Sunday, November 8, 2026

Moody’s: Fasten Your Seat Belts, But Not for AI

Moody’s ratings business faces potential deceleration, while AI-related debt issuance and anti-data-center politics pose less risk than investors fear.

MCO $89B

Librarian Capital's Research Library 1h ago 1 click

23h ago PCOR $11B

Procore CFO: Now we scale the business

The Technology Letter 3 clicks

24h ago DEO $55B

Diageo: First Quarter on Dave’s Plan Wasn’t Too Drastic

Librarian Capital's Research Library 2 clicks

From X

@leevalueroach Sep 23 1 click

Lee Roach on X

Imagine being a Wall Street suit, drooling all over your big fat belly, and refusing to buy $GME in this cycle of obese adults buying card board squares of lizards that can spit fire for 69x the cost to print. Pokemon cards still hold value better than the failing U.S. dollar. Wall Street suits are staring at their silly little models, playing with their dumb discount rate, with the inability to pleasure their wives while GameStop transformed their entire business model.

@ACapitalLP Sep 23 1 click

A Capital on X

Perception <> Reality $OWL selling off on a $1bn Loparex restructuring headline, despite having already marked its second-lien exposure to 5 cents on the dollar at June 30, down from 63 cents in March. That excludes any potential equity recovery… Thx for the “gift” Bloomberg… https://t.co/5p1wrv5PzL

@aleabitoreddit Sep 23

Serenity on X

So update from $LITE + Win Semi ( $SIVE ) foundry: Lumentum in a meeting with Stifel at ECOC 2026 stated: - $NVDA Spectrum-6 CPO UHP demands increased materially. - NPO as larger than CPO, with multi-wavelength external lasers lifting ASPs (Sivers offers multi wave length DFB arrays, read through on higher valued products) - Demand for UHP lasers continues to exceed supply Just a status update in terms of how the optical bottleneck is going (laser prices going up, demand exceeds supply). Digitimes also reported today Win Semi ( $SIVE foundry ) was expanding capacity for CW lasers. - "CW products... are expected to gradually emerge in the second half of 2026", with meaningful revenue contribution likely coming in 2027 and 2028. - Win has strengthened inventory management for InP substrates while moving toward 6-in InP wafers for ongoing process testing. Currently relies on Tier-1 International suppliers. - Many of this was spent on DUV tools from $ASML but (Win Semi's orders spanned machinery, equipment, and fab engineering work) So that answers a lot of questions about Sivers' partner "how is this company securing InP substrates", "4in vs 6in", "production timing" TLDR: - NPO > CPO (per Lite), multi-wavelength lasers going brrr for prices - demand > supply (continuation) - Not sure why people have been bear posting Win Semi when turns out they have everything needed to mass produce CW lasers.

@leevalueroach Sep 23 1 click

Lee Roach on X

This is why I’m long $GME. Because of dumb Disney Adults. Go there sometime. It’s a bunch of adults without kids acting like children. Now these Disney adults are piling into trading cards. They are reliving their childhood because they will never have kids of their own. Even Toys R Us is reopening to target these morons. It’s turbo time.

@junkbondinvest Sep 23 1 click

junkbondinvestor on X

Remember during COVID, $RCL was raising debt (secured by 28 of its own ships btw) at 11% just to stay alive? Well, they just agreed to pay $3bn for Sandals, the biggest deal in its history 6 years ago, the question was whether they would still exist...how times change https://t.co/qsdrXBcHhA

@kab604 Sep 23

kab60 on X

It's always weird when analysts don't address the elephant in the room - you'd think things were going splendid at $CHTR and they were running with net cash: https://t.co/NPBWGrKxuQ

@ACapitalLP Sep 23 1 click

A Capital on X

$LPLA’s customer is the independent financial advisor, not the end investor. Advisors own the client relationship. LPL provides the custody, compliance and infrastructure. The idea that Muse justifies a 7.5% selloff is perception <> reality… https://t.co/VA013VwL2T

@MaiusPartners Sep 22 4 clicks

Maius on X

Love it or hate it, but the $GNRC / $AMZN deal is an extremely bearish read-through for the legacy backup power suppliers $CMI / $CAT. The equivalent would be $GM coming to China and taking 20% of the market overnight from BYD. https://t.co/loOU0ZaB7V

Tower Semiconductor Update, Part Two

Tower Semiconductor reported $526 million in quarterly revenue and extended photonics contracts through 2029, while its low-loss silicon…

TSEM $15B

CV's Substack 25h ago 1 click

Earnings Review: AMD, MELI, TIC, XPEL, ZTS

AMD’s data-center revenue rose 97%, while MercadoLibre, TIC Solutions, XPEL and Zoetis also report quarterly results.

MELI $77B

Rebound Capital 32h ago 2 clicks

Blue Owl Capital Corporation Q3: OTC Bonds Outperform Stocks In The Current Market Environment

Blue Owl Capital’s OTC bonds yield up to 6.92% and offer 8.8% levered ROE, while OBDC stock trades at a 25% discount to NAV.

