Saturday, October 31, 2026

When the liquidity does not add up

Arbor Realty Trust’s dividend suspension is presented as creating $60 million of liquidity, raising questions about its ability to meet 2027 debt maturities.

ABR $2.2B

John Hempton's Newsletter Oct 31 3 clicks

Oct 31 AMZN $2.6T

Amazon.com Inc (AMZN) Earnings Update: Q3 2026

SixSigmaCapital: Navigating the Financial Markets 7 clicks

Oct 31 LITE $83B

Expert Call | Optical Module Ramps, Lumentum vs. Coherent Momentum, Server CPU, and Advanced Packaging Constraints

P Equity Research 1 click

From X

@orrdavid Oct 31 2 clicks

David Orr on X

Even in that case, the stock could do well for many years because earnings growth drives the return. But since it's now crowded, the risk:reward is completely different. $SFM sold more than it would have if it was uncrowded. If hypothetically it was extremey uncrowded, it might not have sold too hard at all. Normally I avoid crowded stocks like that, but that one seemed lower risk ... whoops!

@partners_road Oct 31 1 click

RiverRoadPartners on X

2 wks into Q3 earnings, at least 4 semis flagged back-end constraints ($TXN, $ALGM, $PI, $NXPI), 2 noted customer push outs ($ALGM, $TER), $INTC noted higher memory prices caused demand destruction in PC’s & $LRCX couldn’t guide for upside b/c of a specialty component shortage.

@TidefallCapital Oct 31 1 click

Trevor Scott on X

@LSigurd feels like $nvda will just bail it out

@orrdavid Oct 31 1 click

David Orr on X

@JackFarley96 When $NVDA finally has its big double miss, $SOXX probably drops 25% in a day or two.

@leevalueroach Oct 31 1 click

Lee Roach on X

I went to five different GameStop $GME stores today. Each store got Halloween Pokemon cards and if you came in and said trick-or-treat you got a free pack. All were out of inventory by the mid-morning. One store associate said Pokemon is still insanely hot and all of the cards were taken by adults and not a single kid got one. Wall Street is sleeping on the GameStop turnaround.

@TidefallCapital Oct 31 1 click

Trevor Scott on X

@DrewCohenMoney Not short but $APP is reliant on Apple and Google yet also competes with them with high margin ads. App has already been investigated by the SEC and state attorneys, the platforms could take some trivial data misstep & shut it down in the name of privacy and steal the economics.

@leevalueroach Oct 31 1 click

Lee Roach on X

@rubicon59 Would love to chat on $APP and various other DSPs. DM if you are open to it.

@leevalueroach Oct 31

Lee Roach on X

Agree. All of the DSPs look very good here. If I didn’t own so much $EVC I would be dogpiling into $APP and $LFTO here. https://t.co/c2R50Tlfts

FTAI 3Q26: Aero margins in focus

FTAI’s Aerospace Products margin rebounded to 31% as CFM56 module output rose, while Power deposits and contracted deliveries fund its 2027…

FTAI $16B

Stock Thoughts Oct 31 4 clicks

Microsoft's AI Boom Has A Cost

Microsoft’s Azure grew 48% as AI monetization accelerated, but doubled CapEx, largely for CPUs and GPUs, reduced quarterly free cash flow…

MSFT $3.9T

Yiannis Zourmpanos Oct 31 2 clicks

Life360 ($LIF): The Family App Wall Street Fell Out of Love With

Life360 has fallen 60% despite 40% revenue growth, 100 million monthly users and profitability, as its family-safety subscriptions and…

LIF $3.6B

Substack von Philipp Oct 31 3 clicks

Anthropic’s Growth is Slowing: Is AI Capex Next? | The Weekly Wrap

Anthropic’s revenue growth slowed from 147% in Q2 to 45% in Q3, raising questions about AI capital spending as Amazon holds capex flat.

AMZN $2.6T

Steve Eisman Oct 30 5 clicks

American Tower's Starlink Opportunity

American Tower could gain $1.13 to $3.54 in AFFO per share if Starlink accesses 80,000 U.S. cell sites and becomes a fourth major tenant.

