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Saturday, November 14, 2026

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@ACapitalLP

A Capital on X

The biggest money in public markets is made when perception diverges dramatically from reality. Think of betting on sports on Kalshi/Polymarket. You’re not making a fortune betting on the #1 team to beat the #2 team. You’re making it betting on the 99-to-1 underdog when you realize the odds are completely wrong… A few situations that come to mind: - PSPs ($CIFR, $WULF, $APLD, $RIOT): Financing fears vs. the value of contracted power and development pipelines. - $TLN: PJM regulatory overhang vs. underlying FCF generation. - $FSLR: Fears of losing 45X credits vs. durable domestic manufacturing economics. What other situations fit this framework?
@StableBread

Fajasy on X

If you want to see the most notable changes (new, updated, removed) for any S&P 500 company every quarter, this page I built keeps track of that automatically. My SEC reading tool diff's each filing against the previous one, identifies exactly what changed w/in the filing and tables (footnotes included), and then uses the AI I've trained to flag the most notable changes. Those most notable changes are what's shown on this page. Not every single change (most are not worth highlighting; like legal language or something small). Click on any of them and it'll show you that exactly (image shows example for $FDX). Then you can click on any of the changes to jump to the exact location on the filing itself. Or simply open and read the latest 10-Q or 10-K on SECSift for free (no account required). See it here:

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The Spy Who Shagged The Market

Nvidia’s leadership scandal puts its AI-market role under scrutiny, with comparisons to AIG’s pre-GFC liquidity influence.

NVDA $3.9TAIG $43B
WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” 4 clicks

Is Nebius Fucked?

Nebius’ Q3 beat relied on $325 million of one-off partnership fees as it raised 2027 CapEx to $40–45 billion and may need $6–11 billion of…

NBIS $32B
Daniel Romero 6 clicks

Qualcomm Custom ASICs?

Qualcomm’s Alphawave SerDes, CPU cores and HBC could support custom AI ASICs as hyperscalers build heterogeneous fleets beyond GPUs.

QCOM $185B
Chipstrat 4 clicks

TSOH Weekly Roundup (11/13/2026)

Tripadvisor’s CEO and CFO will depart after weak Q3 results, while Roblox’s CEO discusses AI and Berkshire repurchases $9.6 billion of…

RBLX $36B
TSOH Investment Research 3 clicks

ILMN: Activism! Part Deux

Illumina appointed activist Keith Meister to its board as an SEC investigation into the Grail acquisition raises questions over 122.5…

ILMN $31B
Nongaap Investing 2 clicks

Key Takeaways from NVRs Deep Dive

NVR’s lot options and build-to-order homes limit land and inventory risk, driving capital efficiency, 20% to 40% ROE and resilience through…

NVR $15B
Ezra's Notes

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