BNSC $71B

scuttleblurb Sep 9 3 clicks

Dell Technologies (NYSE: DELL) Stock Rating: Do Nothing After Q2 FY1/27 Earnings

Dell’s Q2 revenue rose 57.7% to $47.0 billion and RPO tripled to $132 billion, but its stock trades at 32 times unlevered pretax free cash…

DELL $366B

Cestrian Capital Research. Sep 9 1 click

Lululemon: Deep Dive Analysis

Lululemon’s Q2 revenue fell 4% and Americas comparable sales 12%, as markdowns, tariffs and activewear rivals pressure its premium apparel…

LULU $11B

Hated Moats Sep 8 5 clicks

P&C Stocks Worth Owning: The AI Hedge with Ryan Tunis | The Real Eisman Playbook Episode 74

Ryan Tunis discusses P&C insurers, favoring Travelers over Chubb in a soft commercial market and calling AIG a near-book-value self-help…

TRV $79BAIG $39B

Steve Eisman Sep 7 6 clicks

Pinterest: Underlying Growth Remains Stronger Than The Market Thinks

Pinterest’s Q2 showed reaccelerating North American growth, while weaker international trends, AI-related engagement risks and elevated…

PINS $11B

Richard Durant Sep 7 2 clicks

UBER 2026-09-07

A quick update on Deep Dives

MBI Deep Dives will update prior company analyses through year-end, beginning with Uber, while deferring new work on Micron and S&P Global.

UBER $145B

MBI Deep Dives Sep 7 5 clicks

lululemon: An 18% Crash Is Not A Buy Signal

Lululemon’s Americas revenue fell 8% and comps dropped 12%, while a $134.5 million tariff refund masked weakening underlying margins after…

LULU $11B

On the Pulse Sep 7 1 click

Celsius: The Pepsi Put

Celsius holds 20% of the U.S. energy-drink market and 40% of sugar-free sales, but its $1.65 billion Alani acquisition complicates…

PEP $182B

TSOH Investment Research Sep 7 7 clicks

Check Point Software: AI Could Change The Growth Equation

Check Point Software’s AI-centric cybersecurity platform could lift revenue growth to 10%, supporting a $166 intrinsic value estimate…

CHKP $14B

Hong Chew Eu Sep 7

Preview of the Week Ahead: W/C September 7, 2026

U.S. CPI and PPI headline the September 7 week as the S&P 500 holds key averages, Bitcoin faces $82,000 resistance and gold tests its…

COIN $51B

SixSigmaCapital: Navigating the Financial Markets Sep 6 2 clicks

PYPL · long

Paypal Holdings INC

PayPal’s valuation implies free cash flow will shrink 9.3% annually over the next decade, framing a long thesis against its recent revenue…

PYPL $45B

Value Investors Club May 25

MercadoLibre: Valuation Model

MercadoLibre’s sum-of-the-parts model values commerce and payments on FCFF, credit on equity returns, producing a $1,980 base-case target…

MELI $93B

Hated Moats Jul 10

U-Haul Bought at the Top

U-Haul’s pandemic-era fleet purchases at inflated prices now drive higher depreciation and disposal losses as truck and van prices…

UHAL $13B

scuttleblurb Jul 10 2 clicks

[scuttlebits] CPRT, ADBE, FIG, NVDA, QCOM, FDS, Memory chips

Copart’s returning CEO Jay Adair plans to restart European expansion and build domestic whole-car sales on its global buyer network amid…

CPRT $27B

scuttleblurb Jul 9 4 clicks

Deep Dive: Palantir ($PLTR)

Palantir’s forward-deployed engineering model underpins its AI software growth, but AWS, Microsoft and AI labs are copying it at scale as…

PLTR $440B

Rebound Capital Jul 7

Hated Moats Brief: SAP in 10 Minutes

SAP’s deeply embedded ERP systems support its cloud transition, but slowing backlog growth and AI disruption fears drove a 33% YTD share…

SAP $247B

Hated Moats Jul 7

Blackstone's Subs - Inside the Jersey Mike's IPO.

Jersey Mike’s IPO filing shows 47% adjusted EBITDA margin after Blackstone cut founder spending, ad subsidies and Area Director fees, while…

BX $94B

First Strike Research Jul 5 1 click

SAP: Deep Dive Analysis

SAP’s deeply embedded ERP suite creates high switching costs as it moves customers to cloud subscriptions and embeds AI in core workflows.

SAP $247B

Hated Moats Jul 3

Stretch Marks

Strategy owns 847,363 Bitcoin and funded $13.7 billion of purchases this year with Stretch preferred stock, a variable-dividend security…

MSTR $64B

Net Interest Jul 3

Quick Value #320 - Somnigroup (SGI)

Somnigroup’s $2.5 billion all-stock Leggett & Platt acquisition adds vertical integration as the bedding leader targets mid-single-digit…

SGI $14B

Value Don't Lie Jun 29

Thursday, September 10, 2026

David Orr on X

Raging Capital Ventures on X

David Orr on X

David Orr on X

Lee Roach on X

SG on X

Cluseau Investments on X

Deep Sail Capital on X

Investor Letters

Publications we follow

Newsletters 91

YouTube 4

Blogs 12

Seeking Alpha 29 of 157

X accounts we follow

Investor letters we follow

Sectors