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Sunday, November 8, 2026

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NEW POSITION: Google LEAPS

Alphabet bought long-dated GOOGL calls after a 12.6% earnings drop, betting AI monetization and distribution overcome capex pressure and lift shares above $400 within two years.

GOOGL $3.5T
Hated Moats 1 click

From X

@Adam_Wyden

Adam D. Wyden on X

Another sleeper factor of $STGW is that given what happened on Election Day, both parties are going to spend crazy amounts of money on ‘28 election. This spend will start in ‘27 as well. The EBITDA growth in ‘27 and ‘28 will be nothing short of breath taking with a high graded mix. 12x 2027 EBITDA of 650 is ~ 28.00 bucks. What if they do 800+ in ‘28? Upside to these numbers if they do more m/a in saas / digital transformation… the only thing that is TRANSFORMING is $STGW. How could potentially 20mm shares be short? @Mark_Penn @ballant11 @jayleveton @TheRoaringKitty @stoolpresidente @AKWilk @markminervini @ACapitalLP @AndrewYAVB @CorneliaLake @ChrisCamillo @citrini This is going much higher.
@Adam_Wyden

Adam D. Wyden on X

They have a lot of opportunity to let people know about the quantum of the value gap as well in the coming weeks…. This reminds me of our investment in $race or $gmcr… multiple expansion and earnings growth as the mix of the business transforms. People can’t see it until they can. @Mark_Penn @benallanson @jayleveton @markminervini @stoolpresidente @TheRoaringKitty @marketplunger1 @BillBrewsterTBB @AndrewYAVB @ACapitalLP $STGW
@Adam_Wyden

Adam D. Wyden on X

Another sleeper factor of $STGW is that given what happened on Election Day, both parties are going to spend crazy amounts of money on ‘28 election. This spend will start in ‘27 as well. The EBITDA growth in ‘27 and ‘28 will be nothing short of breath taking with a high graded mix. 12x 2027 EBITDA of 650 is ~ 28.00 bucks. What if they do 800+ in ‘28? Upside to these numbers if they do more m/a in saas / digital transformation… the only thing that is TRANSFORMING is $STGW. How could potentially 20mm shares be short ? @Mark_Penn @ballan11 @jayleveton @TheRoaringKitty @stoolpresidente @JonahLupton @AKWilk @markminervini @ACapitalLP @AndrewYAVB This is going much higher.
@Adam_Wyden

Adam D. Wyden on X

Another sleeper factor of $stgw is that given what happened on Election Day, both parties are going to spend crazy amounts of money on ‘28 election. This spend will start in ‘27 as well. The EBITDA growth in ‘27 and ‘28 will be nothing short of breath taking with a high graded mix. 12x 2027 EBITDA of 650 is ~ 28.00 bucks. What if they do 800+ in ‘28? Upside to these numbers if they do more m/a in saas / digital transformation… the only thing that is TRANSFORMING is $STGW. How can 20mm shares be short ? @Mark_Penn @ballan11 @jayleveton @TheRoaringKitty @stoolpresidente @JonahLupton @AKWilk @markminervini @ACapitalLP @AndrewYAVB This is going much higher.
@Adam_Wyden

Adam D. Wyden on X

Another sleeper factor of $stgw is that given what happened on Election Day, both parties are going to spend crazy amounts of money on ‘28 election. This spend will start in ‘27 as well. The EBITDA growth in ‘27 and ‘28 will be nothing short of breath taking with a high graded mix. 12x 2027 EBITDA of 650 is ~ 28.00 bucks. What if they do 800+ in ‘28? Upside to these numbers if they do more m/a in saas / digital transformation… the only thing that is TRANSFORMING is $STGW. How can 20mm shares be short ? @Mark_Penn @ballan11 @jayleveton @TheRoaringKitty @stoolpresidente @JonahLupton @markminervini This is going much higher.
@Mr_Neutral_Man

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

Small Bay Industrial investors will do everything in SoCal instead of buying $REXR If you’re looking to deploy more than 7 figures in SoCal smallbay industrial, $REXR is much cheaper and literally selling some warehouse to the aggressive buyers Using proceeds to buy back shares further boosting intrinsic value Crazy public arbitrage of private market value DM open if you actually want to get more than 7 figures of exposure to SoCal warehouse
Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” REXR $8B

Investor Letters

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Floor & Decor 3Q26: Business Update

Floor & Decor’s 3Q26 sales rose 3% while comparable sales fell 1.4%; it cut 2027 openings to 10-15 as high mortgage rates pressure…

FND $5B
Speedwell Memos 1 click
MOH · long

Molina Healthcare

Molina Healthcare faces unprecedented Medicaid managed-care cost inflation and margin compression after its shares declined since October…

MOH $11B
Value Investors Club

Who Really Runs Tidewater (TDW)?

Tidewater CEO Quintin Kneen’s 2024 stock trades and board activity follow GulfMark’s bankruptcy, Tidewater’s merger and TDW’s 485%…

TDW $3.4B
Cannibal Stocks

S&P Global ($SPGI) Deep Dive

S&P Global has fallen about 20% in 2026 as AI disruption fears test the durability of its ratings, indices and financial-data franchises.

SPGI $136B
Jimmy's Journal

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