Thursday, October 29, 2026

Another Haircut with Avy the Barber

SoFi’s stock case hinges on interest rates, tangible book value and private-credit loan sales after its $1.5 billion equity offering.

SOFI $21B

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” Oct 29 3 clicks

Oct 29 INCY $24B

Incyte (INCY) Q3 FY 12/26 Earnings Review

Cestrian Capital Research 2 clicks

Oct 29 CSGP $13B

CoStar: 3Q26 Business Recap

Speedwell Memos 3 clicks

From X

@LaughingH20Cap Feb 4

Laughing Water Capital on X

$NN https://t.co/q3EOINP0pt

@MultiplesCap Feb 3

Multiples Capital on X

It's always amazing for me to see $expe stock getting pummelled evertime there is AI disruption related sell off in the market. Expedia is a platform, for an AI app to replace it, one will need to build something equivalent, get all the hotels to list it there (as inventory) and manage the bookings. Not that it can't be done but it's not same as replacing a SaaS company. Instead I see Expedia using AI to navigate the change. It's more likely that AI replaces how users find hotels on Expedia vs via google search now than the former happening. Also, it's a super recession proof business model. Time will tell for sure :)

@HaydenCapital Feb 3

Fred Liu on X

"We're on track to produce the highest mortgage loan production in terms of volume that we've had in four years," says $RKT CEO Varun Krishna. https://t.co/PBOdQTwuKr https://t.co/fqJ4bNkU8d

@petition Feb 1

💥PETITION💥 on X

This chart is bananas🍌. $RGTI https://t.co/MzZKnXdc0b

@HaydenCapital Jan 31

Fred Liu on X

@MackinacCap Right, I'm just wondering why $RKT stock would be down -13% on this. Seems the wrong reaction?

@HaydenCapital Jan 31

Fred Liu on X

Going thru PennyMac earnings... why is this not bullish for Rocket Mortgage $RKT? $PFSI is down on accelerated prepayments, and lacking the capacity to recapture them. Meanwhile $RKT's been embracing AI / tech to grow capacity per loan officer, and not needing additional headcount in the next cycle. $RKT also has 80% recapture rate, so their own MSR business should be protected. What are the odds these refinancing's flowed to $RKT, and they meaningfully grew market share this quarter? Am I missing something?

@LaughingH20Cap Jan 28 1 click

Laughing Water Capital on X

Think signal value for $NN is very high here. Ajit Pai, Brendan Carr’s mentor at the FCC, is Pres and CEO of CTIA. Execs from $VZ and $T are chair and vice chair. Unlikely they put Mariam on the board unless $NN future is bright. 💯% Pai knows what is happening behind FCC doors. https://t.co/4Jtm3aiAf9

@Seawolfcap Jan 22 4 clicks

Porter Collins on X

@JeffreyCherkin Not a bad purchase of $FTAI this time last year < $90! @MelissaLeeCNBC

Carpenter Technology (CRS) Q1'27: The Sell-Off Resets the Entry Point

Carpenter Technology fell 25% after Q1 2027 despite revenue rising 9%, EPS up 34%, and commercial aerospace bookings up 25%.

CRS $14B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 29 3 clicks

Alamos Gold: Minor Delays With Island Gold Growth, But There Is Still A Lot Of Value Here

Alamos Gold targets nearly 1 Moz of annual production by decade-end as Island Gold shaft commissioning offsets recent Young-Davidson…

AGI $13B

Bang For The Buck Oct 29 1 click

Build-A-Bear (BBW) Part II: The Scion Capital Analyst Tempate and the All Map

Build-A-Bear’s lease overhaul, off-mall expansion and partner-led wholesale growth reshaped a debt-free retailer with $80 million EBITDA,…

BBW $371M

Cassandra Unchained Oct 29 3 clicks

[scuttleslops] GOOGL, AMZN, BRO, KNSL, ODFL, MCO, SPGI

Google’s AI search could improve ad economics, while Amazon protects its retail ad funnel from shopping agents and specialty insurers face…

BRO $24B

scuttleblurb Oct 29 1 click

This Week in Special Situations: Mattel, Winnebago, PayPal

Mattel, Winnebago and PayPal lead 37 special situations spanning activist campaigns, buybacks, M&A and strategic alternatives.

