Thursday, October 22, 2026

Mosaic: Cash from Potash Now, a Recovery in Phosphates Later

Mosaic’s potash business generated $930 million after capital spending and closure cash in 2025, while phosphate operations consumed $207…

Mosaic, Part One: The Story

Mosaic’s history traces the 2004 Cargill-IMC merger and the phosphate and potash mines that shaped NYSE: MOS.

Mosaic, Part Two: The Deep Dive

Mosaic, NYSE: MOS, is the subject of a second audio program for professional investors analyzing fertilizer producers.

Undercovered Dozen: Western Digital, Penguin Solutions, Millrose Properties And More

PENG $3.2BMRP $4B

SA The Undercovered Dozen 47h ago 14 clicks

Thursday Tailwinds #12: Oct 22, 2026

PJM's 6,831 MW capacity shortfall is driving nuclear uprates, with Google contracting 890 MW from 11 operating reactors.

4 Boring Non-AI Stocks Trading at Attractive Valuations

Rollins, North America’s largest pest-control provider, gets 75–80% of revenue from recurring contracts but has fallen about 45% year to…

Group 1 Automotive (GPI) vs Lithia Motors (LAD)

Group 1 Automotive and Lithia Motors divide two longtime value investors: David Abrams switched to Lithia in 2018, while Greg Alexander…

Diageo: Gen Z Is Drinking Again, And They Want Cocktails

DEO $52B

SA PropNotes Oct 22 7 clicks

Atour Lifestyle ($ATAT): The Hotel Chain That Is Secretly a (Sleep) DTC E-Commerce Brand

Atour Lifestyle combines an asset-light Chinese hotel franchise network with Atour Planet sleep-product sales, using guest rooms as product…

Weyerhaeuser Company: Timberland Assets Offer Long-Term Upside At A Discount

Weyerhaeuser’s $23.07 sum-of-the-parts valuation rests on discounted timberlands, while its 4.3% dividend needs stronger free cash flow and…

WY $14B

SA Atlas Diary Oct 22 7 clicks

LULU · long

Lululemon Athletica INC

Lululemon Athletica, a high-end women’s sportswear retailer, is presented as a long investment.

The Cheapest Toll Road in the AI Economy?

A U.S. last-mile telecom network trades at 3.9x trailing earnings and 5.7x TEV/EBITDA, with AI traffic growth, capex normalization, merger…

ASR: Sureste Airports Soaring To 50%+ Upside, Market Is Missing The New Assets

Sureste Airports’ 20-airport Motiva acquisition and U.S. concessions are set to lift EBITDA, while shares trade at 7x forward EBITDA.

Under The Hood - Rollins ($ROL)

Rollins ($ROL) pairs automatically renewing pest-control contracts with route density and family-business acquisitions, producing 24…

A Hardware Multiple on a Software Powerhouse

A software powerhouse posts a record quarter while trading at a 52-week low, raising a valuation disconnect between its business model and…

Grupo Aeroportuario Del Centro Norte: World Cup Inflection? (Ticker: OMAB)

Grupo OMAB trades at 9 times EV/EBITDA after an 11% YTD decline, as Monterrey international traffic fell 2.9%; expansion, price hikes and…

Adobe

Adobe’s bear case is that generative AI breaks new-user habit formation, leaving its professional base sticky but aging as growth slows and…

Single Stock Spotlight #9: Fiserv (FISV)

Fiserv trades below 7 times 2026 earnings after a 60% decline, as new management resets guidance and seeks to stabilize its banking…

The Bottleneck Was Never the Finding

Tenable’s $27 valuation reflects fears that AI commoditizes vulnerability scanning, while the thesis says AI increases demand for…

ADF Group Inc. ($DRX.TO) FINS Review

ADF Group’s Q1 FY2026 revenue rose 78% to $99.3 million and net income 37%, aided by the LAR acquisition despite steel and aluminum tariff…