Saturday, September 5, 2026

When Anyone Can Make a Movie, Netflix Still Wins

Netflix’s roughly $20 billion content budget can become an editorial advantage as generative AI cuts production costs and floods viewers with synthetic content.

NFLX $511B

Bearhold Research Sep 5 8 clicks

Sep 5 META $1.8T

Bypassing RevenueBench to Buy the Feedback Loop

MBI Deep Dives 2 clicks

Sep 4 NVDA $5.2T

Is OpenAI the Achilles’ Heel of the US Economy? | The Weekly Wrap

Steve Eisman 24 clicks

From X

@orrdavid Sep 5 3 clicks

David Orr on X

$GS should have ponied up the money. https://t.co/isJsSGuEzB

@orrdavid Sep 5 3 clicks

David Orr on X

Great companies are built by doing things differently, taking risks. $IBKR https://t.co/3sLFcI0ImD

@ChrisCamillo Sep 5 1 click

Chris Camillo on X

@UncleAlpha007 FCL is a pretty useless valuation metric for a company deliberately reinvesting to fund explosive growth. And there’s a massive spread of outcomes on what $BE revenue even looks like in 2030.

@stockgutter Sep 5 1 click

SG on X

At one time my largest position was short $KOLD calls. Considering rebuilding this position. KOLD is the 2x natgas bear ETF. https://t.co/gEVYK0445e

@stockgutter Sep 5 1 click

SG on X

imo the risk is not egg price going lower -- its very low right now, and $VITL gets sells into the premium tier. but the company is exposed to corn/soy. At least the last time I checked it did not hedge. Those have moved up a lot in the past few months, so my best guess is that Vital Farms is getting squeezed rn between low egg prices and high input costs. long term, that could clear the deck of weak competitors. Short term, might make for a rough few quarters.

@TidefallCapital Sep 5 1 click

Trevor Scott on X

@kashyap286 $GOOS?

@stockgutter Sep 5 1 click

SG on X

@rossiadam never thought of $TSLA FSD from the perspective of the elderly. Probably a great solution as FSD gets better but this has to be the worst demographic in terms of reaction time to grab the wheel if something goes wrong.

@leevalueroach Sep 4 1 click

Lee Roach on X

The egg market is getting killed and I am tempted to play this cycle bottom. Anyone up to speed on $VITL? This thing is looking so beaten down. https://t.co/wUgfMUorWW

Investor Letters

All letters

The Fed Is Going to Lose the Bond Market and I Found the Asset That Gets Paid When It Does

Rayonier’s 4.0 million acres are valued at $393 an acre after other assets, versus $1,200 to $1,800 cutover-land sales, framing the timber…

RYN $5.6B

The Value Road Sep 4 27 clicks

Spare a Thought for Broadcom Shareholders

Broadcom’s FY2028 revenue estimate rose from $162 billion to about $270 billion and EPS from $17.60 to $30, while the stock remained flat…

AVGO $1.6T

MBI Deep Dives Sep 4 10 clicks

TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/04/2026)

TSOH Weekly Roundup covers Costco’s $4.99 chicken supply chain, Celsius’s 20% energy-drink share, and California utilities’ wildfire…

CELH $7.1BCOST $433B

TSOH Investment Research Sep 4 6 clicks

Broadcom: The AI Tollbooth Is Becoming An Earnings Machine

Broadcom's AI semiconductor revenue rose 221% year over year as custom silicon programs and VMware software cash flows fund further…

AVGO $1.6T

Simple Investment Ideas Sep 4 3 clicks

[scuttleslops] VEEV, CRM, WDAY, SNPS, NVDA

Veeva targets CRM share gains from Salesforce migration delays while Falcon agentic labor expands its reach into life-sciences safety,…

VEEV $52BCRM $197B

scuttleblurb Sep 3 24 clicks

Perpetual Futures and CME: What the Early Data Shows

CME perpetual-futures activity is tested against more than 240,000 CFTC data points on open interest and dealer positioning.

