Sunday, October 25, 2026

WD 361: Brazil, JetBlue Bankruptcy, Mexican Airlines Merger

Brazil’s Lula victory leaves Nu and Inter’s thesis intact, while JetBlue heads toward bankruptcy and Mexican airlines pursue a merger.

JBLU $964MNU $73B

Ian’s Insider Corner 26h ago 11 clicks

30h ago AXP $215B

American Express: P&L Slowed, Consumer Didn’t

Librarian Capital's Research Library 3 clicks

37h ago SSTK $168M

💥Is Getty a Prepack in Name Only?💥

PETITION 4 clicks

From X

@AsifSuria Oct 22 2 clicks

Asif Suria on X

A whole new way to "mine" for gold!! Although I prefer the way Newmont $NEM does it. At its current cost of production, the company is essentially printing cash. https://t.co/wz0ugYpeK1

@Mr_Neutral_Man Oct 22

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

@voltino_cro I bought these 1-2 weeks ago when I saw the 15% bond yield and thought even when $VNO sold off to a decade low, it's bond yield was 9% and the stock was $12-13 A 15% yield is really troubling, bought some puts as a tail risk hedge

@Mr_Neutral_Man Oct 22

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

Feel too smart today, took some profits on my $CRWV puts I have a rule that: If I feel too smart, I have to take chips off the table If I feel too dumb, I have to buy https://t.co/jecP6zhYT3

@AsifSuria Oct 22 2 clicks

Asif Suria on X

This is a positive development in the right direction for Mattel $MAT It was also good to see this at the heels of Hasbro's $HAS strong earnings this week https://t.co/X6gYlKpmFM https://t.co/UBY85cb3SR

@BlueDuckCap Oct 22 1 click

BDC on X

@srg444 bullish scenario on $MRNA is ~$50-60 / share. So yeah - more than cut in half.

@SouthernValue95 Oct 22 1 click

SouthernValue on X

Absent the very odd 8k, $META results were strong. - 26% revenue growth - Guided to ~150bp acceleration in 4Q at the midpoint - 10M muse accounts, 15M Meta One, and both are in infancy and mostly just rolled to North America. 92% of META users are outside NA - Committed to bring down FRL losses and trend towards profitability over time Stock is trading at a low-mid teens multiple of ex-Muse/FRL earnings and ~19x EPS fully capitalizing those investments. Without the cap raise 8k, the stock would be up. If we assume they might raise $100B, with 0 ROIC on the invested proceeds, maybe the equity raise has a max negative value of -6% in the most punitive scenario. Think the underlying results were strong enough to offset and stock has overreacted.

@P_Remarks Oct 22 1 click

Prepared Remarks on X

$orcl https://t.co/69mBa56bZE

@aleabitoreddit Oct 22 1 click

Serenity on X

I feel like markets are seeing a lot of forced liquidations and panic selling right now. You have peers like $LITE sold out completely into 2029, and are starting negotiations for 2030. So seeing a company like $AAOI now worth $5.7B despite all their laser/transceiver/ELSFP capacity coming online + demand visibility reminds me of July

Philip Morris International: Ho-hum Hrmm?

Philip Morris posted 7% organic Q3 revenue growth and 10% operating-income growth as 9.1% cigarette pricing offset flat volumes, while IQOS…

PM $314B

Invariant 39h ago 11 clicks

Meta: A Strong Quarter Behind A $9.9 Billion Legal Charge And $35 Billion Of Capex

Meta posted 26% revenue growth and $9.89 billion in legal charges while funding $35 billion of capex, as AI lifts ad pricing and pressures…

META $1.8T

Tim Travis 39h ago 1 click

Signet Jewelers (SIG): The Next Dillard’s?

Signet Jewelers cut its share count from 87 million to 38 million since 2012 as short interest reaches 15%, amid a hated diamond market.

