Friday, October 23, 2026

AI Narrative Switched, Debt Yields Spike | The Weekly Wrap

CoreWeave’s rising debt yields and fading confidence in AI data-center economics frame a weekly review of Meta, Tesla, SpaceX, Netflix, French bonds and housing.

CRWV $34B

Steve Eisman Oct 23 26 clicks

Oct 23 CRWV $34B

Our Views on CoreWeave

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” 10 clicks

Oct 23 BE $56B

Bloom Energy (NYSE: BE) Q3 FY12/26 Earnings - Revenue Up 138% On The Datacenter Power Race

Cestrian Capital Research 6 clicks

From X

@red_dog_capital Sep 23 1 click

Red Dog Capital on X

$BSP a Muse short? Hey Muse, cancel all these consumer app subscriptions after they price gouged me and migrate to an open source or cheaper alternative? @Musecases

@leevalueroach Sep 23 1 click

Lee Roach on X

Pokemon is such a hot product that people are breaking into card stores to sell them. Wall Street suits are sleeping on $GME with their entire thumb up their ass. https://t.co/jTm9Sj7DWI

@leevalueroach Sep 23 1 click

Lee Roach on X

Imagine being a Wall Street suit, drooling all over your big fat belly, and refusing to buy $GME in this cycle of obese adults buying card board squares of lizards that can spit fire for 69x the cost to print. Pokemon cards still hold value better than the failing U.S. dollar. Wall Street suits are staring at their silly little models, playing with their dumb discount rate, with the inability to pleasure their wives while GameStop transformed their entire business model.

@ACapitalLP Sep 23 1 click

A Capital on X

Perception <> Reality $OWL selling off on a $1bn Loparex restructuring headline, despite having already marked its second-lien exposure to 5 cents on the dollar at June 30, down from 63 cents in March. That excludes any potential equity recovery… Thx for the “gift” Bloomberg… https://t.co/5p1wrv5PzL

@aleabitoreddit Sep 23

Serenity on X

So update from $LITE + Win Semi ( $SIVE ) foundry: Lumentum in a meeting with Stifel at ECOC 2026 stated: - $NVDA Spectrum-6 CPO UHP demands increased materially. - NPO as larger than CPO, with multi-wavelength external lasers lifting ASPs (Sivers offers multi wave length DFB arrays, read through on higher valued products) - Demand for UHP lasers continues to exceed supply Just a status update in terms of how the optical bottleneck is going (laser prices going up, demand exceeds supply). Digitimes also reported today Win Semi ( $SIVE foundry ) was expanding capacity for CW lasers. - "CW products... are expected to gradually emerge in the second half of 2026", with meaningful revenue contribution likely coming in 2027 and 2028. - Win has strengthened inventory management for InP substrates while moving toward 6-in InP wafers for ongoing process testing. Currently relies on Tier-1 International suppliers. - Many of this was spent on DUV tools from $ASML but (Win Semi's orders spanned machinery, equipment, and fab engineering work) So that answers a lot of questions about Sivers' partner "how is this company securing InP substrates", "4in vs 6in", "production timing" TLDR: - NPO > CPO (per Lite), multi-wavelength lasers going brrr for prices - demand > supply (continuation) - Not sure why people have been bear posting Win Semi when turns out they have everything needed to mass produce CW lasers.

@leevalueroach Sep 23 1 click

Lee Roach on X

This is why I’m long $GME. Because of dumb Disney Adults. Go there sometime. It’s a bunch of adults without kids acting like children. Now these Disney adults are piling into trading cards. They are reliving their childhood because they will never have kids of their own. Even Toys R Us is reopening to target these morons. It’s turbo time.

@junkbondinvest Sep 23 1 click

junkbondinvestor on X

Remember during COVID, $RCL was raising debt (secured by 28 of its own ships btw) at 11% just to stay alive? Well, they just agreed to pay $3bn for Sandals, the biggest deal in its history 6 years ago, the question was whether they would still exist...how times change https://t.co/qsdrXBcHhA

@kab604 Sep 23

kab60 on X

It's always weird when analysts don't address the elephant in the room - you'd think things were going splendid at $CHTR and they were running with net cash: https://t.co/NPBWGrKxuQ

Capital Wars

CoreWeave’s $35 billion to $39 billion 2026 spending plan relies on debt as unsecured yields reach 15%, making its GPU cloud expansion a…

CRWV $34B

Net Interest Oct 23 8 clicks

TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/23/2026)

TSOH Weekly Roundup covers Ally’s improving credit and capital returns, Pepsi’s weak beverage brands, and Match Group’s plan to revive…

