Wednesday, October 28, 2026

Fortinet (NASDAQ: FTNT) - Do Nothing - Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

Fortinet’s revenue rose 20% to $2.08 billion, but its 15% Q4 growth guide drove a 25% post-earnings stock drop as product, billings and services growth decelerated.

FTNT $102B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 28 5 clicks

Oct 28 CBRS $24B

Culper Research vs Cerebras: A Neutral Engineering-Driven View

Irrational Analysis 3 clicks

Oct 28 CSGP $12B

CoStar 3Q26 Recap: Cost Decreases Cost of Growth

Speedwell Research 1 click

From X

@ACapitalLP Sep 17 2 clicks

A Capital on X

Do you see it? $COO https://t.co/qydMW4xaH9

@DeepSailCapital Sep 17 2 clicks

Deep Sail Capital on X

@jiahanjimliu @JKeynesAlpha @PSInvestor Valuation seems a bit stretched here. I get the thesis, it’s just things don’t go straight up forever. Someone is going to cut $TEM at the knees soon.

@blondesnmoney Sep 17 1 click

Cluseau Investments on X

Disclaimer: I have sold this position and have no view on the valuation or future prospects My craziest OTC adventure this year was discovering a single-asset refinery that sells Jet Fuel to the US Military. It sounds kinda crazy, but it's the exact type of ridiculous setup funny enough to look into. In July, refining crack spreads were blowing out, and nearly every refiner $PBF, $PARR, $VLO, $PSX were steamrolling. I wanted some exposure, but I felt sheepish chasing names that were already tearing it up. I started looking at smaller refiners, but nearly everyone was in the 3x - 5x forward earnings range, not expensive, but for a cyclical, also not really that cheap. It turns out that, aside from the megacap refiners and $PARR, there's only one other US listed microcap refiner, Blue Dolphin Energy $BDCO. The stock is heavily insider owned, and at the time, was trading at just over 4x Q1 earnings ($0.99). Crack spreads are publicly viewable, and other refiners were demolishing estimates - $PARR came in at $11 in Q2, triple Q1, so it didn't take too much math to realize BDCO's Q2 was gonna be strong given jet fuel prices, and that the stock was potentially trading under 1x forward earnings. Of course, it's an OTC name with limited liquidity so you can't realize size it up, but how often do you get a chance to buy someone who supplies jet fuel to the Department of Defense under 1x annualized earnings? It was almost comedic, the story was funny enough to swallow the OTC stigma and just pick up a little bit up. About a week later, Q2 results came in at $1.19 (putting 1H earnings at ($2.18), and the market suddenly realized a stock trading at $4 on $2.18 of two quarter's EPS was just too cheap. The stock hit $18 today - I've been trimming since entry and am finally out. It was a tiny position, but I continue to find it ridiculous that these OTC setups exist. With a small amount of capital and a love for reading filings, you can probably find a slew of OTC names that are actually decently profitable that are simply too small for larger investors to take a stab at. I have no position in BDCO and have no opinion on it, $4 and $18 are totally different prices, but the fact this setup existed and somehow flew under the radar until earnings is pretty entertaining.

@AsifSuria Sep 17

Asif Suria on X

Wrote about the Medtronic - MiniMed $MMED $MDT split-off for our mid-month update yesterday: https://t.co/V0EGS81yam

@AsifSuria Sep 17

Asif Suria on X

@MrMojoRisinX @ArbSensei @Msp194 Also worth visiting what happened with Johnson & Johnson/Kenvue a little over three years ago. $JNJ $KVUE Proration in that case was 23.23%

@TidefallCapital Sep 17

Trevor Scott on X

@patientinvestor $CHTR too! ;)

@AsifSuria Sep 17

Asif Suria on X

Sold $AER too soon from our model portfolio during the tariff tantrum of April 2025 but thankfully still have it in a personal portfolio. Took a while to play out but it worked out great. Looking at $GILD in the same portfolio today, realized that sometimes patience pays off. Now if only $LION could start behaving.

@ACapitalLP Sep 17 3 clicks

A Capital on X

A “gift” is when some person and/or organization creates a narrative misperception that creates a dislocation in an equity. Dario did it with $CORZ / $CIFR this weekend. Bloomberg News continues to do it with $OWL https://t.co/z7VfaqffDk

ORCL Update

Oracle rose about 12% intraday on October 28, 2026 as AI infrastructure and cloud-demand sentiment improved and credit-spread concerns…

ORCL $383B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 28 2 clicks

Group 1 Automotive (GPI): Q3 2026 Earnings

Group 1 Automotive trades at 5.5 times earnings as aging gasoline vehicles and EV repairs sustain service profits; insiders bought while…

