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AppLovin Deep Dive

AppLovin rebuilt its ad model with AXON 2.0, lifting LTM revenue to about $7 billion and margins to 77% as Unity competition threatens auction take rates.

APP $88B

Speedwell Research 2h ago 6 clicks

4h ago DFH $808M

Problems at Dream Finders Homes (DFH)

Hunterbrook 6 clicks

4h ago ASML $660B

ASML 3Q’26: 2030 Arrived Four Years Early

MBI Deep Dives 3 clicks

From X

@StableBread 9m ago

Fajasy on X

Energy Fuels $UUUU, the largest U.S. uranium producer, fell 10% to $8.34 on October 14, a new 52-week low, the day after it filed to sell another $500M of stock through its at-the-market offering (ATM). Energy Fuels had already sold ~$300M of stock through the program, and at $8.34, another $500M would be ~60M more shares, or ~22.6% of the 264.8M outstanding. On October 13, Energy Fuels also amended its deal for VAC, the German magnet maker it agreed to buy in June, over a dispute at VAC's U.S. plant. VAC's Sumter, South Carolina plant "was constructed in connection with an offtake agreement," and that customer sent a termination notice on July 1, eight days after Energy Fuels signed the deal. VAC started arbitration on July 7, arguing the termination was wrongful and seeking the payments left on the contract. Energy Fuels says it knew about the dispute during negotiations and built in a purchase price adjustment. VAC itself lost €87.9M (~$99M) in 2025 and €57.4M (~$67M) in H1 2026, even as H1 revenue rose 34.8%. In June, my bear case was $8-10/share: The ATM keeps diluting and the rare earth premium drains out. At $8.34, the stock already sits in that range, while Energy Fuels still plans to pay $718M of cash, 65.9M shares, and up to $135M of preferred stock for a magnet maker in arbitration with the customer its U.S. plant was built for.

@negligible_cap 16m ago

Negligible Capital on X

$DELL down 20% in the last 2 days. If things get any worse we might have a Scott’s Tots situation on our hands https://t.co/GWR20XOft9

@junkbondinvest 33m ago

junkbondinvestor on X

Six Flags' stock is trading at its LOWEST level since the GFC...and its bonds are yielding as much as 13%. We're approaching $CRWV territory This is all on the back of the fatal coaster accident in Georgia in what was an already fragile situation. Don’t forget, legacy Six Flags filed for bankruptcy during the last financial crisis in 2009 My thoughts on how this situation could play out, what the docs allow, and cross cap stack rel val $FUN https://t.co/iIISfHsXSg

@negligible_cap 44m ago

Negligible Capital on X

$CRWV CDS spreads hit new highs today, pricing in over a 60% chance of default within the next 5 years per bbg https://t.co/ABpSnUk8az

@AsifSuria 56m ago

Asif Suria on X

For a minute today, I was excited that Mattel $MAT was up today because of the potential acquisition by Authentic Brands or the toy company Zuru. But then I looked over at Hasbro $HAS and it was also up nearly 4%. Feels like everything non-AI is up 4% to 5% today. Part of my Mattel article from last night:

@BrokenMoats 1h ago

Broken Moats on X

$Z nearing a 20% reversal from yesterday's low around midday to now.....

@stockgutter 1h ago

SG on X

Reminder: $KSPI has nothing to do with KOSPI https://t.co/E9XdtsYHS5

@AsifSuria 1h ago

Asif Suria on X

@sunmoonbuffalo @grok You are right and I should have said "recent" investors/traders. I was looking at $BMBL from the lens of someone participating in a potential deal or merger arbitrage situation. There is no denying that long-term shareholders lost a lot on money on this company.

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Park Aerospace: The Q2'27 Sell-Off Misreads a Sole-Source Defense Supplier

Park Aerospace’s 11% Q2’27 sell-off overlooks sole-source PAC-3 rocket-motor materials and A320neo engine composites, with missile capacity…

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Monte Independent Investment Research 4h ago 2 clicks

uniQure: The Market Graded The Wrong Exam

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Bhavneesh Sharma 5h ago 2 clicks

[scuttleslops] MRVL, APP, AMZN, Chips

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scuttleblurb 7h ago 7 clicks

AeroVironment: The Value Is There, Growth Will Force The Market To Notice

AeroVironment's $465M LOCUST laser award and earnings beat support its 2027 growth outlook despite government budget uncertainty.

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Melissa Tucker 7h ago 2 clicks

Constellation: Stars Aligning?

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TSOH Investment Research 9h ago 15 clicks

Breaking: The Offshore Monopoly Is Legal Now!

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Cannibal Stocks 9h ago 16 clicks

TSMC Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

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Cestrian Capital Research 9h ago 4 clicks

October 2026 Random Ramblings

October 2026 market commentary covers SOLS’s cancelled merger, a hypothetical Starbucks-Chipotle deal, Russell 2000 weakness and AI…

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Yet Another Value Podcast 27h ago 82 clicks

An Interview with Nvidia’s Ian Buck on Why GPUs Keep Winning

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Key Context by Tae Kim 19h ago 3 clicks

A Conversation With Ari Emanuel About Entertainment and AI

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Stratechery by Ben Thompson – On the business, strategy, and impact of technology. 19h ago 4 clicks

ABG · long

Asbury Automotive Group INC

Asbury Automotive Group's changed setup and underperformance versus other public dealers form the basis for a renewed long thesis.

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Value Investors Club Jul 9

[scuttleslops] Cloudflare wants bots to pay; OpenAI’s ad ambitions; Memory chip competition; Muse is a proactive assistant; the Wintel of cars and robots; Atlassian as a coordinating layer

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scuttleblurb Oct 2 1 click

Nike, Part Two: The Deep Dive

Nike’s second Latticework program examines the company and the global athletic footwear and apparel industry for professional investors.

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Latticework by MOI Global Oct 2 1 click

Nike, Part One: The Story

Nike grew from a $1,000 shoe-distribution venture in 1964 into the largest sports brand, using athlete endorsements, product innovation and…

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Latticework by MOI Global Oct 2 2 clicks

ServiceNow: Still A 'Strong Buy' As AI Revenues Gain Traction

ServiceNow expects AI annual contract value to reach $1.5 billion by year-end, with assist-pack consumption pricing supporting growth…

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Jetstream Research Oct 2 1 click

Rocket Lab (NASDAQ: RKLB) Stock Rating: Accumulate After Q2 FY12/26 Earnings

Rocket Lab reported Q2 revenue up 62% to $234.1 million and backlog up 137% to $2.36 billion, while operating losses and cash burn…

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Cestrian Capital Research Oct 2

Research & Analysis | AAR Corp. (NYSE: AIR): MRO Holdings Reshapes the Margin Profile

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Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 2 4 clicks

American Healthcare REIT: A Dip Buy Driven By Senior-Care And Outpatient Tailwind

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Albert Anthony Oct 2 1 click

The Trade Desk (NASDAQ: TTD) Stock Rating: Do Nothing After Q2 FY12/26 Earnings

The Trade Desk's Q2 revenue grew 3% to $715 million as Q3 guidance called for a year-over-year decline; TTD has fallen over 90% from its…

TTD $5.7B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 2 1 click

Belden Inc.: The Ruckus Debt Looks Scarier Than The Math

Belden targets net leverage of 2.9x by 2027 from 3.9x, using RUCKUS's 65%+ gross margins and free cash flow to reduce debt.

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Lee Bailey Oct 2

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