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ASML Is Building a Hybrid Bonding Tool!

ASML’s patent filings point to a track-based die-to-wafer hybrid bonding tool that could challenge Besi in advanced logic packaging.

ASML $660B

SemiAnalysis 25m ago 1 click

2h ago APP $88B

AppLovin Deep Dive

Speedwell Research 7 clicks

4h ago DFH $808M

Problems at Dream Finders Homes (DFH)

Hunterbrook 7 clicks

From X

@gnoble79 5m ago

George Noble on X

“We’re not a widget factory… we’re a high alpha company.” Wait, what? $OPEN https://t.co/GuBhSn0Gvp

@gnoble79 10m ago 1 click

George Noble on X

Keith Rabois belongs in jail. $OPEN https://t.co/NO4rrL3URv

@gnoble79 11m ago

George Noble on X

@rabois @MarkNeuman18 @HHGF99 $OPEN

@leevalueroach 21m ago

Lee Roach on X

Gamestop's $GME’s eBay stake is now worth $5.3B at $122.75, up $886M on a $4.4B cost. $379M of that gain is unbooked since Aug 1 and hits Q3 GAAP earnings. ebay alone is a $0.47 per share positive impact. Consensus is ~$0.20. Consensus is ignoring the massive demand for Pokemon cards, Magic the Gathering, GTA 6, Zelda, etc. Sell side analysts continue to prove they need to be hooked up to a ventilator to breathe.

@StableBread 56m ago

Fajasy on X

Energy Fuels $UUUU, the largest U.S. uranium producer, fell 10% to $8.34 on October 14, a new 52-week low, the day after it filed to sell another $500M of stock through its at-the-market offering (ATM). Energy Fuels had already sold ~$300M of stock through the program, and at $8.34, another $500M would be ~60M more shares, or ~22.6% of the 264.8M outstanding. On October 13, Energy Fuels also amended its deal for VAC, the German magnet maker it agreed to buy in June, over a dispute at VAC's U.S. plant. VAC's Sumter, South Carolina plant "was constructed in connection with an offtake agreement," and that customer sent a termination notice on July 1, eight days after Energy Fuels signed the deal. VAC started arbitration on July 7, arguing the termination was wrongful and seeking the payments left on the contract. Energy Fuels says it knew about the dispute during negotiations and built in a purchase price adjustment. VAC itself lost €87.9M (~$99M) in 2025 and €57.4M (~$67M) in H1 2026, even as H1 revenue rose 34.8%. In June, my bear case was $8-10/share: The ATM keeps diluting and the rare earth premium drains out. At $8.34, the stock already sits in that range, while Energy Fuels still plans to pay $718M of cash, 65.9M shares, and up to $135M of preferred stock for a magnet maker in arbitration with the customer its U.S. plant was built for.

@negligible_cap 1h ago 1 click

Negligible Capital on X

$DELL down 20% in the last 2 days. If things get any worse we might have a Scott’s Tots situation on our hands https://t.co/GWR20XOft9

@junkbondinvest 1h ago 1 click

junkbondinvestor on X

Six Flags' stock is trading at its LOWEST level since the GFC...and its bonds are yielding as much as 13%. We're approaching $CRWV territory This is all on the back of the fatal coaster accident in Georgia in what was an already fragile situation. Don’t forget, legacy Six Flags filed for bankruptcy during the last financial crisis in 2009 My thoughts on how this situation could play out, what the docs allow, and cross cap stack rel val $FUN https://t.co/iIISfHsXSg

@negligible_cap 2h ago 1 click

Negligible Capital on X

$CRWV CDS spreads hit new highs today, pricing in over a 60% chance of default within the next 5 years per bbg https://t.co/ABpSnUk8az

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Read past recaps

ASML 3Q’26: 2030 Arrived Four Years Early

ASML reported €11.7 billion in 3Q 2026 sales, up 55%, and raised full-year guidance to €44–45 billion as AI-driven semiconductor demand…

ASML $660B

MBI Deep Dives 5h ago 3 clicks

Park Aerospace: The Q2'27 Sell-Off Misreads a Sole-Source Defense Supplier

Park Aerospace’s 11% Q2’27 sell-off overlooks sole-source PAC-3 rocket-motor materials and A320neo engine composites, with missile capacity…

PKE $592M

Monte Independent Investment Research 5h ago 2 clicks

uniQure: The Market Graded The Wrong Exam

UniQure's Huntington's gene therapy faces an FDA accelerated-approval decision around November 1 after three-year data met both agency…

QURE $1.5B

Bhavneesh Sharma 5h ago 2 clicks

[scuttleslops] MRVL, APP, AMZN, Chips

Marvell is positioning networking, optical connectivity and server-management chips as AI data centers link GPUs, custom accelerators and…

MRVL $241B

scuttleblurb 8h ago 7 clicks

AeroVironment: The Value Is There, Growth Will Force The Market To Notice

AeroVironment's $465M LOCUST laser award and earnings beat support its 2027 growth outlook despite government budget uncertainty.

