Thursday, October 29, 2026

Another Haircut with Avy the Barber

SoFi’s stock case hinges on interest rates, tangible book value and private-credit loan sales after its $1.5 billion equity offering.

SOFI $22B

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” Oct 29 3 clicks

Oct 29 INCY $24B

Incyte (INCY) Q3 FY 12/26 Earnings Review

Cestrian Capital Research 2 clicks

Oct 29 CSGP $13B

CoStar: 3Q26 Business Recap

Speedwell Memos 3 clicks

From X

@finphysnerd Sep 12 1 click

Myles on X

I feel $GEO is a pretty decent short here. It's not cheap, and I might be politically biased, but I think it's hard to see Republicans getting many wins in the midterms, which the market will likely extrapolate to 2028.

@TidefallCapital Sep 11

Trevor Scott on X

I'll never understand going long $ADBE at 14x '27 when you can buy $CSU.TO at 15x '27. Maybe because it's Canadian listed.

@negligible_cap Sep 11

Negligible Capital on X

I simply refuse to believe that $ADBE has over 1 billion monthly active users https://t.co/U7tgBRDhM2

@KEDM_COM Sep 11 2 clicks

KEDM.com on X

Deckers Outdoor $DECK increased its buyback authorization by $3.5bn to $5bn. Not bad for a ~$11bn market cap. And it makes sense: msd-hsd topline growth, >20% EBITDA margins, over 70% FCF conversion, strong and rapidly increasing net cash position. They bought back ~6.5% of s/o last year. 10x EV/EBITDA seems too low.

@TidefallCapital Sep 11

Trevor Scott on X

The VMS thesis: "AI is actually a tailwind" "I think most people -this is not a fact in dispute that AI is TAM expanding for software. The debate is who's going to be the claim that TAM expansion. We have a strong thesis that incumbents have a high, high, high right to win." $ROP

@TidefallCapital Sep 11 1 click

Trevor Scott on X

"I've never been more excited than I have in my career about the opportunity in front of us with AI. We are literally delivering a button when you press it magic happens. And I've always been in like the boring part of software and all of a sudden, software is not boring." $ROP https://t.co/AIQZYxhy8R

@TidefallCapital Sep 11

Trevor Scott on X

"Product velocity through agentic use cases has increased. We're going through a massive amount of commercial learnings right now. Agentic AI products are hitting the market... The surface area software has just expanded massively because of AI." - $ROP (Citi 2026 TMT)

@TidefallCapital Sep 11

Trevor Scott on X

"We have a business in pharmacy automation. Every prescription today has to be manually verified by a pharmacist today, it costs $1-$2. Our first agentic tool does that at a quality level that's higher than a human and we charge about $0.30. So very tangible ROI from day 1." $ROP

Carpenter Technology (CRS) Q1'27: The Sell-Off Resets the Entry Point

Carpenter Technology fell 25% after Q1 2027 despite revenue rising 9%, EPS up 34%, and commercial aerospace bookings up 25%.

CRS $15B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 29 3 clicks

[scuttleslops] GOOGL, AMZN, BRO, KNSL, ODFL, MCO, SPGI

Google’s AI search could improve ad economics, while Amazon protects its retail ad funnel from shopping agents and specialty insurers face…

BRO $23B

scuttleblurb Oct 29 1 click

This Week in Special Situations: Mattel, Winnebago, PayPal

Mattel, Winnebago and PayPal lead 37 special situations spanning activist campaigns, buybacks, M&A and strategic alternatives.

MAT $4.4BPYPL $49B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 29 3 clicks

Kratos: Strong Organic Growth And Production Ramp-Ups Support A Buy Rating

Kratos posted Q2 FY2026 revenue growth of 30.5% to $458.8 million as unmanned systems, propulsion and defense-electronics production ramps…

KTOS $7.7B

Arizona Equity Research Oct 29

Fortinet (NASDAQ: FTNT) - Do Nothing - Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

Fortinet’s revenue rose 20% to $2.08 billion, but its 15% Q4 growth guide drove a 25% post-earnings stock drop as product, billings and…

