Monday, October 19, 2026

WD #360: New Trade, Recent Market Action, Brazil/Inter Update

Atlassian is sold after a 130% gain, while iShares MSCI Indonesia ETF is added following the market plunge; the update also assesses the AI-stock selloff and CoreWeave’s collapse.

TEAM $56B

Ian’s Insider Corner Oct 19 14 clicks

Oct 19 NOC $78B

Northrop Grumman (NYSE: NOC) Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Preview - Accumulate Rating, Zones And Stop Inside

Cestrian Capital Research 4 clicks

Oct 19 APP $88B

AppLovin Deep Dive

Speedwell Memos 69 clicks

From X

@DeepSailCapital Aug 25

Deep Sail Capital on X

$RUM is by far the most "chasing the cool thing right now" company of any out there, and they just use massive share dilution to get it done. First they tried to get into Crypto with the Tether deal a few years ago (100m share dilution). And now they are trying to get into datacenters, with Northern Data Acquisition (120m share dilution). Today they announced they are offering a counterparty 50m shares via warrants with a strike price of $0.01 just for the commercial deal to buy their GPU services. How can anyone trust this management?

@TheBenSchmark Aug 25

JabroniCoin.USD on X

UBS on $CENX generating nearly $1 bn in 2026 FCF (v ~$800m consensus) Post this week, that Midwest premium looks solid for 2026… so that volume ramp should translate into higher numbers in Q3 and Q4 https://t.co/dhrEiBFWFf

@ChrisCamillo Aug 25 1 click

Chris Camillo on X

@sp3cul8r No. Been a bit since I’ve thought deeply about the short-term risk/reward on $NVDA.

@ChrisCamillo Aug 25

Chris Camillo on X

Too many of you are revving up to make an outsized bet on $NVDA earnings based mostly on vibes. Conviction without an information edge is just confidence dressed up as research.

@StockJabber Aug 25

Edwin Dorsey on X

Daniel E. Bachus, the CFO of Grand Canyon Education $LOPE, is on paid administrative leave following a unanimous board vote "in connection with an ongoing governmental investigation involving a non-employee third party’s trades in company stock." Mr. Bachus was also a key government witness against Andrew Left in his securities fraud trial. Link: https://t.co/iYND5NGFNq

@KEDM_COM Aug 25

KEDM.com on X

Bonhoeffer Capital Management @Bonhoeffer_KDS had a full case study on Private Bancorp of America $PBAM in its Q2 letter. PBAM is a California SME and SBA lender with heavy insider ownership, a best-in-class efficiency ratio, and low-cost banking-team acquisitions. The Fund's short-term target is $125 vs. today's ~$87.

@convequity Aug 25 1 click

Convequity on X

Cerebras is a taxi. NVIDIA runs the buses. Almost every confusion about $CBRS begins with reviewing the wrong vehicle. We just published Part 1 of our Cerebras deep dive: → Why wafer-scale SRAM excels at low-batch decode → Why $NVDA becomes the cheaper token factory at high concurrency → Why Cerebras was built for training—but found its future in inference → Why the two architectures are increasingly complementary, not substitutes Our conclusion: Cerebras is mostly a buy over the next 2–3 years—but demand for premium-speed inference will decide the case. The full high-level report is live. 👇 https://t.co/awUwxPUSHI

@HedgeyeRetail Aug 25

Brian McGough on X

This short has been money for us this summer. Down -17% into the print on heavy volume (ie someone got the memo early) and down another 25% today. $DKS #DickLocker https://t.co/Qr1gSnhnuc

Meta’s GEM, Part 2: Finding the Scaling Law

Meta’s GEM trains smaller ad-ranking models across its platforms, with Kunlun showing performance scaling predictably as compute rises.

META $1.8T

MBI Deep Dives Oct 19 10 clicks

LXS.DE: a 2028 sale it can force

Lanxess can force Advent to buy at least half its Envalior stake in April 2028, potentially raising about €745 million to reduce net debt.

LPTH $492M

Trade Ideas Flow Oct 19 21 clicks

Sell Eagle Point Credit Now - Match The Loss With Portfolio Gains To Lower Income Taxes

Eagle Point Credit's NAV is down 25% YTD and shares nearly 50%, while its expense ratio climbed to 9.21% despite a 25% yield.

