Thursday, November 5, 2026

Uber 3Q'26: Eats vs DoorDash, and the AV Math

Uber Delivery generated an estimated $0.66 EBITDA after SBC per order in 3Q26, versus DoorDash's $0.80, while autonomous vehicles shape Mobility's implied valuation.

DASH $86B

MBI Deep Dives Nov 5 5 clicks

Nov 5 MELI $77B

Trading Post November 5, 2026

Cassandra Unchained 2 clicks

Nov 5 TLK $11B

Telkom Indonesia (TLKM/TLK): 9x P/E, 11% dividend, separable assets ≈80–95% of market cap, stub at ~2x EBITDA. Industry went from 11 operators to 3, a new rule kills the price war, and MSCI is forcing the sellers.

Calvin Blissett 4 clicks

From X

@red_dog_capital Sep 23 1 click

Red Dog Capital on X

$BSP a Muse short? Hey Muse, cancel all these consumer app subscriptions after they price gouged me and migrate to an open source or cheaper alternative? @Musecases

@leevalueroach Sep 23 1 click

Lee Roach on X

Pokemon is such a hot product that people are breaking into card stores to sell them. Wall Street suits are sleeping on $GME with their entire thumb up their ass. https://t.co/jTm9Sj7DWI

@leevalueroach Sep 23 1 click

Lee Roach on X

Imagine being a Wall Street suit, drooling all over your big fat belly, and refusing to buy $GME in this cycle of obese adults buying card board squares of lizards that can spit fire for 69x the cost to print. Pokemon cards still hold value better than the failing U.S. dollar. Wall Street suits are staring at their silly little models, playing with their dumb discount rate, with the inability to pleasure their wives while GameStop transformed their entire business model.

@ACapitalLP Sep 23 1 click

A Capital on X

Perception <> Reality $OWL selling off on a $1bn Loparex restructuring headline, despite having already marked its second-lien exposure to 5 cents on the dollar at June 30, down from 63 cents in March. That excludes any potential equity recovery… Thx for the “gift” Bloomberg… https://t.co/5p1wrv5PzL

@aleabitoreddit Sep 23

Serenity on X

So update from $LITE + Win Semi ( $SIVE ) foundry: Lumentum in a meeting with Stifel at ECOC 2026 stated: - $NVDA Spectrum-6 CPO UHP demands increased materially. - NPO as larger than CPO, with multi-wavelength external lasers lifting ASPs (Sivers offers multi wave length DFB arrays, read through on higher valued products) - Demand for UHP lasers continues to exceed supply Just a status update in terms of how the optical bottleneck is going (laser prices going up, demand exceeds supply). Digitimes also reported today Win Semi ( $SIVE foundry ) was expanding capacity for CW lasers. - "CW products... are expected to gradually emerge in the second half of 2026", with meaningful revenue contribution likely coming in 2027 and 2028. - Win has strengthened inventory management for InP substrates while moving toward 6-in InP wafers for ongoing process testing. Currently relies on Tier-1 International suppliers. - Many of this was spent on DUV tools from $ASML but (Win Semi's orders spanned machinery, equipment, and fab engineering work) So that answers a lot of questions about Sivers' partner "how is this company securing InP substrates", "4in vs 6in", "production timing" TLDR: - NPO > CPO (per Lite), multi-wavelength lasers going brrr for prices - demand > supply (continuation) - Not sure why people have been bear posting Win Semi when turns out they have everything needed to mass produce CW lasers.

@leevalueroach Sep 23 1 click

Lee Roach on X

This is why I’m long $GME. Because of dumb Disney Adults. Go there sometime. It’s a bunch of adults without kids acting like children. Now these Disney adults are piling into trading cards. They are reliving their childhood because they will never have kids of their own. Even Toys R Us is reopening to target these morons. It’s turbo time.

@junkbondinvest Sep 23 1 click

junkbondinvestor on X

Remember during COVID, $RCL was raising debt (secured by 28 of its own ships btw) at 11% just to stay alive? Well, they just agreed to pay $3bn for Sandals, the biggest deal in its history 6 years ago, the question was whether they would still exist...how times change https://t.co/qsdrXBcHhA

@kab604 Sep 23

kab60 on X

It's always weird when analysts don't address the elephant in the room - you'd think things were going splendid at $CHTR and they were running with net cash: https://t.co/NPBWGrKxuQ

Thursday Tailwinds #13: Nov 5, 2026

Florida marinas are 92% full as boat counts rise and permits constrain new supply, creating pricing power for existing operators such as…

SUI $14B

Trade Ideas Flow Nov 5 6 clicks

Delta Air Lines Is Worth Buying Despite Near-Term Pressure

Delta Air Lines' premium, loyalty and ancillary businesses generate 61% of revenue as cash flow supports debt reduction despite fuel and…

DAL $57B

Motti Sapir Nov 5

GPC Q3 2026: a quick North America Automotive update

GPC’s NAPA commercial sales grew 4% in Q3, trailing AutoZone and O’Reilly as freight, fuel and rent cut North American Automotive margins…

GPC $17BORLY $73B

Stock Thoughts Nov 4 7 clicks

AMSC, Datadog will be fine, SiTime is worth a look

AMSC and Datadog will be fine, while SiTime is worth a closer look.

