AppLovin 3Q26 Business Update: No Notes
AppLovin’s Q3 revenue rose 55% year over year as AXON model gains expanded margins, while ad take-rate compression remains the key competitive risk.
Thursday, November 5, 2026
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From X
Brian McGough on X
Is anybody looking at $REAL NOLs? I bet $EBAY is. EBAY has failed in luxury authentication. It NEEDS REAL. They could use $2/share in realized NOLs with the stock trading at $3. Maybe they buy this when it's a $10 stock, but at $3 it's a slam dunk.
Brian McGough on X
$REAL CEO gets an A+ for executing on the model. But a D- for communicating on last night's call. The reality is that supply growth -- THE KEY to GMV/Cash Flow -- is ACCELERATING. Stock getting tagged today in a Quad4 tape on a sloppy guide. But this story 100% on track.
Brian McGough on X
Our call has been to be Short Retail, and Long 'boring' retailers -- things like $BBWI, $GIL, $VVV, $DRVN. Revenue inflecting positive on all three, stocks should grind higher through 2H, while the rest of retail melts down.
Brian McGough on X
Best Idea Short $FND should literally be down 20% on this print alone. Across the board guide-down and cutting unit growth AGAIN. Winners don't cut unit growth when times are tough, they LEAN-IN and accelerate investment. But in FND's case it's about cash preservation. Bulls are having major thesis drift here.
Brian McGough on X
And in other news, John Donahoe got paid $29MILLION for all that value he created last year as CEO of $NKE.
catechwilliams on X
$CVGW USDA crackdown on Mexican avocado corruption significantly erroding import vols (region where $CVGW sources all product). S. America taking share at accelerating rate as customers (ie. $CMG, grocers) shift suppliers. $CVGW sales vol -13% MRQ. Current Q could be a disaster.
catechwilliams on X
$PLUS Earnings on 8/5, expectations & stock disconnected from reality. Suppliers ($CSCO – 50% of product sales), competitors & customers all reporting sharp sales declines. Non-event PR today re a service they’ve been offering for 3 yrs is pumping stock; suggests mgmt is grasping
Brian McGough on X
Only ONE Firm has a 'Short' on $HELE today... Those $140 price targets are going to have to come down by well over $100...Just sayin...
Investor Letters
All letters- Forager Funds Management October 2026 TUA $525M
- Rathbones October 2026 SBGSF $143BSIEGY $233B
- FCL Capital October 2026 ANPDF $28BASML $575B
- Protean Funds October 2026 AAK $4.8BLFABF $13B
- JB Global Capital Q3 2026 BABA $255BFLO $1.4B
- Pendelhaven Asset Management B.V. Q3 2026 DR0 $416MALM $2.5B
- Chautauqua Capital Management Q3 2026 AAIGF $103BADYEY $32B
- Rathbones Q3 2026 GOOGL $3.5T
Trading Post November 5, 2026
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