Friday, October 30, 2026

Anthropic’s Growth is Slowing: Is AI Capex Next? | The Weekly Wrap

Anthropic’s revenue growth slowed from 147% in Q2 to 45% in Q3, raising questions about AI capital spending as Amazon holds capex flat.

AMZN $2.6T

Steve Eisman Oct 30 5 clicks

Oct 30 CVX $465B

CVX Earnings Review

Cestrian Capital Research 3 clicks

Oct 30 AZN $270B

AstraZeneca (AZN) Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

Cestrian Capital Research 2 clicks

From X

@leevalueroach Oct 29

Lee Roach on X

GameStop $GME has just launched a power pack to buy luxury watches. They have just gamified the luxury watch market. For $5k you can gamble to see if you can win a $70k watch. This is incredible. GameStop appears to be building a betting market for real live goods. They could scale this up like crazy.

@junkbondinvest Oct 29 1 click

junkbondinvestor on X

Two big questions for $CRWV’s credit: 1. How much capital does it need to deliver its existing backlog? 2. Can it just stop growing and pay down its debt? I ran the numbers in Part 2: https://t.co/v0H2NpThwk

@AsifSuria Oct 29

Asif Suria on X

An excerpt from our article about Expand Energy $EXE that we published this morning after Danny Brown took over as the new CEO this week: Natural gas may not be the first thing that comes to mind when you think about the AI boom. But as companies race to build data centers, finding enough electricity to power them is becoming just as important as getting hold of the top GPU chips from NVIDIA $NVDA Expand Energy is a company you might recognize by its old name, Chesapeake Energy. Chesapeake has quite a history. It was one of the biggest names in America’s shale gas boom, built aggressively by its co-founder Aubrey McClendon. But its rapid expansion came with enormous debt, and the company eventually ended up in bankruptcy in 2020. Today, it looks very different. Following its merger with Southwestern Energy, Chesapeake became Expand Energy, creating the largest natural gas producer in the United States. The company is performing well, with our quant model IA Score rating it a 90 (a higher score is better), even though natural gas prices haven’t enjoyed the same strength as oil. That is what caught my attention. Natural gas producers typically do well when gas prices rise and struggle when they fall. Yet Expand appears to be building a business that could benefit from more than just a recovery in commodity prices. And now, with Danny Brown taking over as CEO, the company is entering another interesting chapter. To understand the opportunity and why this company is worth watching, we need to rewind the tape and go back to where it all started: Chesapeake Energy.

@orrdavid Oct 29

David Orr on X

$GOOG is an example where I think the bears are wrong fundamentally long term. But I quit the bet anyway short term because I thought it would sell off short term for the reasons they gave.

@valuedontlie Oct 29

Colin King on X

$GEN putting the $GDDY rumors to bed "our organic plan stands on its own, and our outlook for this year and the next does not depend on an acquisition" "to avoid any misunderstanding, let me be clear, we are not working on a transformative acquisition today" Back to $30+? https://t.co/DIV6SsI1MF

@AsifSuria Oct 29

Asif Suria on X

This has been a very active week for M&A activity with 6 new deals announced and half of them over $10 billion in size. The largest spread is for the acquisition of Maplebear (the weird name for Instacart) $CART by DoorDash $DASH with the deal trading for a 11% discount to the acquisition price. Considering what happened with the merger of the uniform rental companies UniFirst $UNF and Cintas this week and Mayor Mamdani's comments about the Instacart acquisition, it is not going to be easy for DoorDash to get this deal to the finish line.

@junkbondinvest Oct 29

junkbondinvestor on X

$115bn of orders for its $25bn+ deal, tying Alphabet for the 6th-biggest IG orderbook EVER. Unsurprisingly, the biggest were also this year. Oracle (Feb ‘26) at $129bn and Amazon (Mar ‘26) at $126bn $MSFT https://t.co/r8qX4CY148

@evantindell Oct 29

Evan Tindell on X

Wild -- $CMCSA now has more wireless subs than video subs https://t.co/xzibVdl2bf

SNY Earnings Review

Sanofi raised FY26 guidance after Q3 sales grew 14.3% at constant currency, led by 34.8% Dupixent growth; vaccines declined 6.6%.

SNY $108B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 30 1 click

SK hynix: Despite Their Premium To The Korean Shares, The U.S. ADRs Are A Bargain

SK hynix's U.S. ADR trades at a valuation discount despite AI-driven memory demand, with 50% of 2027–2028 capacity under long-term…

SKHY $806B

Adam Schadt Oct 30 2 clicks

Bloom: Chinese Scandium Supply Route Restarts

Bloom may have reopened imports of scandium-containing components from China to the United States, according to new trade data.