OWL $17B

Arbitrage Trader 38h ago

The Midterms Have Changed the AI Narrative: S&P Down 4.4%, Nasdaq Down 5.5% | The Weekly Wrap

Steve Eisman links a Democratic midterm sweep and CoreWeave concerns to an AI narrative shift as the S&P 500 fell 4.4% and Nasdaq 5.5%.

CRWV $27B

Steve Eisman Nov 6 5 clicks

Oil & Gas M&A Boom Continues with Another Billion-Dollar Oil Buyout

Ovintiv’s C$1.26 billion purchase of Logan Energy at roughly 2x proved reserve value points to further consolidation among Canadian oil…

OVV $17B

Bison Insights Nov 6 3 clicks

Axon 3Q26 Business Update

Axon cut full-year guidance after delayed federal Dedrone contracts slowed 3Q revenue growth to 28%, while software and services grew 43%.

AXON $31B

Speedwell Memos 46h ago 4 clicks

Axon 3Q26 Update: Revenue Breaks Below 30%, Runway Reaffirmed

Axon’s 3Q26 revenue growth fell to 28% after delayed federal Dedrone contracts, while software grew 43% and its $1.2 billion Skydio…

AXON $31B

Speedwell Research 46h ago 4 clicks

Datadog (NASDAQ: DDOG) Stock Rating: Stop After Q3 FY12/26 Earnings

Datadog beat Q3 revenue guidance by $52 million, but guided Q4 revenue flat as its largest AI-native customer reduced usage after renewing.

DDOG $79B

Cestrian Capital Research Nov 6 1 click

Undercovered Dozen: NNN REIT, Weyerhaeuser, Vicor, And More

Vicor earns a Strong Buy after record Q3 results and AI gains, while QXO falls to Hold over capital structure and execution risk.

WY $16B

The Undercovered Dozen Nov 6 2 clicks

Cloudflare (NET) Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

Cloudflare’s Q3 revenue rose 39% to $782.5 million, its fastest growth in nearly four years, while a $67.9 million GAAP operating loss and…

NET $97B

Cestrian Capital Research Nov 6 1 click

Dynatrace (NYSE: DT) Stock Rating: Do Nothing After Q2 FY3/27 Earnings (No Paywall)

Dynatrace reported 17% Q2 revenue growth but flat new ARR and lower profit and free-cash-flow guidance, following its $816 million Arize…

DT $13B

Cestrian Capital Research Nov 6 2 clicks

Coherent: Selling Volume While Lumentum Sells Scarcity

Coherent sells constrained InP capacity through volume-priced modules, while a $20 billion PhotonLink agreement marks its first…

COHR $41BLITE $48B

Keyanoush Razavidinani Nov 6 4 clicks

Reddit Stock $RDDT : The Human Internet Just Got 29% Cheaper

Reddit fell 29% after warning that Google search traffic was declining, despite Q3 revenue rising 53%; the bull case rests on communities,…

RDDT $18B

Substack von Philipp Nov 6 4 clicks

Rocket Lab: Less Euphoria, Still Too Much Perfection Priced In Ahead Of Q3

Rocket Lab faces Neutron delays, Iridium acquisition dilution and cash burn despite expected 66% Q3 revenue growth, leaving RKLB priced for…

RKLB $28B

Bernard Zambonin Nov 6 1 click

Marvell Buys Lumentum: MRVL Initiated at Buy, $258 PT

Marvell’s Lumentum acquisition targets optical networking demand as AI data centers shift from copper to lasers, expanding its hyperscaler…

LITE $48B

Monte Independent Investment Research Nov 6 2 clicks

Blue Owl Capital: Book Value Is Rising Under A Default-Wave Price

Blue Owl Capital's NAV rose to $14.32 as buybacks and portfolio marks improved, while OBDC trades at a 25% discount despite a 0.33%…

OWL $17B

Tim Travis Nov 6 1 click

Uber 3Q'26: Eats vs DoorDash, and the AV Math

Uber Delivery generated an estimated $0.66 EBITDA after SBC per order in 3Q26, versus DoorDash's $0.80, while autonomous vehicles shape…

DASH $86B

MBI Deep Dives Nov 5 5 clicks

Trading Post November 5, 2026

MercadoLibre’s logistics expansion cut margins by 60 basis points, while Mercado Pago grew credit 62% with 7% NPLs.

MELI $77B

Cassandra Unchained Nov 5 2 clicks

Telkom Indonesia (TLKM/TLK): 9x P/E, 11% dividend, separable assets ≈80–95% of market cap, stub at ~2x EBITDA. Industry went from 11 operators to 3, a new rule kills the price war, and MSCI is forcing the sellers.

Telkom Indonesia trades at 9x earnings and an 11% yield as MSCI-driven selling obscures telecom consolidation, price increases and…

TLK $11B

Calvin Blissett Nov 5 4 clicks

Thursday Tailwinds #13: Nov 5, 2026

Florida marinas are 92% full as boat counts rise and permits constrain new supply, creating pricing power for existing operators such as…

SUI $14B

Trade Ideas Flow Nov 5 6 clicks

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Sunday, November 8, 2026

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Lee Roach on X

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