Expert Call | Lumentum & Marvell Deal
Marvell’s all-stock acquisition of Lumentum targets optical supply, DSP synergies and AI data-center demand, while adding fab integration, customer-retention and regulatory risks.
Wednesday, November 11, 2026
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From X
Asif Suria on X
Maybe Jensen will mount a comeback the way @vishal_better did with $BETR It would be surprising if the board decides to oust him from $NVDA. What would this mean for the greater AI bubble with all the circular financing and such.
@DeepSailCapital Deep Sail Capital on X
I’m looking to short a lot of shitcos if they run here: $RGTI $IONQ $ACHR $QBTS just look at my Shortlist for names.
Deep Sail Capital on X
$QNT in Dec 1 Lockup. It trades at an insane valuation of 300 P/S as the market share count doesn’t count the economic interests currently not converted by Honeywell and Others.
@DeepSailCapital Deep Sail Capital on X
$SHLS & $ARRY Merger / Short Report Review
Trevor Scott on X
@Alpha_Fox11 $COST is trading at 58x FCF and growing at 9%.
Investor Letters
All letters- Asset Value Investors Ltd October 2026 4347 $112M6727 $597M
- Sandon Capital — Activist Fund October 2026 FWD $130MSPSY $111M
- Minotaur Capital October 2026 CROX $7BHUT $6.6B
- Bell Asset Management October 2026 CRH $65BEXPGF $34B
- Lakehouse Capital Small Companies Fund October 2026 COGZF $399MFNCHF $506M
- Lakehouse Capital Global Growth Fund October 2026 ADYEY $32BNOW $106B
- Spheria — Global Smaller Companies Fund month ended 31 October 2026 SFM $4.6BSN $31B
- Forager Funds Management October 2026 OFX $70MPLT $95M
WaterBridge Q3 Update: Speed Ramp Powers Record Quarter and Datacenters on the Horizon
WaterBridge grew Q3 revenue 16.9% year over year as Speedway Phase I lifted produced-water volumes, while pursuing large-scale data center…
Lumen Technologies (NASDAQ: LUMN) Stock Rating: Upgrade To Accumulate After Q3 FY12/26 Earnings
Lumen was upgraded to Accumulate after Q3 revenue fell 12% to $2.7 billion, while strategic business revenue rose 10% and reached 55% of…
A Call with Cogent ($CCOI) CEO Dave Schaeffer: Data Centers, the $700M Refi and Life After T-Mobile
Cogent expects to replace roughly $100 million of T-Mobile payments ending in 2028 through cost cuts and high-margin on-net sales, while…
My largest position is now a healthcare stock with 195% upside to my target
An unnamed healthcare company became the portfolio’s largest position at 8%, with a $130 target implying 195% upside despite broken…
TransMedics: 2027 Setting Up To Be A Pivotal Year
TransMedics targets multi-organ transplant growth through 2027 trials, OCS Kidney and European expansion after Q3 revenue rose 41% to $203…
Conviction Queue 
I Called the YB CFO. Here’s What I Learned.
Yuanbao’s CFO says China’s new online-insurance rules target abusive sales practices, while Beijing increasingly frames commercial health…
Village Farms Well Positioned For Entry Into Texas Cannabis Markets (Rating Upgrade)
Village Farms posted record quarterly cannabis revenue, driven by international sales and expanded capacity, while positioning for Texas…
Alan Sumler 1 click
[scuttleslops] FICO, PAYC, ABNB, TREX, Anthropic
FICO is licensing mortgage scores directly to resellers, seeking pricing control as VantageScore competition and regulatory scrutiny…
Cat-Scratch Fervo
Fervo Energy raised $2 billion in its May IPO, then fell nearly 70% below issue price after a Morpheus short report, despite targeting 1 GW…
Adobe: A Cash-Secured Put Turns AI Fear Into A Lower Entry Price
Adobe's compressed 10x non-GAAP EPS multiple reflects AI monetization and ARR-growth concerns; cash-secured puts at $210 or $200 target a…
Tim Travis 1 click
TOYO · short Toyo CO LTD
TOYO CO LTD is the target of a short thesis.
Thoughts on ROIC, Margins and Turnover; Mailbox Money and an Update on Natural Resource Partners (NRP)
Natural Resource Partners is assessed through ROIC, capital-light royalty income and valuation as investors crowd into AI suppliers.
SoFi: DCF Valuation
SoFi's DCF values shares at $18, forecasting adjusted net revenue growth from 30% in 2026 to 3.5% by 2035 as it scales its digital bank…
Weekend Digest #345 (Colombia Election, AUNA, BRKR, China & EM Risk)
Weekend Digest #345 previews Colombia’s presidential vote, tracks AUNA’s earnings momentum and Bruker’s recovery, and weighs China risk…
Tractor Supply: A Yield Worth Harvesting
Tractor Supply, the 2,641-store rural lifestyle retailer, is pitched as an undervalued defensive compounder, supported by recurring…
Natera: Is the Future Worth Paying up for?
Natera's long-term future is weighed against its current valuation.
The Formula Hiding in Plain Sight
Spotify’s 761 million MAUs and investor-day formula explain how it holds off Apple, Amazon and YouTube Music despite their loss-leader…
A non-consensus thesis: the forthcoming demise of Bristol Myers Squibb.
Bristol Myers Squibb’s bear case centers on patent-cliff revenue losses, debt, and failed drug investment after $28.3 billion of 2019–23…
Adobe Deep Dive
Adobe trades at 14x earnings after a 65% decline, with AI, Canva and Figma threatening subscriptions, customer acquisition and…
Seaport Entertainment (SEG): Four Catalysts Begin in August 2026
Seaport Entertainment targets positive property-level EBITDA as announced leases and programming add $31 million, while an August 2026…
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