DDOG $79BSITM $11B

The Technology Letter Nov 4 5 clicks

An Interview With Intuit CEO Sasan Goodarzi About Accounting and AI

Intuit CEO Sasan Goodarzi discusses using AI to turn accountants from customer-acquisition partners into customers, alongside QuickBooks,…

INTU $92B

Stratechery by Ben Thompson – On the business, strategy, and impact of technology. Nov 4 2 clicks

DigitalOcean (DOCN) Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

DigitalOcean reported Q3 revenue up 40% to $321 million and lifted Q4 guidance above consensus, while GPU and data-center expansion cut…

DOCN $11B

Cestrian Capital Research Nov 4 2 clicks

New Ideas From The Road

Aurelion Research increased healthcare exposure and sees opportunities in banking and defense, alongside research on Alcoa, Nike, ONON and…

AA $10BNKE $60B

Aurelion Research Nov 4 4 clicks

L3Harris (LHX) Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

L3Harris booked $19.3 billion of Q3 orders, lifting backlog to $53.2 billion, raised FY26 guidance and cut its 2028 free-cash-flow target…

LHX $48B

Cestrian Capital Research Nov 4 3 clicks

Coupang: 3Q26 Business Recap

Coupang’s product-commerce growth rose 9% as data-leak effects fade, while management expects margins to return to pre-incident levels by…

CPNG $27B

Speedwell Memos Nov 4 3 clicks

Hedge Fund Manager David Orr Shares His Approach to Investing & Risk Management

David Orr describes running Militia Capital’s roughly 500-stock long-short portfolio, using expected value, correlation and factor…

CMCSA $84B

Raging Capital Nov 4 5 clicks

3Q26 Recap: Margin at Trough, Recovery In-sight

Coupang expects Product Commerce margins to return to pre-data incident levels by mid-2027 as customer spending recovers and Taiwan…

CPNG $27B

Speedwell Research Nov 4 2 clicks

update on Gartner

Gartner’s growth has stalled after federal contract losses and cautious commercial spending, raising questions about its competitive…

IT $13B

scuttleblurb Nov 4 1 click

Recycle Bin

Used aircraft engines can be repurposed as gas turbines, easing data center power constraints while tightening aviation supply.

EQT $33BRRC $12B

Doomberg Nov 4 8 clicks

Chipotle Stock: The Dip Is A Long-Term Opportunity

Chipotle plans 350 to 400 annual openings and low single-digit same-store sales growth, supported by menu innovation, international…

CMG $42B

Jake Blumenthal Nov 4

AMRZ · long

Amrize

Amrize (AMRZ) produces aggregates, cement and roofing materials across the US and Canada.

AMRZ $22B

Value Investors Club Aug 6 3 clicks

TWLO Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

Twilio's Q3 revenue rose 20% to $1.56 billion, but Q4 organic growth guidance fell to 11% to 12% and RPO declined 28%.

TWLO $33B

Cestrian Capital Research Nov 3 3 clicks

Incyte (INCY) Q3 FY 12/26 Earnings Review

Incyte reported Q3 revenue of $1.56 billion, up 14%, as Opzelura sales rose 36%; a $1.23 billion Vega acquisition charge drove an operating…

INCY $24B

Cestrian Capital Research Nov 3 3 clicks

Regeneron (REGN) Q3 FY 12/26 Earnings Review

Regeneron Q3 revenue rose 36% to $5.1 billion as Sanofi collaboration revenue jumped 68%, while EYLEA US sales fell 41%.

REGN $94B

Cestrian Capital Research Nov 3 1 click

Matt Murphy and Michael Hurlston Fireside Chat: Irrational Recap

Marvell and Lumentum’s merger targets uVCSEL scale-in optics, combining Marvell’s DSP and analog IP with Lumentum’s laser manufacturing for…

LITE $48B

Irrational Analysis Nov 3 4 clicks

Marvellous Value Destruction

Marvell’s proposed Lumentum deal risks alienating Cloudlight customers and losing engineering talent, despite limited optical integration…

LITE $48B

Irrational Analysis Nov 3 2 clicks

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Thursday, November 5, 2026

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