The AI Debate is No Longer Boom vs Bust: Why It’s Time to Go Back to Stock Picking | The Weekly Wrap
AI investing is shifting from boom-or-bust bets to stock picking as data center moratoriums and company results separate winners from losers.
Friday, November 13, 2026
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Investor Letters
All letters- Asset Value Investors Ltd October 2026 079940 $486M093320 $626M
- 103 Advisory Group October 2026 AMZN $2.9TGOOGL $3.7T
- Sandon Capital — Activist Fund October 2026 FWD $134MSPSY $112M
- Minotaur Capital October 2026 META $1.6TAVGO $1.7T
- Bell Asset Management October 2026 CRH $64BEXPGF $34B
- Lakehouse Capital Small Companies Fund October 2026 COGZF $411MFNCHF $520M
- Lakehouse Capital Global Growth Fund October 2026 ADYEY $30BNOW $104B
- Spheria — Global Smaller Companies Fund month ended 31 October 2026 SFM $4.7BSN $31B
Is Nebius Fucked?
Nebius’ Q3 beat relied on $325 million of one-off partnership fees as it raised 2027 CapEx to $40–45 billion and may need $6–11 billion of…
BGIN: a $34mm tax bill and $31mm of cash
BGIN holds $31.4 million of cash against $34.1 million in taxes payable as first-half revenue fell 85% and self-mining costs exceeded coin…
Arcos Dorados Q3: Same Golden Arches, A Fraction Of The Price
Arcos Dorados' Q3 comparable sales rose 15.5% on higher traffic, checks and market share; shares trade at 8.8 times forward earnings amid…
Kenio Fontes 
A No-Spin, No-Snark Take On Nebius Group (NASDAQ: NBIS)
Nebius spent $7.3bn in Q3 capital expenditure against $981m of revenue, including $325m in nonrecurring partnership sales, and guides to…
OXY’s Q3: 5 Reasons It’s Ripe for a Takeover
Occidental Petroleum reached its $10 billion debt target early and targets $6.4 billion to $6.5 billion of 2027 free cash flow at $65 WTI,…
Opera Q3 Preview: Another Great Quarter Ahead
Opera pre-announced Q3 revenue of $182.8 million, up 20%, and $43.2 million in adjusted EBITDA, with Q4 guidance, advertising momentum and…
Gytis Zizys 4 clicks
Nvidia’s Future | My Question Marks
Nvidia’s future is framed around alleged China GPU diversion, tighter export controls and supply-chain risk after Jensen Huang’s claimed…
Qualcomm Custom ASICs?
Qualcomm’s Alphawave SerDes, CPU cores and HBC could support custom AI ASICs as hyperscalers build heterogeneous fleets beyond GPUs.
Applied Materials (NASDAQ: AMAT) Stock Rating: We Remain At “Stop" After Q4 FY10/26 Earnings
Applied Materials reported Q4 revenue of $10.4 billion, up 53%, and guided to $11.1 billion for January, but the rating remains Stop after…
TSOH Weekly Roundup (11/13/2026)
Tripadvisor’s CEO and CFO will depart after weak Q3 results, while Roblox’s CEO discusses AI and Berkshire repurchases $9.6 billion of…
EPM · long Evolution Petroleum CORP
Evolution Petroleum (EPM) is presented as a long position.
The Week Ahead
Micron’s November revenue guide will test whether an 86% gross margin reflects a structural memory shortage or a cyclical peak, while…
An open letter to Senator Elizabeth Warren
NAIC oversight missed Delaware Life’s $13.34 billion affiliated-bond exposure and permits capital treatment that props up Brighthouse’s…
Speedrun | Upcoming Events This Week - [September 28 - October 2, 2026]
Micron’s DRAM margin commentary, Core PCE and payrolls headline a week also shaped by Iran ceasefire talks over the Strait of Hormuz.
💥A Bright Line to Bankruptcy💥
U.S. Treasury yields climbed above 5% as markets priced further Fed tightening, while Meta’s AI-agent announcement lifted risk appetite…
One Hour Analysis: What would it take to break $BPRE's NAV?
BPRE trades 45% below NAV as Saba and Bulldog press for buybacks or a manager change, challenging Bluerock’s incentive to preserve…
Greenland Energy Company: A Speculative Play On The Monetization Of Greenland
Greenland Energy Company holds 2.1 million acres in the Jameson Land Basin, but drilling permits, political risk and warrant dilution cloud…
Ron Ferrie 
Hindsight Capital
Hindsight Capital tests crisis-era investment decisions using anonymized company financials, including TransDigm, Halma and Texas Pacific…
Abridged - Capital Cycle IQ & Forensic Files on the Big 5 Hyperscalers (MSFT, AMZN, ORCL, META, GOOG)
Microsoft, Amazon, Oracle, Meta and Alphabet face another two years of record AI data-center investment amid $3 trillion in commitments,…
Intuit: Bargain Price, But With Some Risks
Intuit trades at historically low multiples as DIY tax pricing pressure and customer losses test its growth, while assisted tax, Money and…
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Sectors
Ordered by how often our editor reaches for them.
