Friday, October 30, 2026

Anthropic’s Growth is Slowing: Is AI Capex Next? | The Weekly Wrap

Anthropic’s revenue growth slowed from 147% in Q2 to 45% in Q3, raising questions about AI capital spending as Amazon holds capex flat.

AMZN $2.9T

Steve Eisman Oct 30 6 clicks

Oct 30 CVX $423B

CVX Earnings Review

Cestrian Capital Research 4 clicks

Oct 30 AZN $285B

AstraZeneca (AZN) Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

Cestrian Capital Research 3 clicks

From X

@BrokenMoats Jul 29

Broken Moats on X

Oil up 7.5% and $EXPE continues its squeeze because it's simply the opposite end of the ai trade? How long can these on/off trades define every stock in the market? Crazy

@LaughingH20Cap Jul 29 3 clicks

Laughing Water Capital on X

Friendly reminder that $MRK is well positioned and well incentivized to purchase $LQDA. Yutrepia fits very well with Merck's respiratory portfolio. https://t.co/JAdLguTw7D

@convequity Jul 29

Convequity on X

I’ve been calling $AVGO a spectacular optical winner — and I still am. The mild caveat is that they’re also leaning into CPO rather than NPO or OCS. That said, their in-house optical technology is genuinely strong, which leaves them in a far better position than $NVDA on this front. Half-half, but still clearly ahead.

@convequity Jul 29

Convequity on X

Ciena — the underappreciated coherent layer As AI clusters move beyond a single building into campus and multi-site “scale-across” architectures, short-reach optics hit their physical limits. Signal distortion and dispersion make conventional detection unusable over distance. $CIEN’s coherent technology recovers both amplitude and phase, reconstructing a clean signal where others cannot. The market remains focused on the high-volume short-reach stack — pluggables, CPO, and related optics inside the data center. Coherent is the quieter, longer-reach piece that becomes essential once clusters themselves become distributed.

@red_dog_capital Jul 28

Red Dog Capital on X

Wen $BSP borrow? The Valeant of B2C software. I was told that all software is a zero bc of Claude?

@red_dog_capital Jul 28

Red Dog Capital on X

$QXO short has been okay

@RagingVentures Jul 28 1 click

Raging Capital Ventures on X

Like $GLW, I wish margins/ROIC were higher and capital intensity were lower at $AMKR. Yet, with the stock now back around $46 (largely flat YTD and cut in half from its highs), the Amkor setup now seems pretty good over the next 3-4 years due to their scale, new capacity investments, and the increasing importance of advanced packaging capabilities.

@RagingVentures Jul 28 1 click

Raging Capital Ventures on X

Despite my past skepticism, $GLW around its current $125 per share ($110 b cap) actually seems fairly compelling given the company’s scale, leading market position, and multi-year growth ramp.

SNY Earnings Review

Sanofi raised FY26 guidance after Q3 sales grew 14.3% at constant currency, led by 34.8% Dupixent growth; vaccines declined 6.6%.

SNY $114B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 30 1 click

SK hynix: Despite Their Premium To The Korean Shares, The U.S. ADRs Are A Bargain

SK hynix's U.S. ADR trades at a valuation discount despite AI-driven memory demand, with 50% of 2027–2028 capacity under long-term…

SKHY $729B

Adam Schadt Oct 30 2 clicks

Bloom: Chinese Scandium Supply Route Restarts

Bloom may have reopened imports of scandium-containing components from China to the United States, according to new trade data.

BE $63B

Hunterbrook Oct 30 5 clicks

Amazon 3Q’26: Trillion Dollar Talks

Amazon projects AWS growth above 40% through 2028 while funding a $220 billion capex plan with rising debt and an $80 billion equipment…

AMZN $2.9T

MBI Deep Dives Oct 30 3 clicks

TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/30/2026)

Markel spent $315 million repurchasing shares in Q3 as Thrive agreed to buy ADT for $7.6 billion and Hasbro cited rising adult toy demand.

