Monday, October 19, 2026

WD #360: New Trade, Recent Market Action, Brazil/Inter Update

Atlassian is sold after a 130% gain, while iShares MSCI Indonesia ETF is added following the market plunge; the update also assesses the AI-stock selloff and CoreWeave’s collapse.

TEAM $56B

Ian’s Insider Corner 31h ago 12 clicks

35h ago NOC $73B

Northrop Grumman (NYSE: NOC) Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Preview - Accumulate Rating, Zones And Stop Inside

Cestrian Capital Research 4 clicks

37h ago APP $92B

AppLovin Deep Dive

Speedwell Memos 58 clicks

From X

@DeepSailCapital 28h ago 5 clicks

Deep Sail Capital on X

$ARKK vs $SPY vs $QQQ by year. https://t.co/XEaaaCTQvL

@Mr_Neutral_Man 30h ago 2 clicks

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

@Menckenist @rippercatcher Very interesting. What's the typical mix of a $WD loan? Is it moslty fixed rate with 5-7 year maturity? How much of it is the type that finance the S2 and Tide capital where deals were done at 3% cap with floating rate debt greatly appreciate this!

@BarbarianCap 31h ago

Barbarian Capital on X

Silgan to Combine With Trivium Packaging in $3.4 Billion Deal $SLGN https://t.co/XWQSkZuUO5

@BarbarianCap 31h ago

Barbarian Capital on X

Germany’s Merck to Buy U.K. Biotech Silence Therapeutics for $1.3 Billion $SLN https://t.co/FXr0mtRMow

@BarbarianCap 31h ago 2 clicks

Barbarian Capital on X

H.B. Fuller Rejects Ancora’s Latest Acquisition Bid, Plans to Consider Selling Noncore Businesses $FUL https://t.co/L8b85qb666

@BarbarianCap 31h ago 6 clicks

Barbarian Capital on X

Unilever Agrees to Sell Welly Bandage Business to Private-Equity Firm $UL https://t.co/yFW742mFrr

@StableBread 31h ago

Fajasy on X

From June 1 to October 16, Boost Run $BRUN fell 77.3%, vs. 37.4-58.7% for CoreWeave $CRWV, Nebius $NBIS, and $IREN. That drop in AI infra stocks is tied to to rising bets on another Fed rate hike. Higher rates hurt GPU clouds in two ways, since they (1) raise the cost of the debt that pays for their GPUs and (2) lower what investors will pay today for profits that arrive years later. But all three peers kept or raised their 2026 targets: → $CRWV: Raised its 2026 revenue guidance to $12.4-13.2B on its Q2 call. → $IREN: Raised its year-end ARR target to more than $4B on July 20. → $NBIS: Reaffirmed its 2026 guidance with its Q2 results. The problem is that lenders are charging more now. CoreWeave’s 9.625% notes due 2032 yielded 14.74% on October 16, up from 13.19% on October 1, meaning CoreWeave would likely pay ~15%/year to borrow the same way today. So the selloff came from how investors now see the cost of funding the demand for GPU clouds, not from the demand itself.

@BarbarianCap 31h ago

Barbarian Capital on X

Tradeweb to Buy Trumid For About $1.97 Billion $TW https://t.co/41iZw4PowI

Meta’s GEM, Part 2: Finding the Scaling Law

Meta’s GEM trains smaller ad-ranking models across its platforms, with Kunlun showing performance scaling predictably as compute rises.

META $1.8T

MBI Deep Dives 39h ago 9 clicks

LXS.DE: a 2028 sale it can force

Lanxess can force Advent to buy at least half its Envalior stake in April 2028, potentially raising about €745 million to reduce net debt.

LPTH $525M

Trade Ideas Flow 42h ago 18 clicks

Sell Eagle Point Credit Now - Match The Loss With Portfolio Gains To Lower Income Taxes

Eagle Point Credit's NAV is down 25% YTD and shares nearly 50%, while its expense ratio climbed to 9.21% despite a 25% yield.

ECC $379M

Anthony Cataldo 43h ago 5 clicks

The Agentic AI Roadmap for SaaS

SaaS companies including Salesforce, ServiceNow, CrowdStrike, Synopsys and Veeva are ranked by agentic AI progress, from pilots to…

CRM $197BCRWD $233B

Jimmy's Journal 44h ago 24 clicks

Build-A-Bear: A Narrower Path

Build-A-Bear's push into prestuffed toys and broader retail distribution tests brand stretchability, but recent results warrant caution.

