Thursday, October 29, 2026

Another Haircut with Avy the Barber

SoFi’s stock case hinges on interest rates, tangible book value and private-credit loan sales after its $1.5 billion equity offering.

SOFI $22B

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” Oct 29 3 clicks

Oct 29 INTC $348B

Intel Q3 2026: Dead Inside

Irrational Analysis 2 clicks

Oct 29 INTC $348B

INTC Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

Cestrian Capital Research 4 clicks

From X

@Mr_Neutral_Man Oct 29 1 click

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

@TimelessArie Ticker is $INVH for those curious

@Mr_Neutral_Man Oct 29

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

More $CUBE news Sold 80% to Heitman in a JV valued $197mm at a roughly mid 5% cap rate and used proceeds to buy back better assets like those in NYC in that 6.3% to 6.5% cap rate range Improves quality and sell non-core at lower cap rate than higher quality assets Retains management and builds annuity mgt fee stream

@Mr_Neutral_Man Oct 29

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

I have consistently talked about buying $CUBE in the past year and highlighted their incredible NYC/NNJ portfolio It accounts for 1/4 of the company's NOI, up 5.5% in Q3 on a YOY basis. Moves the needle. Overall NOI up 2.1% YOY High barrier, no rent regs like housing, truly a great asset NOI declines mostly in Sunbelt high supply markets Story is as old as time Bought at a rough 6.7% cap about a year ago at $36 ish now $41.08 plus about $2.12 in dividends since Not too shabby for a 20% one year return for buying a high quality SS with low leverage

@BarbarianCap Oct 29

Barbarian Capital on X

Roblox Narrows Loss as User, Engagement Metrics Fall The video-game company said average daily users were down 9% to 138 million, and engagement hours fell 15% to 34 billion. $RBLX https://t.co/KQM4qbpsbd

@ACapitalLP Oct 29

A Capital on X

$FSLR interesting here at ~7–8x 2027 earnings with 44GW of contracted backlog. Q3 bookings at ~$0.36/W were largely negotiated pre-232, while management is already quoting higher prices on new business. Think the first meaningful post-232 contracts will be particularly informative as to normalized earnings power and ultimately where this should trade…

@orrdavid Oct 29

David Orr on X

$PURR https://t.co/yeJJ2cHVeE

@convequity Oct 29 1 click

Convequity on X

We wouldn’t be surprised to see GPU rental revenue reach $100bn per gigawatt a year. Nebius ($NBIS) has already reported a short-term deal in the $40m–$50m per MW annualised range. That is $40bn–$50bn per GW. Likewise for Space $SPCX and others while $CRWV sold its long term capacity too early at low prices. Use 660,000 Blackwell GPUs as a simplified 1GW case. With every GPU-hour rented: • $50bn a year = $8.65 per GPU-hour. • $100bn a year = $17.30 per GPU-hour. DeepSeek reports $38 of API revenue per GPU-hour at off-peak prices for a V4.1 Flash cluster. Peak tariffs are double. Serving the same workload at those prices would imply $76 per GPU-hour. For an inference provider that can reproduce those economics on rented hardware, a move from $5–$6 rent to $9 can still be affordable. Even roughly $18 need not make the service uneconomic. Suppose another provider achieves 70% of that $38–$76 revenue benchmark across its rented GPU-hours. That gives $26.60–$53.20 of revenue per hour. After $18 of GPU rent, $8.60–$35.20 remains for other costs and profit. The condition is matching DeepSeek’s serving efficiency on the rented hardware and sustaining paid demand at those token prices. Releasing the inference code does not guarantee either. For operators that can do this, we think there is room to keep bidding up scarce GPU capacity, even at twice today’s roughly $9 hourly rate.

@finphysnerd Oct 29

Myles on X

Rough day to have large positions in $AMZN and $RDDT. Comfortable holding Amazon. Am out of Reddit.

Incyte (INCY) Q3 FY 12/26 Earnings Review

Incyte reported Q3 FY26 revenue of $1.56 billion, up 14%, while a $1.23 billion Vega acquisition charge drove a $708 million operating loss.

INCY $24B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 29 2 clicks

Merck and Co. (MRK) Q3 FY 12/26 Earnings Review

Merck reported Q3 FY26 revenue of $18.1 billion, led by $8.6 billion in KEYTRUDA sales and 93% WINREVAIR growth, while raising and…

MRK $369B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 29 2 clicks

CoStar: 3Q26 Business Recap

CoStar’s 3Q26 revenue growth slowed to 14% as bookings fell to $37 million, while cost cuts lifted EBIT margin to 8.8%.

