AppLovin 3Q26 Business Update: No Notes
AppLovin’s Q3 revenue rose 55% year over year as AXON model gains expanded margins, while ad take-rate compression remains the key competitive risk.
Thursday, November 5, 2026
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From X
Maj Soueidan on X
Not saying $MCHP is cheap, but so far, their Q3 earnings narrative is exactly what most AI beneficiaries are saying about their AI and data center related growth. Political posturing might impact near-term investor sentiment, but it shouldn’t impact overall growth trajectories of a good deal of these companies. Valuation is another story.
Barbarian Capital on X
General Mills Considering Separation of Haagen-Dazs Business Outside North America $GIS https://t.co/wtqQjtZKGO
Barbarian Capital on X
DraftKings Cuts Outlook as It Pours More Money Into Prediction Markets $DKNG https://t.co/lGrshk7yNl
Myles on X
@0pportunist @Tulipspeculator @SwCap30 Agree to disagree, I guess we'll see. I think $SPY is higher in 6 months.
Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X
This is the main reason why we own 3 to 4 times as much of $CPT vs $MAA and $NXRT Blended leases up 1.0% in Q3 with new lease down 2% YOY vs new leases down 6% for MAA and down 4.5% for NXRT The renewal - new lease is too high for MAA for my liking. Much healthier for Camden Same store NOI -0.2% in Q3 vs -1.8% for MAA and -8.2% for NXRT (large chunky expenses that is not run rate for NXRT) @jayparsons
Edwin Dorsey on X
$DKNG short thesis https://t.co/1wodysWN3L
Edwin Dorsey on X
So much for the ridiculous idea $DKNG would be unaffected by the growth of Kalshi I'm still short $DKNG and think it is severely impaired long-term https://t.co/6R4qlYumPX https://t.co/7CrhmRdCa2
Investor Letters
All letters- Rathbones October 2026 SBGSF $143BSIEGY $237B
- FCL Capital October 2026 ANPDF $28BASML $575B
- Protean Funds October 2026 LFABF $13BNSIS-B $30B
- JB Global Capital Q3 2026 BABA $262BPYPL $49B
- Pendelhaven Asset Management B.V. Q3 2026 SKHY $729B
- Chautauqua Capital Management Q3 2026 AAIGF $103BADYEY $32B
- Rathbones Q3 2026 GOOGL $3.5T
- Impax Asset Management third quarter of 2026 AMAT $260BIT $13B
Uber: The Robotaxi Discount Has Truly Gone Too Far (Earnings Review)
Luca Socci 4 clicks
The hyperscalers (almost) always win
Amazon’s AWS grew 39.3% with roughly 39% margins, while retail unit growth and lower cost to serve expand its delivery network’s reach.
Intel: The CPU Comeback, Discounted
Intel's Q3 2026 results were hit by memory costs and an Israel shutdown, but enterprise AI inference could lift CPU demand as server…
Telkom Indonesia (TLKM/TLK): 9x P/E, 11% dividend, separable assets ≈80–95% of market cap, stub at ~2x EBITDA. Industry went from 11 operators to 3, a new rule kills the price war, and MSCI is forcing the sellers.
Telkom Indonesia trades at 9x earnings and an 11% yield as MSCI-driven selling obscures telecom consolidation, price increases and…
Thursday Tailwinds #13: Nov 5, 2026
Florida marinas are 92% full as boat counts rise and permits constrain new supply, creating pricing power for existing operators such as…
Delta Air Lines Is Worth Buying Despite Near-Term Pressure
Delta Air Lines' premium, loyalty and ancillary businesses generate 61% of revenue as cash flow supports debt reduction despite fuel and…
Motti Sapir 
Microsoft: A “Blue Chip” Again, New All-Time High >$550
Microsoft rose 6.7% to a $555.80 record after Q1 FY27, with profitable growth and free cash flow reinforcing investor confidence in its AI…
Moderna Earnings Preview: The Melanoma Breakthrough Is Real, But $221 Is Way Too Much
Lee Bailey 1 click
GPC Q3 2026: a quick North America Automotive update
GPC’s NAPA commercial sales grew 4% in Q3, trailing AutoZone and O’Reilly as freight, fuel and rent cut North American Automotive margins…
AMSC, Datadog will be fine, SiTime is worth a look
AMSC and Datadog will be fine, while SiTime is worth a closer look.
FTAI · long Ftai Aviation LTD
FTAI Aviation, valued near $23 billion at roughly $226 per share, is presented as a long investment.
Brown-Forman: 99 Problems, But Weight-Loss Drugs Ain’t One
Brown-Forman faces declining organic EBIT and uneven ready-to-drink sales, while U.S.
Disney: Fairly Valued, Market-Like Returns
Disney grew revenue 7% as buybacks and margins support earnings, but premium valuation, debt, rates, competition and legal risk point to…
The J Thesis 
Lululemon: Deep Dive Analysis
Lululemon’s Q2 revenue fell 4% and Americas comparable sales 12%, as markdowns, tariffs and activewear rivals pressure its premium apparel…
P&C Stocks Worth Owning: The AI Hedge with Ryan Tunis | The Real Eisman Playbook Episode 74
Ryan Tunis discusses P&C insurers, favoring Travelers over Chubb in a soft commercial market and calling AIG a near-book-value self-help…
Pinterest: Underlying Growth Remains Stronger Than The Market Thinks
Pinterest’s Q2 showed reaccelerating North American growth, while weaker international trends, AI-related engagement risks and elevated…
Richard Durant 2 clicks
Lasers for CPO/NPO: Part 3 – Master Oscillator, Power Amplifier
MOPA lasers combine a roughly 100 mW seed diode with an integrated semiconductor optical amplifier to produce about 400 mW for co-packaged…
A quick update on Deep Dives
MBI Deep Dives will update prior company analyses through year-end, beginning with Uber, while deferring new work on Micron and S&P Global.
The Quality Check #1
The Quality Check #1 reviews recent developments at Arista, Cummins, Veeva, ServiceNow and AppLovin following earnings season.
lululemon: An 18% Crash Is Not A Buy Signal
Lululemon’s Americas revenue fell 8% and comps dropped 12%, while a $134.5 million tariff refund masked weakening underlying margins after…
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