BBW $303M

TSOH Investment Research 44h ago 16 clicks

The Monday Morning Briefing: Meta, Tesla, Netflix, P&G on Deck

Lennar’s land-bank costs pressure homebuilding margins, while Flowers Foods weighs a Tastykake sale after falling branded-bread share,…

LEN $18BFLO $1.3B

Latticework by MOI Global 46h ago 32 clicks

LendingTree (NASDAQ: $TREE) – A Cyclical Comeback Story Priced as if the Cycle Never Turns

LendingTree derives roughly two-thirds of revenue from insurance and trades near 4 times expected adjusted earnings despite record revenue,…

TREE $362M

Substack von Philipp 46h ago 9 clicks

Exelon: Shelter From The Storm And Nice Yield As Utilities Catch A Bid

EXC $45B

Michael Fitzsimmons 47h ago 4 clicks

Our Q3 2026 Update: Our Companies (OXY, RIG, VAL)

Occidental Petroleum’s debt should fall further after Q3 oil prices averaged $85 per barrel WTI and $91 Brent.

OXY $63BRIG $6.5B

Open Insights Oct 19 13 clicks

Undercovered Dozen: Hess Midstream, Iovance Biotherapeutics, Netlist, And More

Hess Midstream, Iovance Biotherapeutics, Netlist and nine other lesser-covered stocks make this week’s Undercovered Dozen.

HESM $6.3BIOVA $6.7B

The Undercovered Dozen Oct 18 15 clicks

BTU · long

Peabody Energy Corporation

Peabody Energy, ticker BTU, is a low-cost producer of thermal and metallurgical coal with mines in the United States and Australia.

BTU $2.9B

Value Investors Club Jul 6 2 clicks

Dark arts or infinite reload? $TTD’s CEO options and the repricing proxy

The Trade Desk’s CEO received a new 10-year option package targeting $105 per share as the company seeks shareholder approval to reprice…

TTD $5.8B

Yet Another Value Blog Sep 29 5 clicks

Cullinan Therapeutics: Compelling Pullback For CLN-978's Potential In Autoimmune Diseases

Cullinan Therapeutics plans December 2026 autoimmune updates for CLN-978, while zipalertinib awaits an FDA decision in previously treated…

CGEM $828M

Myriam Alvarez Sep 29 2 clicks

Group 1 Automotive (GPI) vs Alpha Metallurgical Resources (AMR)

Alpha Metallurgical Resources director Ken Courtis bought $10.5 million above $190 after a blackout lifted, while Conifer’s 12.7% Group 1…

GPI $2.9BAMR $2.2B

Cannibal Stocks Sep 29 4 clicks

Robinhood: The Market Is Pricing In A Lot, But Not Really Everything

Robinhood’s long-term value rests on retaining customer assets and becoming a primary financial platform beyond trading.

HOOD $91B

Thomas Veth Sep 29 2 clicks

Jensen Huang Press Q&A: 'Nvidia Stock Is Undervalued'

Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang says the company will buy back hundreds of billions of dollars of stock in coming years.

NVDA $5.2T

Key Context by Tae Kim Sep 29 4 clicks

Pfizer: Growth Portfolio And Cost Cuts Support A Buy Through The LOE Trough

Pfizer’s new products and $9.7 billion cost-cut plan target earnings support through COVID normalization and patent expiries, alongside a…

PFE $172B

Value Capital Research Sep 29 1 click

What the AI Boom Looks Like From Inside Cisco with Sam Badri | The Real Eisman Playbook Ep 77

Cisco’s Sam Badri says roughly 90% of AI users remain at basic prompting, with few advancing to skills files or AI agents.

CSCO $433B

Steve Eisman Sep 28 6 clicks

Zscaler (NASDAQ: ZS) Stock Rating: Accumulate After Q4 FY7/26 Earnings

Zscaler posted 25% Q4 revenue growth to $898.2 million and a 24.3% operating margin, but guided FY27 growth down to 16.6%-17.5% as free…

ZS $34B

Cestrian Capital Research Sep 28 4 clicks

Nvidia’s Huang’s answer to AI fears: buy more chips, and buy his stock

Nvidia expanded its buyback authorization and launched an AI security initiative as Jensen Huang urged investors to buy more chips and…

NVDA $5.2T

The Technology Letter Sep 28

Monday, October 19, 2026

Deep Sail Capital on X

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

Barbarian Capital on X

Barbarian Capital on X

Barbarian Capital on X

Barbarian Capital on X

Fajasy on X

Barbarian Capital on X

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