PAG $14B

Cannibal Stocks Oct 28 1 click

Cerebras ($CBRS): A Neocloud Masquerading as a Chipmaker

Cerebras relies on OpenAI for almost all of its $25 billion backlog while renting AI capacity, raising questions over its semiconductor…

CBRS $24B

Shallow Dives Oct 28 4 clicks

Danaher’s robotics era

Danaher’s new CEO paired a Q3 beat and raised EPS outlook with a 2027 4%-5% organic-growth starting point, while pitching AI-enabled…

DHR $163B

Best Anchor Stocks Oct 28 1 click

The Cigna Group: Client Retention Matters, But Contract Profitability Matters More

Cigna faces PBM margin pressure as employer fee demands and Signature transition costs outweigh specialty-drug growth, limiting profit…

CI $78B

Narek Hovhannisyan Oct 28 1 click

Vertiv (NYSE: VRT) Stock Rating: Accumulate, $329 Price Target After Q3 FY12/26 Earnings

Vertiv beat Q3 revenue guidance by $460 million, grew organic sales 55%, and raised full-year revenue guidance by $650 million to a $14.65…

VRT $88B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 28 3 clicks

Alibaba: At $100, The Market Is Pricing The Bear Case

Alibaba's $100 valuation discounts cloud growth, China competition and US investment-ban risk, while its cloud unit posted 45% revenue…

BABA $243B

M&M Capital Oct 28 2 clicks

Innodata responds, Amkor surges, Mega Tech spending on tap

Innodata shares fell 25% to $44.74 after India Today reported 550 job cuts in India.

AMKR $10B

The Technology Letter Oct 27 6 clicks

My Last GFL Update - Hopefully

GFL’s take-private structure hinges on BC Partners rolling 60% of its stake to preserve debt portability under the 40% permitted-holder…

GFL $16B

310 Value’s Newsletter Oct 27 5 clicks

Expert Call | Lumentum Optical Chip Capacity, EML/SiPh Outlook & Industry Pricing

Lumentum’s 2027 optical-chip expansion, 200G EML and CW capacity, silicon-photonics roadmap, pricing and 3.2T module prospects face…

LITE $62B

P Equity Research Oct 27 2 clicks

EQT Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review - Distribute Rating

EQT moved to Distribute at $56.29 after Q3 revenue fell 9.6%; a 44% trailing free-cash-flow margin signals cycle risk despite lower debt…

EQT $34B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 27 2 clicks

Novartis (NYSE: NVS) Stock Rating: Do Nothing After Q3 FY12/26 Earnings

Novartis grew Q3 sales 4% to $14.5bn and raised profit guidance, but pipeline failures triggered a $1.9bn impairment as net debt reached…

NVS $304B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 27 3 clicks

Boeing (NYSE: BA) Stock Rating: Do Nothing After Q3 FY12/26 Earnings

Boeing posted $24.2 billion in Q3 revenue and $1.5 billion in operating cash flow, but commercial aircraft lost $697 million as production…

BA $136B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 27 1 click

AST SpaceMobile: New Glenn Gives Hope, Manufacturing Should Follow (Rating Upgrade)

AST SpaceMobile targets intermittent US satellite service by end-2026 as New Glenn progress could speed constellation launches after…

ASTS $16B

Melissa Tucker Oct 27 1 click

Are Neoclouds Dead?

Neoclouds face tighter debt financing as AI infrastructure capex outruns cash flow, leaving cash-burning GPU providers more exposed than…

NBIS $42B

Daniel Romero Oct 27 9 clicks

Reddit: Deep Dive Analysis

Reddit generated $805 million in Q2 2026 revenue, 95% from ads, but slowing Google search referrals expose AI-driven traffic and…

RDDT $18B

Hated Moats Oct 27 6 clicks

Qualcomm Inc. (QCOM)

Qualcomm supplies chips for on-device AI agents and data center inference, with Meta and AWS agreements expanding its role across both…

QCOM $195B

SixSigmaCapital: Navigating the Financial Markets Oct 27 5 clicks

Single Stock Spotlight #17: Gamestop (GME)

GameStop’s $6.1 billion in net cash equivalents and shift toward collectibles underpin a $30 to $40 per-share valuation thesis.

GME $12B

Hidden Rock Capital's Newsletter Oct 27 4 clicks

Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXXIII

Monte Investments updates Carpenter Technology after a 25% sell-off, tracks EQT’s $12.83 billion Range Resources acquisition and assesses…

CRS $15BEQT $34B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 27 1 click

SBAC · long

Sba Communications CORP

SBA Communications trades at 14.9x forward AFFOPS, near a record low, despite being pitched as the market’s cleanest tower operator.

SBAC $20B

Value Investors Club Jul 29

Wednesday, October 28, 2026

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