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Thursday, November 5, 2026

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AppLovin 3Q26 Business Update: No Notes

AppLovin’s Q3 revenue rose 55% year over year as AXON model gains expanded margins, while ad take-rate compression remains the key competitive risk.

APP $118B
Speedwell Research 3 clicks

From X

@calvinblissett 1 click

Calvin Blissett on X

That’s a good question Drew and I guess if it is certain there will be a payoff eventually with a good ROC adjusting for time value of money then no. I would lean to $MELI due to logistics being pretty certain in getting that payment, as to the TVM of money part of that equation I have no idea. I remember Wall Street got really mad at $COST due to basically this and that’s when Nomad invested. Maybe I am being too harsh. You’d do it better than me but I’ll do it if you won’t, analyzing $MELI from a Sleep Zakaria scale economies shared framework that they used on GEICO, $COST and $AMZN. I cherish your thoughts and insights so I would love those
@calvinblissett 1 click

Calvin Blissett on X

Honestly my English and prose is sometimes poor, leading to me missing things that are frankly really important. $ARKO was a good example see comments by NA. I read all the reports and calls on $TLK for weeks I started looking 10/20 during the initial crash. I dictated key points and audited it thoroughly for days, editing it how I saw fit and removing things I didn’t like. I can find messages with time stamps to prove this. Would love your thoughts on this in terms of using AI as someone who isn’t a Warren Buffett level writer to help with the English and prose/structuring style of things. All quotes and case studies are from me. I would say it’s a good writeup I wonder if you agree?
@StableBread 1 click

Fajasy on X

Two things I’m watching could change my read on the U.S. economy: → Fed’s December 8-9 meeting and core PCE: Another 0.25% hike with core PCE at 3.1%, or core PCE below 2.9% with the fed funds rate unchanged, pushes the real rate (the Fed’s policy rate minus core PCE inflation) above 1%, which Growth × Policy calls late cycle. That favors commodities, value stocks, emerging markets and banks over long-term Treasuries and growth stocks. Futures put the odds of a December hike at ~75%, and October’s core PCE comes out November 25. → Bank-held AI debt: In September, the Financial Times reported that ~$18B of bank loans for Project Jupiter, a data center $ORCL is leasing in New Mexico to serve OpenAI, were being quoted at 89-91 cents on the dollar, and the banks were stuck holding more of the debt than they had planned. At its October 28 Investor Day, $ORCL said its capex peaks in FY2027-2028 and steps down in FY2029 (years ending in May), when it expects at least $30B of free cash flow.

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Intel: The CPU Comeback, Discounted

Intel's Q3 2026 results were hit by memory costs and an Israel shutdown, but enterprise AI inference could lift CPU demand as server…

INTC $287B
Monte Independent Investment Research 2 clicks

Thursday Tailwinds #13: Nov 5, 2026

Florida marinas are 92% full as boat counts rise and permits constrain new supply, creating pricing power for existing operators such as…

SUI $14B
Trade Ideas Flow 6 clicks

New Ideas From The Road

Aurelion Research increased healthcare exposure and sees opportunities in banking and defense, alongside research on Alcoa, Nike, ONON and…

AA $10BNKE $60B
Aurelion Research 4 clicks

Coupang: 3Q26 Business Recap

Coupang’s product-commerce growth rose 9% as data-leak effects fade, while management expects margins to return to pre-incident levels by…

CPNG $27B
Speedwell Memos 3 clicks

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