Thursday, November 5, 2026

Trading Post November 5, 2026

MercadoLibre’s logistics expansion cut margins by 60 basis points, while Mercado Pago grew credit 62% with 7% NPLs.

Uber: The Robotaxi Discount Has Truly Gone Too Far (Earnings Review)

UBER $147B

SA Luca Socci Nov 5 4 clicks

Intel: The CPU Comeback, Discounted

Intel's Q3 2026 results were hit by memory costs and an Israel shutdown, but enterprise AI inference could lift CPU demand as server…

Problems at Twist Bioscience (TWST)

Twist Bioscience’s $200 rebound followed an Anthropic-linked short squeeze, yet its DNA and protein services face broad competition while…

VSH Earnings Review

Vishay reported record Q3 revenue of $979 million, up 24%, and guided Q4 to about $990 million as rising backlog and margins contrast with…

This Week in Special Situations: Lear, AutoNation, NexPoint, AudioCodes, Xponential Fitness

AutoNation, Lear, NexPoint, AudioCodes and Xponential Fitness lead a 52-situation screen spanning buybacks, insider purchases, M&A and…

Telkom Indonesia (TLKM/TLK): 9x P/E, 11% dividend, separable assets ≈80–95% of market cap, stub at ~2x EBITDA. Industry went from 11 operators to 3, a new rule kills the price war, and MSCI is forcing the sellers.

Telkom Indonesia trades at 9x earnings and an 11% yield as MSCI-driven selling obscures telecom consolidation, price increases and…

Thursday Tailwinds #13: Nov 5, 2026

Florida marinas are 92% full as boat counts rise and permits constrain new supply, creating pricing power for existing operators such as…

Delta Air Lines Is Worth Buying Despite Near-Term Pressure

Delta Air Lines' premium, loyalty and ancillary businesses generate 61% of revenue as cash flow supports debt reduction despite fuel and…

DAL $57B

SA Motti Sapir Nov 5

Warrior (HCC): Q3 2026 Earnings

Warrior Met Coal’s Blue Creek mine cut costs to about $93 a ton, offsetting a wider discount for High Vol A coking coal as US supply…

ANET · long

Arista Networks INC

Arista Networks, at about $150 per share, is a $190 billion data-center networking franchise generating $9.7 billion of LTM revenue with…

Thinking Notes

AI capex rests on coding-centric benchmarks, cheap-model commoditization and circular financing: OpenAI’s $60 billion annual Oracle…

The Next Trillion-Dollar Chip Company

PostGPT inference-chip contenders need to run trillion-parameter models, ship rack-scale systems, beat GPUs on one KPI and win a frontier…

Thoughts on PayPal Buyout Offer

PayPal faces a $60.50-per-share buyout offer from Stripe and Advent, with a rejection or counteroffer above $80 viewed as more likely.

Lasers for CPO/NPO: Part 1 – The InP DFB Laser

Lumentum’s InP DFB laser design for co-packaged optics traces to 2007 work and faces heat, linewidth, light-extraction and optical-damage…

Rebound Watchlist: July 2026

Rebound Capital's July 2026 watchlist puts AeroVironment and Coinbase under review after UnitedHealth rose more than 70% from its low.

Airbnb’s Cost of Market Creation and Regulatory Survival

Airbnb spent 1.1% of 2025 GBV on field operations and policy as regulatory costs persisted; New York’s short-term-rental crackdown cut…

$CBZ: stop the buybacks and restart the M&A flywheel? | Reference Equity

CBIZ activist Ryan Bunn urges ending buybacks, issuing equity and resuming bolt-on acquisitions to delever after the $2.3 billion Marcum…

New Position: Volatility Merchant

A digital market-infrastructure platform dominant in rates and expanding in credit trades at 22 times free cash flow, with 45%+ FCF margins…

Artificial Bloom

Bloom Energy’s AI data-center fuel-cell growth plans face scrutiny over scandium supply, with Hunterbrook alleging China dependence and…