Portfolio Update: October 2026 + Q3 Earnings outlook
Calumet and other refiners sold off alongside AI names, but the RIN thesis for renewable fuel earnings remains unchanged ahead of Q3 results.
Calumet and other refiners sold off alongside AI names, but the RIN thesis for renewable fuel earnings remains unchanged ahead of Q3 results.
$PSKY and $ORCL: The cost to insure the debt of both companies against default has converged and is increasingly moving in lock-step, a sign investors are beginning to treat the two credits as intertwined. This appears, to me, a very dangerous game the Ellison family is playing.
@coffeesnob @DELAESPRIELLAE Fun because this is 1. my local airport and 2. an $ASR property.
@whatsgoingoninm $HHH is a little different. The fee structure is weird and they have a weirder collection of assets, not just a bunch of publically listed stocks anyone can buy. Though no capital returns. Still not a great structure but not as egregious as PSH.
AI could shrink $MNDY’s human seats while multiplying the work flowing through its platform. Our latest SaaS Survival Scorecard examines its AI harness, competition from Claude and the key question: can growing agent revenue more than offset lost seat revenue? https://t.co/XZ2R49AgG6
$AMPL moving off Claude over this absurd behavior. https://t.co/yPETES4tXG
@elcolombiano More good news for Sureste Airports $ASR and Corporacion America Airports $CAAP. "Medellin has peaked bro" folks in disbelief. https://t.co/d7nDOraQbO
@aurelius28 I think $CIB is worth about $100 so you're hoping for overshoot of fair value if you buy it here. I much prefer its smaller and much less liquid peer $AVAL as the "catch-up" trade.
Markel spent $315 million repurchasing shares in Q3 as Thrive agreed to buy ADT for $7.6 billion and Hasbro cited rising adult toy demand.
Tango Therapeutics reported an 82% response rate and 88% nine-month PFS for vopimetostat plus RASONQUE in RAS-mutant pancreatic cancer,…
Mattel, Winnebago and PayPal lead 37 special situations spanning activist campaigns, buybacks, M&A and strategic alternatives.
Kratos posted Q2 FY2026 revenue growth of 30.5% to $458.8 million as unmanned systems, propulsion and defense-electronics production ramps…
Group 1 Automotive trades at 5.5 times earnings as aging gasoline vehicles and EV repairs sustain service profits; insiders bought while…
Enova’s Q3 2026 revenue exceeded $1 billion as originations rose 31%, while its failed Grasshopper Bank bid drove a 23% one-day stock…
AppFolio grew third-quarter revenue 19% as Realm-X AI agents gained adoption, lifting guidance to $1.122 billion to $1.127 billion.
Monte Investments updates Carpenter Technology after a 25% sell-off, tracks EQT’s $12.83 billion Range Resources acquisition and assesses…
Molina Healthcare and Kinsale Capital’s earnings are reassessed through a long-term lens, emphasizing conviction and detachment during…
Duolingo sacrificed over $50 million of 2026 bookings to reduce free-app friction, reaccelerate daily users and target 100 million DAUs by…
PSN · long Parsons generates roughly half of its $6.4 billion revenue from Federal Solutions, serving defense and intelligence customers.
Rithm Capital’s 0.74x-book valuation and 2.2x dividend coverage contrast with Dynex’s payout above earnings, leaving RITM better positioned…
Signet Jewelers cut its share count from 87 million to 38 million since 2012 as short interest reaches 15%, amid a hated diamond market.
Six Value Line small caps including Blackbaud, Marqeta, Ranger Energy and Definitive Healthcare trade on net cash, buybacks, low multiples…
EXLService's AI-led business, 61% of revenue and growing 30% year over year, trades at 18 times forward earnings after legacy digital…
Oscar Health raised 2026 operating earnings guidance to $600 million-$800 million after ACA-marketplace expansion drove 60% membership and…
HFI Portfolio bought 94,214 shares of Transocean, RIG, for $570,000 at $6.05 per share.
MYR Group’s Q3 2026 preview cites data-center and power transmission demand, with long-term service agreements supporting margin growth and…
Mosaic’s potash business generated $930 million after capital spending and closure cash in 2025, while phosphate operations consumed $207…
Mosaic’s history traces the 2004 Cargill-IMC merger and the phosphate and potash mines that shaped NYSE: MOS.
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