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Monday, October 26, 2026

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Merger Monday & Election Implications

EQT’s $50 billion merger with Range Resources and Ovintiv’s $1.26 billion acquisition of Logan Energy reshape North American oil and gas alongside Brazil and British Columbia election…

EQT $34BRRC $13B
Bison Insights 7 clicks

From X

@BrokenMoats 1 click

Broken Moats on X

Could see $JACK, $WEN, $PZZA all go bankrupt. Probably others across the QSR space (subway, Pizza Hut some of the more challenged private operators) -- to be fair some of these could get acquired too but interesting how that would play through commercial real estate and impact the non distressed survivors -- very challenging space with prices having soared (affordability) and consumers pushing back or finding better/comparable value at a Chili's etc. Freight costs (diesel and trucker shortage from policy moves) and food costs that are/will escalate (freight and commodities) is going to bring new challenges to margins. Menu prices likely need to reset lower across many of these chains but that is a very difficult process for owners and franchises to accomplish especially while input costs continue to rise. GLP1s hurt overall volume trends as well but......look out to automation/robotics in store and how trends tend to switch back to QSR/fast food in a more stressed economic condition there might be select opportunities in the coming months for a few players as prices have/are resetting fast across tis space
@KEDM_COM 2 clicks

KEDM.com on X

Right Tail @JeremyKokemor bought $HCA at about 12x earnings on a local-density argument: hospitals compete neighborhood by neighborhood, and HCA holds #1 or #2 share — averaging 25-30% of each market in about 80% of its markets, primarily in Sunbelt states. Outpatient access points — 14 per hospital, heading toward 20 — feed the hospitals, and about 75% of admissions arrive through the ER. Margins held in the high teens through 2009, and half the shares have been retired since the 2011 re-IPO. Historically, HCA has compounded revenue at roughly 7% annually and EPS closer to 17%; Right Tail models mid-single-digit revenue growth and 10-15% EPS growth.

Investor Letters

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Molina & Kinsale

Molina Healthcare and Kinsale Capital’s earnings are reassessed through a long-term lens, emphasizing conviction and detachment during…

MOH $11BKNSL $8.3B
Bearstone 8 clicks

“Our Strategy Is Unchanged”

Netflix’s $51 billion FY26 revenue outlook and global streaming scale underpin its core strategy as management addresses slowing…

NFLX $511B
TSOH Investment Research 7 clicks

Namib Minerals: Research Flash

Namib Minerals’ How Mine mill reached 55,000 tonnes per month, 36% above prior capacity, while a proposed $30 million Ecobank facility…

NAMM $43M
Atrium Research - Equity Research 2 clicks

Bimergen Energy: Research Flash

Bimergen Energy filed for a Texas retail-power license to supply data centers directly and gained eligibility for federal contracts through…

BESS $19M
Atrium Research - Equity Research 3 clicks

Tower Semiconductor Deep Dive

Tower Semiconductor’s low-loss photonics chips halve lasers in 1.6T optical modules, supporting a $680 million annualized photonics run…

TSEM $18B
CV's Substack 10 clicks

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