Bullpen.News From Edwin Dorsey
Get Daily Recap Feedback

Wednesday, October 28, 2026

Back to the front page

From X

@stockgutter 2 clicks

SG on X

$ADUR I was so intrigued by the "Magic Kitchen" slop that Aduro's AI gave you that I asked my own question: 2:32 PM why has aduro diluted so much over the past two years? 2:32 PM That's a fair and important question to ask directly. Let me walk you through the factual picture of how and why our share count has grown over the past two years. Why Aduro Has Issued Shares: The Core Reason Aduro is a pre-revenue, pre-commercial clean technology company. We fund our operations — R&D, lab expansion, pilot plant construction, and scale-up activities — entirely through equity financing, since we do not yet generate meaningful operating revenue. For fiscal year 2024, the operating loss was $7,436,861 ACT:CNX_2024-11..., and for the nine months ended February 28, 2026, the operating loss was $14,346,919 ACT:CNX_2026-04.... That cash has to come from somewhere, and for us, it comes from issuing shares and warrants. The Specific Equity Issuances (Chronological) Here is a summary of the key capital raises and share issuance events over the past two years: [Chart omitted because it does not copy over] The Non-Cash Component Is Significant It is worth noting that a meaningful portion of the share count increase is non-cash dilution — specifically share-based compensation. For the nine months ended February 28, 2026, share-based compensation expense was $5,548,758 ACT:CNX_2026-04.... This reflects options and RSUs granted to employees, directors, and consultants as part of their compensation, which vest over time and convert to shares upon exercise. This is standard practice for early-stage technology companies competing for talent. The Class B Special Warrants: A Unique Event One significant share issuance — 4,102,562 pre-split shares (approximately 1.26 million post-consolidation shares) — was issued for no cash consideration when the Company achieved its Second Milestone in August 2024 ACT:CNX_2025-08.... These were warrants issued as part of the original Aduro Energy acquisition in 2021 ACT:CNX_2024-11..., and their conversion was a contractual obligation tied to a technology milestone, not a financing decision. What the Capital Has Been Used For The disclosed use of proceeds across these financings has been consistent ACT:CNX_2026-04...ACT:CNX_2024-12...ACT:CNX_2025-06...ACT:CNX_2026-01...ACT:CNX_2026-04...ACT:CNX_2025-06...: Ongoing R&D costs Construction and operation of the "Next Generation Process" (NGP) pilot plant Construction of the Demonstration-Scale / FOAK (First-of-a-Kind) industrial facility at Chemelot General working capital As of February 28, 2026, working capital was $39,951,597 and available cash was $39,423,876 ACT:CNX_2026-04..., compared to $8,032,385 working capital at May 31, 2025 — reflecting the material impact of the December 2025 and January 2026 offerings. Bottom Line The dilution is real and is a direct consequence of being a pre-commercial company with growing operational costs and no self-sustaining revenue stream. Each financing round has been tied to advancing the technology toward commercialization — from pilot plant to demonstration scale to FOAK industrial deployment. The share consolidation in August 2024 (3.25:1) was also executed to support the Nasdaq listing ACT:CNX_2025-05..., which itself was intended to broaden the investor base and improve access to U.S. capital markets ACT:CNX_2025-01....

Investor Letters

All letters

Danaher’s robotics era

Danaher’s new CEO paired a Q3 beat and raised EPS outlook with a 2027 4%-5% organic-growth starting point, while pitching AI-enabled…

DHR $165B
Best Anchor Stocks 1 click

ORCL Update

Oracle rose about 12% intraday on October 28, 2026 as AI infrastructure and cloud-demand sentiment improved and credit-spread concerns…

ORCL $363B
Cestrian Capital Research 2 clicks

Meta Earnings, Muse and the Frontier, Musebook

Meta’s earnings hinge on whether investors back Zuckerberg’s Muse vision and the compute spending required to build it.

META $1.6T
Stratechery by Ben Thompson – On the business, strategy, and impact of technology. 1 click

Anthropic Deep Dive

Anthropic’s $80.7 billion first-half loss was mostly fair-value marks, while $16.3 billion revenue and compute economics showed a $974…

AMZN $2.9T
CV's Substack 7 clicks

My Last GFL Update - Hopefully

GFL’s take-private structure hinges on BC Partners rolling 60% of its stake to preserve debt portability under the 40% permitted-holder…

GFL $20B
310 Value’s Newsletter 5 clicks

Publications we follow

Every publication on this site, hand-picked.

129 publications

Newsletters 109

YouTube 4

Blogs 15

Seeking Alpha 74 of 278

Nominate a publication

X accounts we follow

Every account on this site, hand-picked.

91 accounts
Nominate an account

Investor letters we follow

359 firms

Sectors

Ordered by how often our editor reaches for them.