Sunday, October 25, 2026

WD 361: Brazil, JetBlue Bankruptcy, Mexican Airlines Merger

Brazil’s Lula victory leaves Nu and Inter’s thesis intact, while JetBlue heads toward bankruptcy and Mexican airlines pursue a merger.

JBLU $1.1BNU $60B

Ian’s Insider Corner Oct 25 11 clicks

Oct 25 AXP $217B

American Express: P&L Slowed, Consumer Didn’t

Librarian Capital's Research Library 4 clicks

Oct 25 PM $316B

Philip Morris International: Ho-hum Hrmm?

Invariant 13 clicks

From X

@calvinblissett Sep 29

Calvin Blissett on X

This is what I am alluding to in the Chuck Akre 2011 google talk $FICO https://t.co/ptAE3rvZqV

@ACapitalLP Sep 29

A Capital on X

$FDXF has materially underperformed LTL peers heading into October's first standalone earnings call… Market seems to be pricing in a deteriorating earnings story rather than post-spin complexity. If management can provide clarity on standalone financials and reaffirm its margin trajectory, the RV dislocation could close quickly. Interesting asymmetric setup….

@calvinblissett Sep 29

Calvin Blissett on X

$FICO forward P/E means nothing, trailing P/E around ~18x. Relevant mental model may beBill Nygren sand $MCO Moodys post GFC when regulatory expanded agencies from 2.5 to 6 and essentially mandated competition with Moodys. See interview with Google on YT in maybe 2011. We saw how that turned out. Bias: 1 share bought at $870 to scratch an irrational itch. Status: miffed, @wpulte suffers from man with a hammer tendency

@pennycheck Sep 29

⚽️📡 on X

$ADEA New CEO hire is exactly what you want to see. She spent last 8 years at $ARM turning semi conducter IP into massive growth + recurring revenue honestly surprised stock is down given how the previous CEO exit had been weighing on the stock https://t.co/m34bD0nn3l https://t.co/JXuFHAsKJj

@blondesnmoney Sep 29

Cluseau Investments on X

$ASIC has significantly outperformed its more loftily valued peer, Kinsale, by 42% YTD. With Excess and Surplus activity continuing to slow, however, I think Ategrity is no longer the value setup it once was and I've taken profits on the ASIC leg of the trade. https://t.co/X0GyGmL414 https://t.co/IngDuCC0H8

@convequity Sep 29

Convequity on X

Batch size sets the trade-off between speed and cost in AI inference. An AI server answers many users at once by bundling their requests into one batch. Our $CBRS note compares this to running a bus. There are two ways to run it, and each gives something up. 1. Fill the bus. Put as many passengers as possible on every run. More stops slow each passenger's trip, but the cost of the run is spread across more people, so the cost per passenger falls. Larger batches do the same: each user's answer is slower, and the cost per token falls because the system produces more tokens from the same hardware. 2. Carry fewer passengers and stop less. Each trip is faster, but fewer seats mean the cost of the run is spread less well, so the cost per passenger rises. Smaller batches are fast for one user and raise the cost per token. So in the analogy, speed for each user is how fast each passenger arrives. Cost per token is cost per passenger. A system set up for one gives up some of the other. When someone compares two inference systems, check the batch size behind each number. A speed figure or a cost-per-token figure quoted without it cannot be compared fairly.

@AsifSuria Sep 29

Asif Suria on X

@SmallCapVal Was excited to see an insider purchase at $CME filed yesterday but it turned out to be a dividend reinvestment as most of the purchases at $CME tend to be. https://t.co/E7mlsW02I3

@junkbondinvest Sep 29 2 clicks

junkbondinvestor on X

Paramount's $52bn $WBD debt package is FINALLY in the market. Here's the package: $32bn of IG-rated 1L bonds, the 5th-largest US high-grade sale EVER. Plus $7.5bn of loans and $12.4bn of 2L HY bonds. Paramount's existing unsecured bonds? Primed. Back of the line. Good luck and thanks for playing. Where in the cap stack are you playing? $PSKY $PARA

Signet Jewelers (SIG): The Next Dillard’s?

Signet Jewelers cut its share count from 87 million to 38 million since 2012 as short interest reaches 15%, amid a hated diamond market.

SIG $4.4B

Cannibal Stocks Oct 25 19 clicks

Avalo Therapeutics: Contrarian 'Buy' Ahead Of Abdakibart's Phase 3

Avalo Therapeutics' Abdakibart enters a pivotal hidradenitis suppurativa trial after positive LOTUS data, with monthly dosing and…

AVTX $383M

Myriam Alvarez Oct 25 3 clicks

Tower Semiconductor Deep Dive

Tower Semiconductor’s low-loss photonics chips halve lasers in 1.6T optical modules, supporting a $680 million annualized photonics run…

TSEM $22B

CV's Substack Oct 24 10 clicks

Expert Call | AI Server OEM: 2026 xAI Orders, GB300 Price Hikes & B300 Margin Gains

Super Micro’s 2026 xAI rack orders, GB300 price increases and B300 mix frame its gross-margin outlook.