BE $67B

Hunterbrook Oct 30 4 clicks

Amazon 3Q’26: Trillion Dollar Talks

Amazon projects AWS growth above 40% through 2028 while funding a $220 billion capex plan with rising debt and an $80 billion equipment…

AMZN $2.6T

MBI Deep Dives Oct 30 3 clicks

TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/30/2026)

Markel spent $315 million repurchasing shares in Q3 as Thrive agreed to buy ADT for $7.6 billion and Hasbro cited rising adult toy demand.

MKL $23B

TSOH Investment Research Oct 30 1 click

Alphabet's Post-Earnings Selloff Is The Best Buying Opportunity In Years

Alphabet's Google Cloud operating income more than tripled to $11.1 billion, while EPS fell 26% on a $2.76 billion SpaceX paper loss.

GOOGL $4T

Rick Orford Oct 30 5 clicks

Earnings Review: $AMZN and $LLY

Amazon’s AWS revenue grew 39% to $46B as capex drove negative FCF; Lilly raised 2026 guidance to $91-92B on GLP-1 volume growth.

AMZN $2.6TLLY $1.3T

Rebound Capital Oct 30 2 clicks

Wall Street Erased $16 Billion From a Legal Monopoly Over an AI Myth.

Verisk Analytics’ 40 petabytes of proprietary insurance data and regulatory infrastructure shield its underwriting business from generative…

VRSK $26B

First Strike Research Oct 30 7 clicks

Alphabet: Don’t Search for a Straight Line in Innovation

Alphabet’s Q3 2026 cloud growth stayed strong while Search revenue growth slowed to 12%, with higher AI capital spending driving negative…

GOOGL $4T

Librarian Capital's Research Library Oct 30 3 clicks

Applied Materials: A 51% Growth Quarter At 23x Forward Earnings

Applied Materials posted 51% growth while trading near 23 times forward earnings; memory spending and fab construction support orders, but…

AMAT $310B

Capital Minded Oct 30 1 click

Regeneron (REGN) Q3 FY 12/26 Earnings Review

Regeneron’s Q3 revenue rose 36% to $5.1 billion, driven by a 68% jump in Sanofi collaboration revenue, while operating income doubled to…

REGN $84B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 30 2 clicks

XOM Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review - Distribute Rating - No Paywall.

ExxonMobil’s Q3 revenue rose 33% to $113.2 billion as refining earned $9.1 billion, surpassing upstream; the company set 2027 buybacks at…

XOM $771B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 30 2 clicks

AMZN Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

Amazon reported $201.9 billion Q3 revenue and 39% AWS growth, while $220 billion in 2026 capex drove trailing free cash flow to a $42.4…

AMZN $2.6T

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 30 3 clicks

What a Marvell-Lumentum Deal Means for DSPs, Lasers, and Modules

Marvell’s reported Lumentum bid would combine DSPs, lasers and optical modules, but $4 billion of cash and $5 billion of debt point to a…

MRVL $221BLITE $83B

Vik's Newsletter Oct 30 1 click

Amazon - Q3 2026 Earnings Brief & Return

Amazon’s AWS revenue grew 39.3% to $46 billion, backed by a $578 billion backlog, while 2026 capex targets $220 billion and estimated…

AMZN $2.6T

Modern Value Investing Oct 30 2 clicks

SAP · long

Sap Se

SAP shares are down 45% since February 2025 as AI disruption fears create a long thesis on its risk-reward.

SAP $272B

Value Investors Club Aug 1 2 clicks

Another Haircut with Avy the Barber

SoFi’s stock case hinges on interest rates, tangible book value and private-credit loan sales after its $1.5 billion equity offering.

SOFI $22B

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” Oct 29 3 clicks

Intel Q3 2026: Dead Inside

Intel’s Q3 2026 datacenter CPU shortage reflects wafer-start planning failures, not substrate constraints, after demand shifted from client…

INTC $348B

Irrational Analysis Oct 29 2 clicks

Bloody Thursday: Defending Alphabet, now Amazon and Intel in the penalty box

Alphabet, Amazon and Intel face market pressure as the big three cloud giants reaffirm AI spending plans.

GOOGL $4TAMZN $2.6T

The Technology Letter Oct 29 1 click

Twilio CEO: ‘Buy the dip!’

Twilio CEO Khozema Shipchandler urged investors to “buy the dip” after earnings sent the software maker’s shares down 17% after hours.

TWLO $39B

The Technology Letter Oct 29 2 clicks

Friday, October 30, 2026

Lee Roach on X

junkbondinvestor on X

Asif Suria on X

David Orr on X

Colin King on X

Asif Suria on X

junkbondinvestor on X

Evan Tindell on X

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