MKL $24B

TSOH Investment Research Oct 30 1 click

Alphabet's Post-Earnings Selloff Is The Best Buying Opportunity In Years

Alphabet's Google Cloud operating income more than tripled to $11.1 billion, while EPS fell 26% on a $2.76 billion SpaceX paper loss.

GOOGL $3.5T

Rick Orford Oct 30 5 clicks

Earnings Review: $AMZN and $LLY

Amazon’s AWS revenue grew 39% to $46B as capex drove negative FCF; Lilly raised 2026 guidance to $91-92B on GLP-1 volume growth.

AMZN $2.9TLLY $1.3T

Rebound Capital Oct 30 2 clicks

Wall Street Erased $16 Billion From a Legal Monopoly Over an AI Myth.

Verisk Analytics’ 40 petabytes of proprietary insurance data and regulatory infrastructure shield its underwriting business from generative…

VRSK $25B

First Strike Research Oct 30 7 clicks

Alphabet: Don’t Search for a Straight Line in Innovation

Alphabet’s Q3 2026 cloud growth stayed strong while Search revenue growth slowed to 12%, with higher AI capital spending driving negative…

GOOGL $3.5T

Librarian Capital's Research Library Oct 30 3 clicks

Applied Materials: A 51% Growth Quarter At 23x Forward Earnings

Applied Materials posted 51% growth while trading near 23 times forward earnings; memory spending and fab construction support orders, but…

AMAT $260B

Capital Minded Oct 30 1 click

Regeneron (REGN) Q3 FY 12/26 Earnings Review

Regeneron’s Q3 revenue rose 36% to $5.1 billion, driven by a 68% jump in Sanofi collaboration revenue, while operating income doubled to…

REGN $101B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 30 2 clicks

XOM Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review - Distribute Rating - No Paywall.

ExxonMobil’s Q3 revenue rose 33% to $113.2 billion as refining earned $9.1 billion, surpassing upstream; the company set 2027 buybacks at…

XOM $689B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 30 2 clicks

AMZN Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

Amazon reported $201.9 billion Q3 revenue and 39% AWS growth, while $220 billion in 2026 capex drove trailing free cash flow to a $42.4…

AMZN $2.9T

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 30 3 clicks

What a Marvell-Lumentum Deal Means for DSPs, Lasers, and Modules

Marvell’s reported Lumentum bid would combine DSPs, lasers and optical modules, but $4 billion of cash and $5 billion of debt point to a…

MRVL $117BLITE $48B

Vik's Newsletter Oct 30 1 click

Amazon - Q3 2026 Earnings Brief & Return

Amazon’s AWS revenue grew 39.3% to $46 billion, backed by a $578 billion backlog, while 2026 capex targets $220 billion and estimated…

AMZN $2.9T

Modern Value Investing Oct 30 2 clicks

SAP · long

Sap Se

SAP shares are down 45% since February 2025 as AI disruption fears create a long thesis on its risk-reward.

SAP $277B

Value Investors Club Aug 1 2 clicks

Another Haircut with Avy the Barber

SoFi’s stock case hinges on interest rates, tangible book value and private-credit loan sales after its $1.5 billion equity offering.

SOFI $22B

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” Oct 29 3 clicks

Intel Q3 2026: Dead Inside

Intel’s Q3 2026 datacenter CPU shortage reflects wafer-start planning failures, not substrate constraints, after demand shifted from client…

INTC $287B

Irrational Analysis Oct 29 2 clicks

Bloody Thursday: Defending Alphabet, now Amazon and Intel in the penalty box

Alphabet, Amazon and Intel face market pressure as the big three cloud giants reaffirm AI spending plans.

GOOGL $3.5TAMZN $2.9T

The Technology Letter Oct 29 1 click

Twilio CEO: ‘Buy the dip!’

Twilio CEO Khozema Shipchandler urged investors to “buy the dip” after earnings sent the software maker’s shares down 17% after hours.

TWLO $33B

The Technology Letter Oct 29 2 clicks

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Friday, October 30, 2026

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