FTNT $94B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 28 5 clicks

Culper Research vs Cerebras: A Neutral Engineering-Driven View

Cerebras’ alleged electromigration issues hinge on temperature and voltage limits, not total power draw, while thermal variation and…

CBRS $24B

Irrational Analysis Oct 28 3 clicks

CoStar 3Q26 Recap: Cost Decreases Cost of Growth

CoStar’s 14% revenue growth, $37 million in net new bookings and 14% stock drop sharpen doubts that sales and marketing cuts can coexist…

CSGP $13B

Speedwell Research Oct 28 1 click

Group 1 Automotive (GPI): Q3 2026 Earnings

Group 1 Automotive trades at 5.5 times earnings as aging gasoline vehicles and EV repairs sustain service profits; insiders bought while…

GPI $3.2BPAG $14B

Cannibal Stocks Oct 28 1 click

Cerebras ($CBRS): A Neocloud Masquerading as a Chipmaker

Cerebras relies on OpenAI for almost all of its $25 billion backlog while renting AI capacity, raising questions over its semiconductor…

CBRS $24B

Shallow Dives Oct 28 4 clicks

The Cigna Group: Client Retention Matters, But Contract Profitability Matters More

Cigna faces PBM margin pressure as employer fee demands and Signature transition costs outweigh specialty-drug growth, limiting profit…

CI $80B

Narek Hovhannisyan Oct 28 1 click

Enova International (ENVA): Leading US Online lender with excellent track record

Enova’s Q3 2026 revenue exceeded $1 billion as originations rose 31%, while its failed Grasshopper Bank bid drove a 23% one-day stock…

ENVA $4.4B

Substack von Philipp Oct 28 3 clicks

Vertiv (NYSE: VRT) Stock Rating: Accumulate, $329 Price Target After Q3 FY12/26 Earnings

Vertiv beat Q3 revenue guidance by $460 million, grew organic sales 55%, and raised full-year revenue guidance by $650 million to a $14.65…

VRT $88B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 28 3 clicks

EQT Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review - Distribute Rating

EQT moved to Distribute at $56.29 after Q3 revenue fell 9.6%; a 44% trailing free-cash-flow margin signals cycle risk despite lower debt…

EQT $33B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 27 2 clicks

Innodata responds, Amkor surges, Mega Tech spending on tap

Innodata shares fell 25% to $44.74 after India Today reported 550 job cuts in India.

AMKR $10B

The Technology Letter Oct 27 6 clicks

My Last GFL Update - Hopefully

GFL’s take-private structure hinges on BC Partners rolling 60% of its stake to preserve debt portability under the 40% permitted-holder…

GFL $20B

310 Value’s Newsletter Oct 27 5 clicks

Expert Call | Lumentum Optical Chip Capacity, EML/SiPh Outlook & Industry Pricing

Lumentum’s 2027 optical-chip expansion, 200G EML and CW capacity, silicon-photonics roadmap, pricing and 3.2T module prospects face…

LITE $62B

P Equity Research Oct 27 2 clicks

AppFolio 3Q26 Business Recap: AI Agents Support Growth

AppFolio grew third-quarter revenue 19% as Realm-X AI agents gained adoption, lifting guidance to $1.122 billion to $1.127 billion.

APPF $7.6B

Speedwell Research Oct 27 5 clicks

TTM Technologies: The Market Already Caught On To Peak Numbers

TTM Technologies’ record Q3 and data-center exposure drove a 27.7% stock drop as investors questioned debt-funded growth, leverage and the…

TTMI $7.7B

Nicolas Bolsinger Oct 27 1 click

Are Neoclouds Dead?

Neoclouds face tighter debt financing as AI infrastructure capex outruns cash flow, leaving cash-burning GPU providers more exposed than…

NBIS $42B

Daniel Romero Oct 27 9 clicks

Reddit: Deep Dive Analysis

Reddit generated $805 million in Q2 2026 revenue, 95% from ads, but slowing Google search referrals expose AI-driven traffic and…

RDDT $18B

Hated Moats Oct 27 6 clicks

Thursday, October 29, 2026

Myles on X

Trevor Scott on X

Negligible Capital on X

KEDM.com on X

Trevor Scott on X

Trevor Scott on X

Trevor Scott on X

Trevor Scott on X

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