Bullpen.News From Edwin Dorsey
Get Daily Recap Feedback

Saturday, November 7, 2026

Back to the front page

From X

@aleabitoreddit

Serenity on X

Some industry commentary regarding a few claims recently on memory + Softbank Turbine defaulting. - On claims that LTAs are "meaningless while prices fall": $MU: "strategic customer agreements cannot be unilaterally canceled. Customers are obligated to pay for their committed volumes whether they take delivery or not" "These are take or pay agreements and there are no contractual outs for our customers from these agreements" Regarding historical contracts breaking: "These LTAs that we used to have never had any binding terms." The new SCAs contain extensive contractual obligations Regarding Elon's claims on Softbank defaulting on Turbines: Question from Morgan Stanley to $GE Vernova CEO on whether they see cancellations or financing difficulties with counterparties on their turbine orders: “No… we are not” TLDR: - Micron states LTAs/SCAs are noncancellable take/pay (where counterparties are hyperscalers). And that these types are different from historical memory cancellations. - On Softbank turbine orders, GE Vernova CEO Scott Strazik said it wasn't seeing customer financing disruptions, requests to exit turbine reservations, or slowdowns. Maybe Elon's claims are more narrow, but should be evaluated more closely given competitive interests vs. Softbank/OpenAI.
@aleabitoreddit

Serenity on X

I found the technical discussion helpful, but investor messaging to be way too conservative. If you look at how $NVDA CEO describes CPO, Jensen states scale up is increasing optical volumes by 15x. $LITE and $COHR are quantifying that by describing $5-$20B agreements spanning 3-5 years out. Having this question, and not talking about Ayar, O-Net, Poet, or ELS partnerships. Then redirecting the question to near term pluggables seems off. The vision also needs work, “communications and sensing” semi company is very unexciting. It’s technically true, but there’s no vision being communicated on being the next $40B optical giant or what Sivers is going to be in the next 5 years that would attract long term holders. The core valuation Sivers gets is from optical opportunities, I also personally disagree that it’s helpful to loop back to former cellular relationships when talking about future $GFS volumes I disagree when you portray the company as “small” when Sivers 100m CW DFB capacity is coming online, alongside large foundry partners. Which is a material % of the world’s annual laser capacity. Investors want to hear about future economic opportunities and how you fill the gap with more qualifications during a bottleneck. Sivers has a tremendous opportunity for CPO/NPO/Pluggables but I’m afraid it’s not being communicated properly. It’s understandable here since EETimes is more technical oriented, but I hope this messaging gets communicated better in the next earnings call.

Investor Letters

All letters

AMD Q3 FY26, Annotated

AMD's Q3 revenue rose 45% to $13.4 billion as data center reached $8.5 billion, 64% of sales, driven by EPYC and Instinct ramps.

AMD $660B
Chipstrat 2 clicks

Agentic AI: Winners and Losers

Meta’s Muse reached 3 million downloads and 700,000 daily users within 10 days, with forecasts of up to $28.5 billion in annual revenue…

META $1.6T
Jimmy's Journal

On’s Premium Playbook

On Holdings targets premium growth through 2029, using LightSpray soccer cleats and higher pricing, with ASPs rising from $145 to $170…

ONON $13B
TSOH Investment Research 5 clicks

The Week Ahead

Micron’s November revenue guide will test whether an 86% gross margin reflects a structural memory shortage or a cyclical peak, while…

MU $743BNVDA $4.6T
CV's Substack
CBOE · long

Cboe Global Markets INC

Cboe Global Markets trades near $232, with a roughly $24.3 billion market cap, net cash and a 16-17x forward P/E.

CBOE $36B
Value Investors Club 3 clicks

Publications we follow

Every publication on this site, hand-picked.

129 publications

Newsletters 109

YouTube 4

Blogs 15

Seeking Alpha 74 of 277

Nominate a publication

X accounts we follow

Every account on this site, hand-picked.

91 accounts
Nominate an account

Investor letters we follow

359 firms

Sectors

Ordered by how often our editor reaches for them.