ECC $367M

Anthony Cataldo Oct 19 5 clicks

The Agentic AI Roadmap for SaaS

SaaS companies including Salesforce, ServiceNow, CrowdStrike, Synopsys and Veeva are ranked by agentic AI progress, from pilots to…

CRM $199BCRWD $245B

Jimmy's Journal Oct 19 27 clicks

The Monday Morning Briefing: Meta, Tesla, Netflix, P&G on Deck

Lennar’s land-bank costs pressure homebuilding margins, while Flowers Foods weighs a Tastykake sale after falling branded-bread share,…

LEN $20BFLO $1.3B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 19 36 clicks

LendingTree (NASDAQ: $TREE) – A Cyclical Comeback Story Priced as if the Cycle Never Turns

LendingTree derives roughly two-thirds of revenue from insurance and trades near 4 times expected adjusted earnings despite record revenue,…

TREE $373M

Substack von Philipp Oct 19 10 clicks

Exelon: Shelter From The Storm And Nice Yield As Utilities Catch A Bid

EXC $45B

Michael Fitzsimmons Oct 19 4 clicks

Our Q3 2026 Update: Our Companies (OXY, RIG, VAL)

Occidental Petroleum’s debt should fall further after Q3 oil prices averaged $85 per barrel WTI and $91 Brent.

OXY $62BRIG $7.2B

Open Insights Oct 19 15 clicks

Undercovered Dozen: Hess Midstream, Iovance Biotherapeutics, Netlist, And More

Hess Midstream, Iovance Biotherapeutics, Netlist and nine other lesser-covered stocks make this week’s Undercovered Dozen.

HESM $6.2BIOVA $6.6B

The Undercovered Dozen Oct 18 16 clicks

Zscaler CEO and CFO: We have the opportunity of a lifetime

Zscaler CEO Jay Chaudhry and CFO Kevin Rubin discuss the cybersecurity company’s growth prospects and valuation.

ZS $38B

The Technology Letter Oct 18 7 clicks

Do You Trust Apple?

Apple’s HomeView strategy ties Siri, privacy and smart-home control to consumer trust in its vision for the home.

AAPL $5.1T

Stratechery by Ben Thompson – On the business, strategy, and impact of technology. Oct 18 3 clicks

What Lies Beneath: The Developer Building a Data Center on a Former Army Dump Laced With Munitions and Carcinogens

Digital Realty paid $120 million for Atlanta-area parcels including a former Army dump with buried carcinogens and military ordnance.

DLR $60B

Hunterbrook Oct 18 23 clicks

Wells Fargo Earnings Aren't Inspiring Enough, But A 7% Income Opportunity Is

Wells Fargo’s Q3 EPS beat and $12.5 billion net interest income failed to move shares, while WFC.PZ preferreds yield 7.10%.

WFC $250B

Jeremy LaKosh Oct 18 7 clicks

FINV · long

Finvolution Group

FinVolution, a China and ASEAN unsecured consumer lender, trades at 4x earnings and 0.5x book value.

FINV $704M

Value Investors Club Jul 20 5 clicks

DexCom: The 15-Day Sensor Lowered The Cost Curve Before The Type 2 Wave Arrives

DexCom’s 15-day G7 sensor lifted Q2 2026 gross margin 400 basis points to 64.1%, lowering CGM costs ahead of broader Type 2 diabetes…

DXCM $29B

Equity Eagle Oct 17 8 clicks

Semtech Analyst Day Review

Semtech raised Q3 guidance and targets $3.2 billion of fiscal 2030 revenue, excluding upside from its AI data-center optical and copper…

SMTC $12B

CV's Substack Oct 17 14 clicks

DigitalOcean CEO: ‘We are not going to be extraordinarily leveraged like some others’

DigitalOcean’s CEO says the cloud company will not take on extraordinary leverage to fund its AI push.

DOCN $12B

The Technology Letter Oct 17 27 clicks

Expert Call | Q3 2026 Optical Components Market Dynamics, Vendor Market Share, & 2027 Growth Outlook

Optical-component vendor call covers 800G and 1.6T demand, AI cluster optical density, market share, pricing and 2027 growth for Coherent,…

COHR $46BLITE $69B

P Equity Research Oct 17 14 clicks

PayPal: Market's Extreme Mispricing Is Starting To Unwind

PayPal’s 10.3x forward earnings multiple and more than $6 billion in free cash flow frame a turnaround driven by cost cuts, Venmo and BNPL…

PYPL $49B

JR Research Oct 17 12 clicks

SiriusXM: Dirt Cheap, Looming Catalysts, Short Squeeze Candidate

SiriusXM trades at 6.5 times free cash flow, a 15% yield, with high short interest and catalysts that could drive a short squeeze.

SIRI $9.3B

Eagle Point Capital Oct 17 60 clicks

Monday, October 19, 2026

Deep Sail Capital on X

JabroniCoin.USD on X

Chris Camillo on X

Chris Camillo on X

Edwin Dorsey on X

KEDM.com on X

Convequity on X

Brian McGough on X

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