ALLY $12BMTCH $11B

TSOH Investment Research Oct 23 3 clicks

Tempus AI: Moderna's New Cancer Vaccine Partner Is The Pick Of The AI Biotech Bunch

TEM $11BMRNA $98B

Edmund Ingham Oct 23 3 clicks

Putting bear cases to rest

Medpace authorized $1 billion of buybacks through 2028 after Q3 revenue rose 8.5% to $716 million; service revenue grew roughly 12% as…

MEDP $18B

Best Anchor Stocks Oct 23 12 clicks

Industry Primers Podcast: Natural Resources Royalty & Streaming, Part One: The Story

Franco-Nevada, Wheaton and Texas Pacific Land built royalty and streaming businesses by buying fixed shares of mines and wells, tracing the…

FNV $47BWPM $57B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 23 3 clicks

Oscar Health: Up Over 200% From The March Lows, Still Room To Run (Ticker: OSCR)

Oscar Health raised 2026 operating earnings guidance to $600 million-$800 million after ACA-marketplace expansion drove 60% membership and…

OSCR $10B

Emerging Moats Research Oct 23 4 clicks

It’s time to sell the winners again as Western Digital, Bloom report outstanding results, shares drop

Western Digital and Bloom Energy fell after strong quarterly results, extending the selloff in AI-linked stocks.

BE $56B

The Technology Letter Oct 22 4 clicks

OCP 2026: MicroVCSELs are gaining attention, but microLEDs still have a case

Credo’s microVCSEL pivot targets 10–20m data-center links where copper falls short, while microLEDs compete nearer compute on integration,…

CRDO $28B

Vik's Newsletter Oct 22 5 clicks

CoreWeave: Why Patient Investors Should Hold Through Volatility

CoreWeave targets 8 GW of active power by 2030, expands into India and builds its AI cloud ecosystem through Google Cloud and partner…

CRWV $34B

Jack Elias Oct 22 6 clicks

Thursday Tailwinds #12: Oct 22, 2026

PJM's 6,831 MW capacity shortfall is driving nuclear uprates, with Google contracting 890 MW from 11 operating reactors.

CEG $96B

Trade Ideas Flow Oct 22 2 clicks

4 Boring Non-AI Stocks Trading at Attractive Valuations

Rollins, North America’s largest pest-control provider, gets 75–80% of revenue from recurring contracts but has fallen about 45% year to…

ROL $17B

Jimmy's Journal Oct 22 67 clicks

Diageo: Gen Z Is Drinking Again, And They Want Cocktails

DEO $52B

PropNotes Oct 22 7 clicks

Sea Limited (SE) Sea Cloud and Monee IPO

Sea Limited plans Sea Cloud and a Monee IPO, using 40-plus data centers and 25,000 GPUs while risking heavier capex and prolonged thin…

SE $47B

Sleep Well Investments Oct 22 6 clicks

EXPE · long

Expedia Group INC

Expedia Group, one of the largest online travel companies, has roughly 3.6 million lodging properties and is expanding internationally.

EXPE $35B

Value Investors Club Jul 24 1 click

Strategy: I Called The STRC Repeg, Now The Bitcoin Machine Can Restart

Strategy spent $1.84 billion repurchasing STRC below $100, bringing it near par and potentially reopening a preferred-share issuance…

MSTR $55B

Geneva Investor Oct 21 6 clicks

CoreWeave: It’s Not Dying, Not Anytime Soon

CoreWeave is compared with Amazon's early public years, when investors expected bankruptcy amid losses and dependence on outside capital.

CRWV $34B

Capitalist Letters Oct 21 42 clicks

Berkshire Put Bending Spoons On My Radar

Bending Spoons has spent about $10 billion on software acquisitions, including pending Miro, while Q2 organic growth was 3% and all…

BSP $29B

Jack Bowman Oct 21 10 clicks

Heico Corporation

HEICO sells FAA-approved aircraft replacement parts at 30% to 50% discounts to OEMs, gaining customers as restrictive aftermarket contracts…

HEI $42B

D Invests Oct 20 13 clicks

Northrop Grumman (NYSE: NOC) Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Update - Accumulate, Record Backlog, Zones And Stop Inside

Northrop Grumman posted 7% Q3 sales growth to $11.1 billion, lifted profit guidance and reached a record $109.6 billion backlog, led by…

NOC $78B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 20 4 clicks

Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXXII

CoreWeave and neocloud peers face financing pressure, but sold-out GPU capacity and rising H100 and B200 rental rates support continued AI…

CRWV $34B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 20 8 clicks

Friday, October 23, 2026

Red Dog Capital on X

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A Capital on X

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Lee Roach on X

junkbondinvestor on X

kab60 on X

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