CME $106B

First Strike Research Sep 3 17 clicks

Selling Where They Ain’t

Dollar General’s Q2 FY26 comparable sales rose 3.5%, beating Walmart U.S.

DG $29BWMT $946B

TSOH Investment Research Sep 3 1 click

Netflix: A Second Monetization Cycle Is Just Getting Started

Netflix targets $51–51.4 billion of 2026 revenue, $3 billion of advertising revenue and $12.5 billion of free cash flow as its second…

NFLX $511B

The Curious Analyst Sep 3 2 clicks

A Busted Businesses or a Cyclical Bottom?

Two U.S. protein-snacking companies lost $6 billion in market value as impairments, inventory growth and margin pressure test whether the…

SMPL $977MBRBR $1.1B

The Value Road Sep 2 12 clicks

Chevron Stock Is A Bargain Amid Venezuela Deal

Chevron committed $7 billion to expand Venezuelan output as record U.S. production and elevated oil prices lifted Q2 earnings.

CVX $444B

Bay Area Ideas Sep 2 3 clicks

LULU · long

Lululemon Athletica INC

Lululemon Athletica, a high-end women’s sportswear retailer, is presented as a long investment.

LULU $11B

Value Investors Club Jun 5

Nvidia’s Long-Term Margin Question

Nvidia faces questions over the durability of its long-term profit margins ahead of earnings.

NVDA $5.2T

MBI Deep Dives Aug 26 5 clicks

[scuttleslops] AI Data Center Economics, ADI, INTU, IDXX

AWS AI campuses cost $40–$45 billion per gigawatt, with Trainium 3 expected to lift compute per megawatt and improve infrastructure returns.

AMZN $2.7T

scuttleblurb Aug 26 6 clicks

Quick Value #328 - Cal-Maine Foods (CALM)

Cal-Maine, the largest U.S. egg producer, trades at 1.6x book versus a 2.1x 20-year median, with net cash and investments equal to 23% of…

CALM $2.9B

Value Don't Lie Aug 25

Big Tech Off-Balance Sheet Concerns

Big Tech’s $3 trillion AI commitments are disclosed and largely long-dated, with nearly 60% of Amazon’s $650 billion commitments falling…

AMZN $2.7T

MBI Deep Dives Aug 25 3 clicks

One Year of Rebound Capital Portfolio

Rebound Capital’s portfolio beat the S&P 500 by 7.3% in its first year, targeting 17% EBIT growth against a 20.3x forward EV/EBIT multiple.

AMD $887BLLY $1.2T

Rebound Capital Aug 25

Atlas Engineered Products ($AEP.V) FINS Review

Atlas Engineered Products reported Q2 revenue up 19% to $16.2 million, but ended cashless on its credit line as inventory rose 47% and…

APEUF $29M

Wolf's Substack Aug 25 10 clicks

STNE 2026-08-25

StoneCo: Deep Value Hiding Behind Brazil's Rate Fears - For Now

StoneCo's buybacks and special dividend produced roughly 39% H1 shareholder yield as Brazil's rate cuts slow and competition persists.

STNE $2.6B

IWA Research Aug 25 3 clicks

US-Canada Tariffs: Finding Investment Opportunities

US-Canada tariffs impose 50% duties on $20 billion of Canadian goods, lifting US steel makers while pressuring Canadian exporters and…

STLD $35BNUE $58B

Aurelion Research Aug 24

NRIX 2026-08-24

Nurix Therapeutics: Roche Has Changed The Economics Of The Bull Case

Nurix Therapeutics gained $700 million upfront from Roche, a 50% U.S. profit share and Roche-funded global bexobrutideg development,…

NRIX $2.7B

Equity Eagle Aug 24 3 clicks

Saturday, September 5, 2026

David Orr on X

David Orr on X

Chris Camillo on X

SG on X

SG on X

Trevor Scott on X

SG on X

Lee Roach on X

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