AMT $88B

Dane Bowler Oct 30 3 clicks

CVX Earnings Review

Chevron’s Q3 revenue rose 35% to $65.2 billion and EBITDA 75% to $20.2 billion, while production trailed guidance and refining margins…

CVX $465B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 30 3 clicks

AstraZeneca (AZN) Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

AstraZeneca reported $16.2 billion Q3 revenue, up 7%, as oncology grew 17% and Farxiga fell 25% after US generics.

AZN $270B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 30 2 clicks

SNY Earnings Review

Sanofi raised FY26 guidance after Q3 sales grew 14.3% at constant currency, led by 34.8% Dupixent growth; vaccines declined 6.6%.

SNY $108B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 30 1 click

SK hynix: Despite Their Premium To The Korean Shares, The U.S. ADRs Are A Bargain

SK hynix's U.S. ADR trades at a valuation discount despite AI-driven memory demand, with 50% of 2027–2028 capacity under long-term…

SKHY $806B

Adam Schadt Oct 30 2 clicks

Bloom: Chinese Scandium Supply Route Restarts

Bloom may have reopened imports of scandium-containing components from China to the United States, according to new trade data.

BE $67B

Hunterbrook Oct 30 4 clicks

DB · long

Deutsche Bank AG

Deutsche Bank trades at 1.0x tangible book, with projected ROTCE above 13% and a favorable setup ahead of earnings.

DB $65B

Value Investors Club Jul 14

Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ: AMD) Stock Rating: Hold Into Q3 FY12/26 Earnings

AMD is rated Hold ahead of Q3 FY2026 earnings after Q2 revenue rose 50% to $11.5 billion, led by 107% Data Center growth.

AMD $925B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 9 5 clicks

One Thing I Learned: GameStop is a Real Business Now

GameStop is a real business now.

GME $12B

Hayden Capital Oct 9

BREAKING: Muse Growth Slows as Downloads Fall

Meta’s Muse saw downloads fall 8.1% week over week, while daily user additions slowed 62.4% to about 74,000 in early October.

META $1.6T

Hunterbrook Oct 9 3 clicks

Synopsys (NASDAQ: SNPS) Stock Rating: DISTRIBUTE Ahead Of Q4 FY10/26 Earnings

Synopsys moved to Distribute after Q3 revenue rose 42% on Ansys, while organic growth was 7% and the stock traded at 11.1 times trailing…

SNPS $92B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 9 3 clicks

TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/09/2026)

Paramount Skydance’s debt-heavy Warner Bros. Discovery acquisition, streaming bundle pricing and alcohol-industry diversification anchor…

SKYD $8.8B

TSOH Investment Research Oct 9

Blackstone Secured Lending: A Solid Balance Sheet But About To Cut Its Dividend - HOLD

Blackstone Secured Lending Fund faces a likely dividend cut after its first shortfall in 28 quarters, despite 1.8% non-accruals, $2.8…

BXSL $6.6B

Rubicon Associates Oct 9 1 click

Consumer agents: an ethics race, a prisoner’s dilemma, and the obvious OTA short

Consumer agents create an ethics race among AI labs and a prisoner’s dilemma for retailers, with online travel agencies framed as an…

EXPE $34BBKNG $113B

Yet Another Value Blog Oct 9 5 clicks

Alphabet: The Search Engine Everyone Wrote Off Is Now Building the AI Economy and takes the lead in LLM´s again?

Alphabet pairs 17% Search growth, 82% Cloud growth and 500,000 weekly Waymo rides with a $195–205 billion AI capex plan.

GOOGL $4T

Substack von Philipp Oct 9 2 clicks

AppLovin: Why I'm Upgrading To Buy Following The Recent Pullback

AppLovin's Ads Manager targets middle-market e-commerce advertisers as Q3 guidance calls for 47% sales growth, while legal and compute-cost…

APP $87B

Jack Elias Oct 9 3 clicks

Saturday, October 31, 2026

David Orr on X

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Trevor Scott on X

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