Thursday, October 29, 2026

Another Haircut with Avy the Barber

SoFi’s stock case hinges on interest rates, tangible book value and private-credit loan sales after its $1.5 billion equity offering.

SOFI $22B

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” Oct 29 3 clicks

Oct 29 INTC $348B

Intel Q3 2026: Dead Inside

Irrational Analysis 2 clicks

Oct 29 INTC $348B

INTC Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

Cestrian Capital Research 4 clicks

From X

@Mr_Neutral_Man Oct 29 1 click

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

@TimelessArie Ticker is $INVH for those curious

@BarbarianCap Oct 29

Barbarian Capital on X

Roblox Narrows Loss as User, Engagement Metrics Fall The video-game company said average daily users were down 9% to 138 million, and engagement hours fell 15% to 34 billion. $RBLX https://t.co/KQM4qbpsbd

@ACapitalLP Oct 29

A Capital on X

$FSLR interesting here at ~7–8x 2027 earnings with 44GW of contracted backlog. Q3 bookings at ~$0.36/W were largely negotiated pre-232, while management is already quoting higher prices on new business. Think the first meaningful post-232 contracts will be particularly informative as to normalized earnings power and ultimately where this should trade…

@convequity Oct 29 1 click

Convequity on X

We wouldn’t be surprised to see GPU rental revenue reach $100bn per gigawatt a year. Nebius ($NBIS) has already reported a short-term deal in the $40m–$50m per MW annualised range. That is $40bn–$50bn per GW. Likewise for Space $SPCX and others while $CRWV sold its long term capacity too early at low prices. Use 660,000 Blackwell GPUs as a simplified 1GW case. With every GPU-hour rented: • $50bn a year = $8.65 per GPU-hour. • $100bn a year = $17.30 per GPU-hour. DeepSeek reports $38 of API revenue per GPU-hour at off-peak prices for a V4.1 Flash cluster. Peak tariffs are double. Serving the same workload at those prices would imply $76 per GPU-hour. For an inference provider that can reproduce those economics on rented hardware, a move from $5–$6 rent to $9 can still be affordable. Even roughly $18 need not make the service uneconomic. Suppose another provider achieves 70% of that $38–$76 revenue benchmark across its rented GPU-hours. That gives $26.60–$53.20 of revenue per hour. After $18 of GPU rent, $8.60–$35.20 remains for other costs and profit. The condition is matching DeepSeek’s serving efficiency on the rented hardware and sustaining paid demand at those token prices. Releasing the inference code does not guarantee either. For operators that can do this, we think there is room to keep bidding up scarce GPU capacity, even at twice today’s roughly $9 hourly rate.

@finphysnerd Oct 29

Myles on X

Rough day to have large positions in $AMZN and $RDDT. Comfortable holding Amazon. Am out of Reddit.

@irbezek Oct 29

Ian Bezek on X

@ClarkSquareCap And arguably more importantly for $ALSEA it's a signal to other American brands to use their services when they want to open in Mexico as well. People were saying opening $CMG in Mexico was like selling sand in the Sahara. And yet they did it.

@KEDM_COM Oct 29

KEDM.com on X

Talen Energy $TLN appointed Terry L. Nutt as CEO effective Jan. 1, 2027. They also announced a $1.5bn accelerated share repurchase by selling future PJM capacity revenues for cash, increasing the total buyback authorization to $3bn (roughly 20% of the current market cap). https://t.co/HGbAe9XRSR

@leevalueroach Oct 29

Lee Roach on X

@Jonhnnynumber5 I think $GME is building a physical casino

Incyte (INCY) Q3 FY 12/26 Earnings Review

Incyte reported Q3 FY26 revenue of $1.56 billion, up 14%, while a $1.23 billion Vega acquisition charge drove a $708 million operating loss.

INCY $24B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 29 2 clicks

Merck and Co. (MRK) Q3 FY 12/26 Earnings Review

Merck reported Q3 FY26 revenue of $18.1 billion, led by $8.6 billion in KEYTRUDA sales and 93% WINREVAIR growth, while raising and…

MRK $369B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 29 2 clicks

CoStar: 3Q26 Business Recap

CoStar’s 3Q26 revenue growth slowed to 14% as bookings fell to $37 million, while cost cuts lifted EBIT margin to 8.8%.

CSGP $12B

Speedwell Memos Oct 29 3 clicks

Ex-Goldman Oil Derivatives Trader: Every Trading Strategy Is Momentum or Mean Reversion

Simran Jeet Singh recounts pricing oil through WTI’s -$37.63 collapse, then explains crypto perpetual funding arbitrage, market making and…

GS $260B

Odds on Open Oct 29 5 clicks

Carpenter Technology (CRS) Q1'27: The Sell-Off Resets the Entry Point

Carpenter Technology fell 25% after Q1 2027 despite revenue rising 9%, EPS up 34%, and commercial aerospace bookings up 25%.

CRS $15B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 29 3 clicks

[scuttleslops] GOOGL, AMZN, BRO, KNSL, ODFL, MCO, SPGI

Google’s AI search could improve ad economics, while Amazon protects its retail ad funnel from shopping agents and specialty insurers face…

BRO $23B

scuttleblurb Oct 29 1 click

Earnings Review: GOOG, MSFT, KLAC, LRCX

Alphabet’s $200B 2026 capex and weaker AI-search monetization contrast with Microsoft’s accelerating Copilot and Azure momentum; the review…

KLAC $208B

Rebound Capital Oct 29 1 click

This Week in Special Situations: Mattel, Winnebago, PayPal

Mattel, Winnebago and PayPal lead 37 special situations spanning activist campaigns, buybacks, M&A and strategic alternatives.

PYPL $49B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 29 3 clicks

Why So Much Copper?

Amphenol and other copper-connectivity suppliers benefit as copper remains essential inside AI racks, where low-voltage, high-current power…

APH $196B

Jimmy's Journal Oct 29 3 clicks

Nebius: Why I Loaded Up During This Crash

Nebius secured $4.275 billion in credit facilities and trades at 3.8 times projected 2027 sales, with an AI credit crunch its main…

NBIS $42B

Infinity Curve Oct 29

Summary of Q3 Public Restaurant Conference Calls

Public restaurant chains report easing commodity inflation, 3-5% labor inflation and 3-10% unit growth, while digital, delivery and…

TXRH $12BCMG $36B

Investing 501 Nov 18

Value Roundup

Talen’s post-bankruptcy nuclear assets, FREIT’s $22 Kushner bid and Calithera’s failed liquidation vote illustrate unusual small-cap…

TLN $17B

Exploring with Alluvial Capital Jul 5

Going Nuclear with Nuveen

Nuveen municipal-bond closed-end funds could unlock illiquid Energy Harbor holdings through Vistra’s acquisition, receiving cash and a…

VST $46BFE $27B

Exploring with Alluvial Capital Mar 21

Essex Biotechnology (1061 HK) - Core products fund investment portfolio

Essex Biotechnology trades at 8 times earnings despite patented Chinese biologics, near-60% niche market share and a portfolio built with…

PFE $173B

Healthy Stock Picks Apr 5

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