AVAV $6.3B

Melissa Tucker 8h ago 3 clicks

Constellation: Stars Aligning?

Constellation Brands trades near $127 at roughly 11x next-twelve-month EV/EBIT, with recent business results offsetting concerns over…

STZ $21B

TSOH Investment Research 9h ago 16 clicks

Breaking: The Offshore Monopoly Is Legal Now!

Transocean’s Valaris merger clears regulators, creating a 68-rig offshore driller controlling four in 10 global drillships.

RIG $6.3BVAL $5.9B

Cannibal Stocks 10h ago 16 clicks

TSMC Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

TSMC reported excellent Q3 results, guided Q4 revenue growth higher and saw its shares slip despite strong AI-driven earnings momentum.

TSM $2.3T

Cestrian Capital Research 10h ago 4 clicks

Why Broadcom Is My Largest Stock Holding Today

AVGO $1.7T

Fundamental Options 12h ago

October 2026 Random Ramblings

October 2026 market commentary covers SOLS’s cancelled merger, a hypothetical Starbucks-Chipotle deal, Russell 2000 weakness and AI…

SOLS $9.7BSBUX $103B

Yet Another Value Podcast 28h ago 83 clicks

ELALF · long

El Al Israel Airlines Ltd.

El Al Israel Airlines, $ELAL, cut costs 20% in its 2020 COVID restructuring and was taken over by U.S. investors.

ELALF $3.6B

Value Investors Club Jul 9

$TPB: can Turning Point Brands be the third player in nicotine pouches? | Saberpoint Capital

Turning Point Brands' FRE and Alp nicotine pouches aim to become a third C-store brand behind ZYN and Velo as PMTA rules limit new entrants.

TPB $1.1B

Yet Another Value Podcast Oct 1 2 clicks

Mattel: M&A Buzz And A CEO Change Create Substantial Uncertainty

Mattel rose 19% on takeover speculation, but a potential $20-per-share bid, margin pressure and CEO transition leave its standalone…

MAT $4.8B

Seeking Profits Oct 1

Dynatrace CEO: Soon, humans aren't going to be writing code

Dynatrace completed its acquisition of San Francisco AI startup Arize as its CEO predicts humans will soon stop writing code.

DT $19B

The Technology Letter Oct 1 2 clicks

Twilio (NYSE: TWLO) Stock Rating: Hold After Q2 FY12/26 Earnings - Distribute Below $260

Twilio posted Q2 revenue of $1.50 billion, up 22%, and guided 16% Q3 growth; the note rates TWLO Hold at $305, with a $260 risk line.

TWLO $43B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 1 1 click

The AI Bubble is Bleeding Cash, Part 2: Anthropic's Receipts | Ed Zitron

Anthropic spent $2.75 per revenue dollar in 2025 and committed $518 billion to compute, while AI debt at CoreWeave, Oracle and data-center…

AVGO $1.7T

The Monetary Matters Network Oct 1 2 clicks

Constellium: The Spread Between Feedstock And End Prices Keeps Widening

Constellium’s widening feedstock-to-end-price spread supports 2026 EBITDA guidance of $980M-$1.02B and free cash flow above $300M.

CSTM $3.5B

Andres Veurink Oct 1

Don’t Believe Your Lyin’ Eyes, GPU Depreciation & Useful Lives

Nvidia argues A100, H100 and B200 GPUs retain value beyond five-year depreciation schedules, reviving comparisons with the 1960s…

NVDA $5.5T

Cassandra Unchained Oct 1 8 clicks

Why Muse May Never Need Ads

Muse could sidestep ads by becoming a neutral commerce agent, while DoorDash and Airbnb build proprietary agents that steer users toward…

META $1.9TDASH $84B

MBI Deep Dives Oct 1

Chipotle: Takeover Talk Aside, The Margin Math Is Why I Still Say Buy

Chipotle's Q2 revenue rose 9.3% as traffic and market share grew; the case rests on pricing catching inflation to restore margins.

CMG $38B

The Alpha Analyst Oct 1

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