SMCI $22B

P Equity Research Oct 24 7 clicks

I went through all 142 companies in Value Line this morning. Here are the 6 that made it

Six Value Line small caps including Blackbaud, Marqeta, Ranger Energy and Definitive Healthcare trade on net cash, buybacks, low multiples…

BLKB $2.4BMQ $1.9B

Calvin Blissett Oct 24 79 clicks

Ares Capital: This 10%+ Yield Is An Undervalued Buy

Ares Capital’s 10%+ yield is supported by a $30.5 billion portfolio with over 70% floating-rate debt, though dividend coverage remains…

ARCC $14B

Jonathan Weber Oct 24 6 clicks

Margin Call

Petrobras’s Morpho-1 well revived hopes that Brazil’s Equatorial Margin can become a major new oil frontier after hydrocarbons were…

PBR $81B

Doomberg Oct 24 12 clicks

Applied Materials: Buy The Engineering Powerhouse Behind AI

Applied Materials targets AI-driven demand for advanced logic, DRAM and packaging, supported by services revenue and operating leverage…

AMAT $310B

Dhierin Bechai Oct 24 4 clicks

AI Narrative Switched, Debt Yields Spike | The Weekly Wrap

CoreWeave’s rising debt yields and fading confidence in AI data-center economics frame a weekly review of Meta, Tesla, SpaceX, Netflix,…

CRWV $34B

Steve Eisman Oct 23 29 clicks

Our Views on CoreWeave

CoreWeave's financial statements point to a business model familiar to the authors after a closer review of the AI infrastructure company.

CRWV $34B

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” Oct 23 13 clicks

JBFCY · long

Jollibee Foods CORP

Jollibee Foods trades at PHP 144, about 56% below its January 2019 high, framing a long thesis on the Philippine restaurant operator.

JBFCY $2.5B

Value Investors Club Jul 27 1 click

SLB Stock: Upgrading Back To A Buy As The Earnings Recovery Takes Shape

SLB’s Q3 beats, sequential margin gains and roughly $10 billion Q4 revenue guide support an earnings recovery despite flat Middle East…

SLB $80B

Steven Fiorillo Oct 24 3 clicks

Bloom Energy (NYSE: BE) Q3 FY12/26 Earnings - Revenue Up 138% On The Datacenter Power Race

Bloom Energy’s Q3 FY26 revenue rose 138% to $1.24 billion as datacenter power orders lifted operating margin to 18%; capex drove $181…

BE $67B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 23 9 clicks

Philip Morris: Taking the Fight to the U.S.

Philip Morris reported Q3 growth across heated tobacco, combustibles and e-vapor in Europe while gaining U.S. nicotine-pouch share.

PM $316B

Librarian Capital's Research Library Oct 23 5 clicks

Capital Wars

CoreWeave’s $35 billion to $39 billion 2026 spending plan relies on debt as unsecured yields reach 15%, making its GPU cloud expansion a…

CRWV $34B

Net Interest Oct 23 12 clicks

Spotify 3Q’26: Built for the Background

Spotify's third-quarter results met or exceeded guidance, with 306 million Premium subscribers and €672 million operating income, while…

SPOT $114B

MBI Deep Dives Oct 23 3 clicks

TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/23/2026)

TSOH Weekly Roundup covers Ally’s improving credit and capital returns, Pepsi’s weak beverage brands, and Match Group’s plan to revive…

ALLY $12BMTCH $10B

TSOH Investment Research Oct 23 5 clicks

Texas Instruments (NASDAQ: TXN) Stock Rating: HOLD After Q3 FY12/26 Earnings

Texas Instruments reported Q3 revenue of $6.06 billion, up 28%, with 47% operating margin and Q4 guidance above seasonal norms; Cestrian…

TXN $283B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 23 7 clicks

Tempus AI: Moderna's New Cancer Vaccine Partner Is The Pick Of The AI Biotech Bunch

Tempus AI targets $1.6 billion of 2026 revenue through AI diagnostics, data licensing and cancer-testing partnerships, with Personalis…

TEM $13BMRNA $83B

Edmund Ingham Oct 23 6 clicks

Research & Analysis: ERock, Inc. (NYSE: EROC)

ERock’s modular microgrids bridge data-center power gaps years before grid interconnects, with Meta and Anthropic projects filling capacity…

EROC $444M

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 23 9 clicks

Sunday, October 25, 2026

Calvin Blissett on X

A Capital on X

Calvin Blissett on X

⚽️📡 on X

Cluseau Investments on X

Convequity on X

Asif Suria on X

junkbondinvestor on X

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