SIG $4.5B

Cannibal Stocks 46h ago 14 clicks

Avalo Therapeutics: Contrarian 'Buy' Ahead Of Abdakibart's Phase 3

Avalo Therapeutics' Abdakibart enters a pivotal hidradenitis suppurativa trial after positive LOTUS data, with monthly dosing and…

AVTX $658M

Myriam Alvarez 46h ago 2 clicks

Tower Semiconductor Deep Dive

Tower Semiconductor’s low-loss photonics chips halve lasers in 1.6T optical modules, supporting a $680 million annualized photonics run…

TSEM $19B

CV's Substack Oct 24 9 clicks

Expert Call | AI Server OEM: 2026 xAI Orders, GB300 Price Hikes & B300 Margin Gains

Super Micro’s 2026 xAI rack orders, GB300 price increases and B300 mix frame its gross-margin outlook.

SMCI $23B

P Equity Research Oct 24 7 clicks

I went through all 142 companies in Value Line this morning. Here are the 6 that made it

Six Value Line small caps including Blackbaud, Marqeta, Ranger Energy and Definitive Healthcare trade on net cash, buybacks, low multiples…

BLKB $2.4BMQ $2B

Calvin Blissett Oct 24 69 clicks

Deep Dive: $ASML

ASML’s €230 million EUV machines underpin advanced AI chip production, with demand booked through 2028 after nearly $9 billion and two…

ASML $616B

Rebound Capital Oct 24 8 clicks

Margin Call

Petrobras’s Morpho-1 well revived hopes that Brazil’s Equatorial Margin can become a major new oil frontier after hydrocarbons were…

PBR $83B

Doomberg Oct 24 9 clicks

Applied Materials: Buy The Engineering Powerhouse Behind AI

AMAT $301B

Dhierin Bechai Oct 24 2 clicks

JBFCY · long

Jollibee Foods CORP

Jollibee Foods trades at PHP 144, about 56% below its January 2019 high, framing a long thesis on the Philippine restaurant operator.

JBFCY $2.5B

Value Investors Club Jul 27 1 click

Netflix's Apocalypse Fears Overly Done - Cash Cow With Renewal Prospects

Netflix pairs international engagement, free cash flow and buybacks with plans for double-digit revenue growth, margin expansion and larger…

NFLX $511B

Juxtaposed Ideas Oct 24 8 clicks

AI Narrative Switched, Debt Yields Spike | The Weekly Wrap

CoreWeave’s rising debt yields and fading confidence in AI data-center economics frame a weekly review of Meta, Tesla, SpaceX, Netflix,…

CRWV $30BTSLA $1.5T

Steve Eisman Oct 23 28 clicks

Our Views on CoreWeave

CoreWeave's financial statements point to a business model familiar to the authors after a closer review of the AI infrastructure company.

CRWV $30B

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” Oct 23 12 clicks

DigitalOcean's AI Flywheel: Unleashing Massive Growth Potential For Bold Investors

DOCN $11B

Star Investments Oct 23 9 clicks

Bloom Energy (NYSE: BE) Q3 FY12/26 Earnings - Revenue Up 138% On The Datacenter Power Race

Bloom Energy’s Q3 FY26 revenue rose 138% to $1.24 billion as datacenter power orders lifted operating margin to 18%; capex drove $181…

BE $56B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 23 8 clicks

Philip Morris: Taking the Fight to the U.S.

Philip Morris reported Q3 growth across heated tobacco, combustibles and e-vapor in Europe while gaining U.S. nicotine-pouch share.

PM $314B

Librarian Capital's Research Library Oct 23 2 clicks

Amazon’s Trainium Takes a Strike at the Training King

Amazon’s Trainium3 adds native PyTorch training support, targeting CUDA-trained researchers with standard APIs, eager mode and…

AMZN $2.8T

SemiAnalysis Oct 23 7 clicks

Alphabet: Gemini 4 Argon Is Coming For ChatGPT's Lunch

Alphabet's Gemini 4 Argon aims to undercut rival AI models using proprietary TPUs, while Android, Siri and Google Cloud distribution…

GOOGL $3.9T

Dustin Quasney Oct 23 3 clicks

Capital Wars

CoreWeave’s $35 billion to $39 billion 2026 spending plan relies on debt as unsecured yields reach 15%, making its GPU cloud expansion a…

CRWV $30B

Net Interest Oct 23 11 clicks

Sunday, October 25, 2026

Asif Suria on X

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

Asif Suria on X

BDC on X

SouthernValue on X

Prepared Remarks on X

Serenity on X

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