CSGP $12B

Speedwell Memos Oct 29 3 clicks

Ex-Goldman Oil Derivatives Trader: Every Trading Strategy Is Momentum or Mean Reversion

Simran Jeet Singh recounts pricing oil through WTI’s -$37.63 collapse, then explains crypto perpetual funding arbitrage, market making and…

GS $260B

Odds on Open Oct 29 5 clicks

Carpenter Technology (CRS) Q1'27: The Sell-Off Resets the Entry Point

Carpenter Technology fell 25% after Q1 2027 despite revenue rising 9%, EPS up 34%, and commercial aerospace bookings up 25%.

CRS $15B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 29 3 clicks

[scuttleslops] GOOGL, AMZN, BRO, KNSL, ODFL, MCO, SPGI

Google’s AI search could improve ad economics, while Amazon protects its retail ad funnel from shopping agents and specialty insurers face…

BRO $23B

scuttleblurb Oct 29 1 click

Earnings Review: GOOG, MSFT, KLAC, LRCX

Alphabet’s $200B 2026 capex and weaker AI-search monetization contrast with Microsoft’s accelerating Copilot and Azure momentum; the review…

KLAC $208B

Rebound Capital Oct 29 1 click

This Week in Special Situations: Mattel, Winnebago, PayPal

Mattel, Winnebago and PayPal lead 37 special situations spanning activist campaigns, buybacks, M&A and strategic alternatives.

MAT $4.4BPYPL $49B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 29 3 clicks

Why So Much Copper?

Amphenol and other copper-connectivity suppliers benefit as copper remains essential inside AI racks, where low-voltage, high-current power…

APH $196B

Jimmy's Journal Oct 29 3 clicks

Undercovered Dozen: Micron, i-80 Gold, Hercules Capital, And More

Undercovered Dozen profiles 12 lesser-covered stocks, including i-80 Gold, Hercules Capital’s 11.5% yield and sector-specific catalysts at…

HTGC $3.2B

The Undercovered Dozen Oct 29 3 clicks

RBLX · long

Roblox CORP

Roblox's valuation has fallen from 30x to 50x forward EBITDA, framing the selloff as a long opportunity despite near-term headwinds.

RBLX $31B

Value Investors Club May 25

Elanco: Taking Share from Zoetis Blockbusters

Elanco’s pet health launches are taking share from Zoetis blockbusters, driving high-single-digit revenue growth and low-double-digit EPS…

ELAN $12BZTS $33B

Librarian Capital's Research Library Jul 6

Quick Value #321 - Mobility Global (MBGL)

Mobility Global, S&P Global’s automotive-data spin-off, trades at about 10x 2026 EBITDA and 12x EPS after technical selling.

MBGL $5.6B

Value Don't Lie Jul 6 1 click

Portfolio Update June 2026

Portfolio added Zoetis, Pool Corp and Tractor Supply in June, lifting holdings to 13.

ZTS $33BPOOL $7.7B

D Invests Jul 6

Blackstone's Subs - Inside the Jersey Mike's IPO.

Jersey Mike’s IPO filing shows 47% adjusted EBITDA margin after Blackstone cut founder spending, ad subsidies and Area Director fees, while…

JMKE $6BBX $90B

First Strike Research Jul 5 1 click

SAP: Deep Dive Analysis

SAP’s deeply embedded ERP suite creates high switching costs as it moves customers to cloud subscriptions and embeds AI in core workflows.

SAP $271B

Hated Moats Jul 3

PDD

PDD uses group buying and daily app rewards to turn shoppers into distributors, then monetizes merchant attention through advertising and…

PDD $114B

Bearstone Jul 3 1 click

Stretch Marks

Strategy owns 847,363 Bitcoin and funded $13.7 billion of purchases this year with Stretch preferred stock, a variable-dividend security…

MSTR $55B

Net Interest Jul 3

Corporacion America Airports: Out Of The Ashes (Ticker: CAAP)

Corporacion America Airports has stayed operating-profitable through Argentina’s inflation and is diversifying airport assets beyond its…

CAAP $4B

Emerging Moats Research Jul 3 1 click

Adding a beer stock in size

Molson Coors, a 7% portfolio position, is the world’s fourth-largest brewer with leading beer shares in Canada and the US through Coors and…

TAP $7.5B

Nugget Capital Partner's Substack Jul 3

Thursday, October 29, 2026

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

Barbarian Capital on X

A Capital on X

David Orr on X

Convequity on X

Myles on X

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