Looking Back at Another Successful Thesis
DoubleU Games raised its all-cash tender offer for DoubleDown Interactive minority holders to $16.25 per ADS from $11.25 after net cash made the earlier bid untenable.
Thursday, November 12, 2026
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From X
Raging Capital Ventures on X
This does not read well $NVDA
George Noble on X
The collapse of $NVDA and the AI ecosystem will be truly epic. @GavinSBaker @chamath @Jason @darioperkins @DarioCpx @JG_Nuke @MichaelMOTTCM @biancoresearch
Raging Capital Ventures on X
Does the crash of Jensen’s “Bank of $NVDA” lead to a nuclear funding winter for underfunded AI neoclouds and startups?
Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X
When investing in liquidations, sometimes your security stops trading and gets priced at $0.00 and you have to just ignore how it looks in your brokerage account From a 5 figure cost to $0 in my IRA NOT MY FIRST RODEO!!! $ARI P.S. This illiquidity is kind of awesome!
Investor Letters
All letters- 103 Advisory Group October 2026 AMZN $2.9TGOOGL $3.6T
- Asset Value Investors Ltd October 2026 4347 $112M6727 $598M
- Robinson Capital Management October 2026
- Sandon Capital — Activist Fund October 2026 CYG FWD $134M
- Minotaur Capital October 2026 META $1.6TAVGO $1.6T
- Bell Asset Management October 2026 CRH $64BEXPGF $34B
- Lakehouse Capital Small Companies Fund October 2026 COGZF $411MFNCHF $520M
- Lakehouse Capital Global Growth Fund October 2026 ADYEY $31BNOW $107B
GrabAGun Q3 2026: Where Did the Cash Go?
GrabAGun’s $34 million Camfour acquisition cuts pro forma net cash to about $54 million as sales decline, losses widen and its buyback…
Nvidia and the World Without Jensen
Nvidia’s Jensen Huang resignation leaves a flat organization built around his direct control as China GPU restrictions tighten.
This Week in Special Situations: Coursera, eToro, Fluor, Trade Desk
Coursera trades at roughly $150 million enterprise value after Pale Fire Capital took 14.7%, with cash and Treasuries covering 83% of its…
Qure Anniversary Update
UniQure’s Huntington’s disease BLA has a May 1, 2027 priority-review date, with an FDA advisory committee expected in late first quarter.
Floor & Decor 3Q’26: Déjà Vu, But Priced For A Lost Decade
Floor & Decor cut its 2026 outlook again, with EBITDA guidance falling to $535-550 million and 2027 openings slowing to 10-15 as housing…
Big Short: Fidelity & Guaranty
F&G’s main insurer held $66.5 billion of assets against $1.38 billion of statutory capital, while private credit, reinsurance dependence…
AutoNation (AN): The CEO Takes a Driving Test
AutoNation’s new CEO Mike Manley brings Jeep and Fiat Chrysler experience after the dealer chain cycled through three leaders in 30 months.
Quanta Services (PWR): Backlog Up 63% While Shares Fall 30%
Quanta Services' backlog rose 63% year over year to $64 billion as shares fell 30%, with AI and power-infrastructure demand driving revenue…
Jensen Huang Resigns. Who Should Replace Him to Keep Nvidia Successful?
A hypothetical Nvidia succession scenario names Colette Kress interim CEO and favors Arm's Rene Haas or Nvidia's Ian Buck as permanent…
Petrobras: Record Earnings, Shrinking Dividends, And The Lula IV Problem
Petrobras posted record 3Q26 production and earnings, but higher investment needs are shrinking dividends as a possible Lula IV government…
Bernard Zambonin 8 clicks
SLS · short Sellas Life Sciences Group I
SELLAS Life Sciences Group faces a short case arguing that even a strong clinical outcome does not support its current valuation.
Capitulation in packaged food consumer staples?
Conagra’s CEO change and 9% yield intensified a packaged-food selloff, while General Mills trades near historical valuation lows despite…
First Takes on GFL's Acquisition of Secure
GFL Environmental is buying Secure Waste at 11x 2026E EBITDA before synergies, adding high-margin produced-water and waste assets with $25…
Under The Hood, Novo Nordisk A/S ($NVO)
Novo Nordisk’s GLP-1 franchise transformed obesity treatment, while its valuation framework prices in 17 years of discounted cash flows.
Army Training Modernization to Elevate VirTra to Prime Contractor Status
VirTra competes for Army synthetic-training contracts as a $22 billion modernization initiative begins selecting prime contractors.
The Consultant’s Dilemma: What AI Actually Does to Accenture ($ACN)
Accenture’s $5.9 billion in FY2025 genAI bookings supports implementation demand, while AI’s automation of junior work threatens the…
Sirius XM (An Excerpt From Our Recent Letter)
Sirius XM grew 2025 free cash flow 24% to $1.26 billion as capex peaked, while companion plans revived subscriber additions and debt fell…
$BAX Is Down 80% and Still Not Cheap
Baxter International has fallen 80% yet remains expensive, making it a short candidate.
What XRN's New Proxy Reveals: A $3.5M Severance, a Shrinking Board, and a CEO Who Keeps Buying
Chiron Real Estate’s proxy details Jeff Busch’s $3.5 million exit, a six-member board split evenly between independent and non-independent…
Under The Hood, ResMed ($RMD)
ResMed’s 30 million connected sleep-apnea patients, recurring masks and software support a data-driven healthcare platform; 11.9% annual…
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