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Friday, November 13, 2026

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@aleabitoreddit

Serenity on X

It's been overwhelmingly negative recently, but here's some perspective on how supply-constrained demand from $LITE to $MU looks amid possible AI capex slowdowns. As one Korean executive on memory puts it: "Thirty people are already lined up at a restaurant that is full, and five of them leaving does not create a table." The amount of tables might expand, but supply shortages and price hikes in bottlenecks can persist through capex slowdowns or capacity buildout. From AI implications in medicine, physics, materials, robotics, cybersecurity, engineering, energy, to AI itself over the next 5-10 years... We've only reached the precipice of the next technological paradigm shift. The world is going to need a lot more compute.
@AsifSuria

Asif Suria on X

I wanted to think about it for a bit before responding and time go away from me this week. I think NBCU makes a lot of sense as an acquisition for Netflix $NFLX given its size and the optionality it provides the company. However beyond the tax part, getting this deal through antitrust will not be easy and integration will be even harder given all the moving parts to an organization of NBCU's size and Netflix's current culture as a tech company. $LION is much easier tuck-in acquisition on both those fronts.
@aleabitoreddit 1 click

Serenity on X

My personal opinion is that Kress leadership is negative for $NVDA centric ecosystems and its financing. Companies like $COHR that supply everyone, with long term visibility are more isolated. As for some of the commentary: Kress reportedly “challenged some of Huang’s proposed investments in customers, including deals involving Lambda (Neocloud)” Jensen later called her “A deer in the headlights”. And said she was “A reporting CFO”, not someone who is able to make strategic decisions… In regards to decisions made where Nvidia could build a moat against hyperscaler diversification. Reports have also said CSP executives have now considered $AMD and $GOOGL TPUs following Jensen’s departure. But didn’t do so earlier in fears of retaliation from Jensen Huang.

Investor Letters

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Qualcomm Custom ASICs?

Qualcomm’s Alphawave SerDes, CPU cores and HBC could support custom AI ASICs as hyperscalers build heterogeneous fleets beyond GPUs.

QCOM $190B
Chipstrat 3 clicks

TSOH Weekly Roundup (11/13/2026)

Tripadvisor’s CEO and CFO will depart after weak Q3 results, while Roblox’s CEO discusses AI and Berkshire repurchases $9.6 billion of…

RBLX $37B
TSOH Investment Research 3 clicks
GPC · long

Genuine Parts CO

Genuine Parts trades at roughly 9x EBITDA as cyclical weakness and elevated NAPA investment temporarily depress earnings.

GPC $17B
Value Investors Club 2 clicks

The Black Patch Tobacco Wars

The Black Patch Tobacco Wars show how American Tobacco’s buying power drove Kentucky and Tennessee farmers to organize against below-cost…

BTI $131B
Invariant

Netflix: DCF Valuation

Netflix’s updated DCF values shares at $88.50 versus $69, with slower revenue growth offset by higher margins and revised…

NFLX $257B
Hated Moats

Thinking Notes

AI capex rests on coding-centric benchmarks, cheap-model commoditization and circular financing: OpenAI’s $60 billion annual Oracle…

ORCL $396B
Bearstone

Thoughts on PayPal Buyout Offer

PayPal faces a $60.50-per-share buyout offer from Stripe and Advent, with a rejection or counteroffer above $80 viewed as more likely.

PYPL $49B
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