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Thursday, October 29, 2026

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Another Haircut with Avy the Barber

SoFi’s stock case hinges on interest rates, tangible book value and private-credit loan sales after its $1.5 billion equity offering.

SOFI $22B
WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” 3 clicks

From X

@BrokenMoats

Broken Moats on X

$ROL ugly quarter, hate when the call is the following day (same with $MEDP) but as much as Ive beat it up on valuation over the past few years it finally starts to enter the interesting zone under $35. demographic trends to TX and the SE favor increased pest control over time, recurring service, start pushing 15-18x in the low 30s Research considerations - would be curious to see how increased PE movement into the space in different markets continues to impact density and lead generation and pricing as well as m&a opportunities before pulling the trigger here. Not a luxury but an essential service in my neck of the woods.
@ActAccordingly

PAA Research on X

$CB with some pretty chilling, but not entirely commentary on pricing on commercial property lines as the market continues to soften: Pricing on new biz or renewals (-12%) Pricing on the biz they chose not to renew or rejected (-40%) YOY! Otherwise, $CB was brutally honest about the softening across the marketplace in casualty lines and E&S in general. With MGA's flooding the market, this isn't a dynamic that changes overnight. Probably not a great market environment for our friends at $KNSL. Do bulls understand what they own?

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My Last GFL Update - Hopefully

GFL’s take-private structure hinges on BC Partners rolling 60% of its stake to preserve debt portability under the 40% permitted-holder…

GFL $20B
310 Value’s Newsletter 5 clicks

Are Neoclouds Dead?

Neoclouds face tighter debt financing as AI infrastructure capex outruns cash flow, leaving cash-burning GPU providers more exposed than…

NBIS $38B
Daniel Romero 9 clicks

Reddit: Deep Dive Analysis

Reddit generated $805 million in Q2 2026 revenue, 95% from ads, but slowing Google search referrals expose AI-driven traffic and…

RDDT $18B
Hated Moats 6 clicks

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