MAT $4.3BWGO $892M

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 29 3 clicks

Kratos: Strong Organic Growth And Production Ramp-Ups Support A Buy Rating

Kratos posted Q2 FY2026 revenue growth of 30.5% to $458.8 million as unmanned systems, propulsion and defense-electronics production ramps…

KTOS $6.8B

Arizona Equity Research Oct 29

Fortinet (NASDAQ: FTNT) - Do Nothing - Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

Fortinet’s revenue rose 20% to $2.08 billion, but its 15% Q4 growth guide drove a 25% post-earnings stock drop as product, billings and…

FTNT $94B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 28 5 clicks

Culper Research vs Cerebras: A Neutral Engineering-Driven View

Cerebras’ alleged electromigration issues hinge on temperature and voltage limits, not total power draw, while thermal variation and…

CBRS $20B

Irrational Analysis Oct 28 3 clicks

CoStar 3Q26 Recap: Cost Decreases Cost of Growth

CoStar’s 14% revenue growth, $37 million in net new bookings and 14% stock drop sharpen doubts that sales and marketing cuts can coexist…

CSGP $13B

Speedwell Research Oct 28 1 click

Group 1 Automotive (GPI): Q3 2026 Earnings

Group 1 Automotive trades at 5.5 times earnings as aging gasoline vehicles and EV repairs sustain service profits; insiders bought while…

GPI $3.2BPAG $14B

Cannibal Stocks Oct 28 1 click

Cerebras ($CBRS): A Neocloud Masquerading as a Chipmaker

Cerebras relies on OpenAI for almost all of its $25 billion backlog while renting AI capacity, raising questions over its semiconductor…

CBRS $20B

Shallow Dives Oct 28 4 clicks

Daktronics (DAKT): Dominant Leader | Deep Dive

Daktronics, the leader in U.S. sports video boards, targets 10-12% EBIT margins after shifting production to China and Mexico and exiting…

DAKT $977M

Hidden Gems Investing Oct 28 6 clicks

The Cigna Group: Client Retention Matters, But Contract Profitability Matters More

Cigna faces PBM margin pressure as employer fee demands and Signature transition costs outweigh specialty-drug growth, limiting profit…

CI $80B

Narek Hovhannisyan Oct 28 1 click

Enova International (ENVA): Leading US Online lender with excellent track record

Enova’s Q3 2026 revenue exceeded $1 billion as originations rose 31%, while its failed Grasshopper Bank bid drove a 23% one-day stock…

ENVA $4.4B

Substack von Philipp Oct 28 3 clicks

Vertiv (NYSE: VRT) Stock Rating: Accumulate, $329 Price Target After Q3 FY12/26 Earnings

Vertiv beat Q3 revenue guidance by $460 million, grew organic sales 55%, and raised full-year revenue guidance by $650 million to a $14.65…

VRT $79B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 28 3 clicks

Xenia Hotels: A Buy Ahead Of Q3 Results, Betting On Continued Portfolio Quality

Xenia Hotels & Resorts pairs luxury hotel assets, brand affiliations and planned renovations with investment-grade credit and covered…

XHR $2B

Albert Anthony Oct 28 2 clicks

EQT Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review - Distribute Rating

EQT moved to Distribute at $56.29 after Q3 revenue fell 9.6%; a 44% trailing free-cash-flow margin signals cycle risk despite lower debt…

EQT $33B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 27 2 clicks

Innodata responds, Amkor surges, Mega Tech spending on tap

Innodata shares fell 25% to $44.74 after India Today reported 550 job cuts in India.

INOD $1.5BAMKR $8.8B

The Technology Letter Oct 27 6 clicks

My Last GFL Update - Hopefully

GFL’s take-private structure hinges on BC Partners rolling 60% of its stake to preserve debt portability under the 40% permitted-holder…

GFL $20B

310 Value’s Newsletter Oct 27 5 clicks

Expert Call | Lumentum Optical Chip Capacity, EML/SiPh Outlook & Industry Pricing

Lumentum’s 2027 optical-chip expansion, 200G EML and CW capacity, silicon-photonics roadmap, pricing and 3.2T module prospects face…

LITE $48B

P Equity Research Oct 27 2 clicks

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Thursday, October 29, 2026

Laughing Water Capital on X

Multiples Capital on X

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💥PETITION💥 on X

Fred Liu on X

Fred Liu on X

Laughing Water Capital on X

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