Thursday, November 5, 2026

Uber: The Robotaxi Discount Has Truly Gone Too Far (Earnings Review)

UBER $147B

SA Luca Socci Nov 5 4 clicks

The hyperscalers (almost) always win

Amazon’s AWS grew 39.3% with roughly 39% margins, while retail unit growth and lower cost to serve expand its delivery network’s reach.

Intel: The CPU Comeback, Discounted

Intel's Q3 2026 results were hit by memory costs and an Israel shutdown, but enterprise AI inference could lift CPU demand as server…

Telkom Indonesia (TLKM/TLK): 9x P/E, 11% dividend, separable assets ≈80–95% of market cap, stub at ~2x EBITDA. Industry went from 11 operators to 3, a new rule kills the price war, and MSCI is forcing the sellers.

Telkom Indonesia trades at 9x earnings and an 11% yield as MSCI-driven selling obscures telecom consolidation, price increases and…

Thursday Tailwinds #13: Nov 5, 2026

Florida marinas are 92% full as boat counts rise and permits constrain new supply, creating pricing power for existing operators such as…

Delta Air Lines Is Worth Buying Despite Near-Term Pressure

Delta Air Lines' premium, loyalty and ancillary businesses generate 61% of revenue as cash flow supports debt reduction despite fuel and…

DAL $57B

SA Motti Sapir Nov 5

Microsoft: A “Blue Chip” Again, New All-Time High >$550

Microsoft rose 6.7% to a $555.80 record after Q1 FY27, with profitable growth and free cash flow reinforcing investor confidence in its AI…

Moderna Earnings Preview: The Melanoma Breakthrough Is Real, But $221 Is Way Too Much

MRNA $103B

SA Lee Bailey Nov 5 1 click

GPC Q3 2026: a quick North America Automotive update

GPC’s NAPA commercial sales grew 4% in Q3, trailing AutoZone and O’Reilly as freight, fuel and rent cut North American Automotive margins…

AMSC, Datadog will be fine, SiTime is worth a look

AMSC and Datadog will be fine, while SiTime is worth a closer look.

PRYMY · short

Prysmian Spa

Prysmian (PRYMY) is presented as a short position.

FICO FY 3Q'26: Welcome to "Gaming"

FICO's fiscal third-quarter 2026 revenue rose 26% year over year but missed consensus, and shares fell about 24% after earnings.

Amazon Is Eating the World: 2Q Earnings Review

Amazon's AWS growth accelerated to 37%, while $220 billion of 2026 AI and AWS capex pushed trailing free cash flow to negative $7.6 billion.

You can’t sell the picks and doubt the miners

Amazon’s AWS grew 37% year over year, with $496 billion of backlog and plans to double power capacity by 2027, challenging doubts about…

Meta's "True" ROIC, and Some Notes from Meta and Alphabet's 10-Qs

Meta’s adjusted LTM ROIC is in the mid-50s after excluding $80 billion of construction in progress; that capacity will lower returns as AI…

Microsoft: Control Your Destiny

Microsoft’s cloud business grew from a $12 billion FY16 run rate to about $237 billion by FY26, while AI-era CapEx may exceed $200 billion…

BAT: Two Steps Forward, Many Steps Back

British American Tobacco’s H1 growth came largely from U.S. modern oral products and inventory benefits, while weakening regulation, rising…

WD #352: Situational Awareness, Warsh, ICE/MKTX, Overvalued EM Currencies

ICE's purchase of MarketAxess spotlights takeout risk for value stocks, while the Situational Awareness blow-up, Kevin Warsh's FOMC presser…

META 2Q26 Earnings Update

Meta's Q2 advertising revenue rose 27% to $59.4 billion, while costs climbed 55%, cutting operating margin to 31%.

Interview with Roderick van Zuylen

Roderick van Zuylen discusses Night Watch’s value strategy, catalyst-driven screening and positions in Asian equities including Dream…